Result
0:1
24/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 26
- Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (275/384) | 63% (173/274) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (275/384) | 63% (173/274) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (29/80) | 35% (27/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (64/126) | 53% (48/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (8/39) | 0% (0/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.70 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 34 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 53 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', Heneghan B. ↓, Lawrence-Gabriel J. ↑,
- 28', Burroughs J. 🟨,
- 45+8', 0 - 1, Stockley J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Burroughs J. ↓, Swyer K. ↑,
- 60', Archer E. ↓, Shipley J. ↑,
- 61', Sherif M. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
- 61', Hall G. ↓, Walters R. ↑,
- 64', Guinness-Walker N. ↓, Perkins J. ↑,
- 64', Taylor T. ↓, List E. ↑,
- 72', Eaves T. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
- 76', Stockley J. ↓, Waine B. ↑,
- 86', Hoskins S. ↓, Jacobs M. ↑,
- 89', Ojo F. ↓, Gordon L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Northampton Town
39.7% | Draw
28.4% | Port Vale
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Northampton Town - Port Vale Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↓
(2.55) |
3.27 ↑
(3.15) |
2.91 ↑
(2.6) |
7.3%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Port Vale?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Port Vale will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Northampton: 44.1% – 94.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Northampton (votes: 1 - 50%). Port Vale (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 2.
- Northampton has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Port Vale is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Northampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Port Vale has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Northampton: Edwards K.
(Injury)
Guthrie J.
(Inactive)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Port Vale: Byers G.
(Injury)
Garrity B.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Port Vale?
Northampton Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Northampton Town?
Port Vale has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Port Vale were as follows:
04.10.2025
Port Vale
-
Northampton Town
0:0
01.04.2024
Northampton Town
-
Port Vale
2:0
16.09.2023
Port Vale
-
Northampton Town
1:0
Latest results of Northampton Town
Latest results of Port Vale
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
