Port Vale vs Reading – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Vale Park (Stoke on Trent).

League One - Round 34
Referee: Brook C. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.57	1.28
Ball possession
42%	58%
Total shots
13	10
Shots on target
6	3
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
9	3
Passes
71% (195/275)	78% (320/410)
Yellow cards
0	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.57	1.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.41	1.10
Total shots
13	10
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
1	4
Blocked shots
6	3
Shots inside the box
10	8
Shots outside the box
3	2
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
9	3
Touches in opposition box
26	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
12	10
Passes
71% (195/275)	78% (320/410)
Long passes
33% (18/55)	33% (21/63)
Passes in final third
63% (65/104)	46% (41/90)
Crosses
13% (4/32)	18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.06	0.32
Throw ins
31	20
Fouls
10	12
Tackles
80% (8/10)	71% (12/17)
Duels won
34	40
Clearances
21	50
Interceptions
5	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	5
xGOT faced
1.10	1.41
Goals prevented
0.10	0.41

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Wing L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Ward B. 🟨,
61', Waine B. ↓, Stockley J. ↑,
62', Gray A. ↓, Sherif M. ↑,
62', Shipley J. ↓, Lawrence-Gabriel J. ↑,
62', Campbell E. ↓, Gordon L. ↑,
67', Ward B. ↓, Dorsett A. J. R. ↑,
73', Doyle K. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
73', Young K. ↓, Lane P. ↑,
80', Dorsett A. J. R. 🟨,
85', Marriott J. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan K. ↑,
85', Williams D. ↓, Burns F. ↑,
89', Kyle John ↓, Heneghan B. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 1, Sherif M. ⚽, Archer E. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Port Vale
33.5%

Draw
28.4%

Reading
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

28.3%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

28.8%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Port Vale - Reading Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.56)	3.3 ↑ (3.23)	2.46 ↓ (2.52)	6.8% (9.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Port Vale - Reading?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Reading will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Reading will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 8).
Port Vale is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Reading is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Port Vale may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Reading: Elliott B. (Inactive) Kyerewaa D. (Inactive) O'Mahony M. (Inactive) Williams D. (Inactive) Williams R. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Port Vale: Byers G. (Injury) Garrity B. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Reading: Rinomhota A. (Inactive)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
Including home match between the teams, Port Vale won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Reading?

Port Vale has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Reading won against Port Vale?

Reading has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Reading were as follows:

30.08.2025 Reading - Port Vale 1:0

20.02.2024 Reading - Port Vale 2:0

12.08.2023 Port Vale - Reading 1:0

Latest results of Port Vale

17.02.2026 Stevenage Borough - Port Vale 2:1 ✺

10.02.2026 Port Vale - Stockport County 0:4 ✺

07.02.2026 Port Vale - Burton Albion 2:2 ✺

03.02.2026 Port Vale - AFC Wimbledon 0:1 ✺

31.01.2026 Leyton Orient - Port Vale 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Reading

17.02.2026 Reading - Bolton Wanderers 1:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Reading - Wycombe Wanderers 3:2 ✺

10.02.2026 Wigan Athletic - Reading 1:2 ✺

07.02.2026 AFC Wimbledon - Reading 3:2 ✺

31.01.2026 Northampton Town - Reading 0:2 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln	39	25	9	5	74:34	40	84
2	Cardiff	39	23	8	8	73:41	32	77
3	Bolton	39	17	15	7	55:39	16	66
4	Bradford City	39	19	8	12	49:44	5	65
5	Stockport County	37	17	9	11	51:48	3	60
6	Stevenage	38	17	9	12	41:38	3	60
7	Plymouth	39	18	5	16	60:54	6	59
8	Reading	39	15	13	11	57:51	6	58
9	Huddersfield	39	16	9	14	59:51	8	57
10	Wycombe	39	15	11	13	55:43	12	56
11	Luton	39	15	10	14	52:49	3	55
12	Peterborough	38	15	5	18	57:52	5	50
13	Barnsley	37	13	11	13	59:60	-1	50
14	AFC Wimbledon	38	14	8	16	49:55	-6	50
15	Mansfield	37	12	13	12	47:41	6	49
16	Leyton Orient	38	14	6	18	55:62	-7	48
17	Doncaster	38	13	8	17	41:59	-18	47
18	Burton	39	12	10	17	44:54	-10	46
19	Wigan	38	11	12	15	41:51	-10	45
20	Exeter	39	11	9	19	42:52	-10	42
21	Blackpool	39	11	9	19	46:63	-17	42
22	Rotherham	38	9	9	20	35:58	-23	36
23	Northampton	39	9	8	22	33:56	-23	35
24	Port Vale	36	7	10	19	29:49	-20	31

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two