Reading vs Port Vale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 6
  • Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.611.01
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
78% (304/388)77% (305/395)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.611.01
xG on target (xGOT)
1.370.59
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1923
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
78% (304/388)77% (305/395)
Long passes
36% (23/64)43% (27/63)
Passes in final third
58% (60/104)66% (66/100)
Crosses
17% (1/6)15% (4/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.280.73
Throw-ins
3424
Fouls
1212
Tackles
36% (5/14)56% (10/18)
Duels won
4662
Clearances
3226
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.591.37
Goals prevented
0.590.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+6', Jacob M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', Heneghan B. 🟨,
  • 56', Croasdale R. 🟨,
  • 56', Croasdale R. , Ojo F. ,
  • 57', Faal M. , Brown D. ,
  • 62', O'Mahony M. , Marriott J. ,
  • 62', Elliott B. , Doyle K. ,
  • 63', Clark M. , Kyle John ,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Lane P. , Kyerewaa D. (A),
  • 71', Heneghan B. , Waine B. ,
  • 71', Byers G. , Shipley J. ,
  • 74', Lane P. , Camara M. ,
  • 74', Ahmed A. 🟨,
  • 81', Ahmed A. , Dorsett A. J. R. ,
  • 82', Savage C. , Fraser L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Reading
38.9%
Draw
28%
Port Vale
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 27.2% 33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40% 27% 33%

Reading - Port Vale Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.42
(2.38)
3.32
(3.47)
2.86
(2.85)
6.5%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Reading - Port Vale?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Port Vale will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 47.7%95.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Reading (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Reading (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Reading will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Reading (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Reading: O'Connor P. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Amos B. (Muscle Injury) Stockley J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Reading: Rushesha T. (Injury) Yiadom A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Reading won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Reading won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Reading - Port Vale were as follows:
    20.02.2024 Reading - Port Vale 2:0
    12.08.2023 Port Vale - Reading 1:0
    Latest results of Reading
    26.08.2025 Reading - AFC Wimbledon 2:1
    20.08.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Reading 1:1
    16.08.2025 Reading - AFC Wimbledon 1:2
    12.08.2025 Portsmouth - Reading 1:2
    Latest results of Port Vale
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff30196555:292663
    2Lincoln30187552:302261
    3Bolton311510641:291255
    4Stockport County30158742:35753
    5Huddersfield311471053:421149
    6Bradford City29147837:33449
    7Luton301361140:35545
    8Peterborough311421545:41444
    9Wycombe301110940:31943
    10Reading301110943:39443
    11Stevenage29119931:30142
    12Mansfield291091037:32539
    13Exeter291151333:30338
    14AFC Wimbledon291151332:38-638
    15Barnsley271071044:46-237
    16Plymouth301141537:46-937
    17Blackpool30961537:44-733
    18Leyton Orient30961540:49-933
    19Northampton30961529:39-1033
    20Doncaster30961533:50-1733
    21Burton30881433:45-1232
    22Wigan307101331:42-1131
    23Rotherham29871431:43-1231
    24Port Vale28571622:40-1822

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          Relegation ~ League Two