Reading vs Port Vale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 6
  • Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.611.01
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
78% (304/388)77% (305/395)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.611.01
xG on target (xGOT)
1.370.59
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1923
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
78% (304/388)77% (305/395)
Long passes
36% (23/64)43% (27/63)
Passes in final third
58% (60/104)66% (66/100)
Crosses
17% (1/6)15% (4/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.280.73
Throw-ins
3424
Fouls
1212
Tackles
36% (5/14)56% (10/18)
Duels won
4662
Clearances
3226
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.591.37
Goals prevented
0.590.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+6', Jacob M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', Heneghan B. 🟨,
  • 56', Croasdale R. 🟨,
  • 56', Croasdale R. , Ojo F. ,
  • 57', Faal M. , Brown D. ,
  • 62', O'Mahony M. , Marriott J. ,
  • 62', Elliott B. , Doyle K. ,
  • 63', Clark M. , Kyle John ,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Lane P. , Kyerewaa D. (A),
  • 71', Heneghan B. , Waine B. ,
  • 71', Byers G. , Shipley J. ,
  • 74', Lane P. , Camara M. ,
  • 74', Ahmed A. 🟨,
  • 81', Ahmed A. , Dorsett A. J. R. ,
  • 82', Savage C. , Fraser L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Reading
38.9%
Draw
28%
Port Vale
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 27.2% 33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40% 27% 33%

Reading - Port Vale Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.42
(2.38)
3.32
(3.47)
2.86
(2.85)
6.5%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Reading - Port Vale?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Port Vale will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 47.7%95.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Reading (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Reading (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Reading will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Reading (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Reading: O'Connor P. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Amos B. (Muscle Injury) Stockley J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Reading: Rushesha T. (Injury) Yiadom A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Reading won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Reading won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Reading - Port Vale were as follows:
    20.02.2024 Reading - Port Vale 2:0
    12.08.2023 Port Vale - Reading 1:0
    Latest results of Reading
    26.08.2025 Reading - AFC Wimbledon 2:1
    20.08.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Reading 1:1
    16.08.2025 Reading - AFC Wimbledon 1:2
    12.08.2025 Portsmouth - Reading 1:2
    Latest results of Port Vale
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff26174545:261955
    2Lincoln26147542:281449
    3Bradford City25137535:27846
    4Stockport County26136737:32545
    5Bolton271110633:25843
    6Huddersfield271161046:38839
    7Luton26116937:32539
    8Stevenage25108727:23438
    9Wycombe2699834:29536
    10Mansfield24105934:28635
    11Reading2598833:31235
    12Peterborough261121333:35-235
    13Exeter251031228:23533
    14Plymouth261031333:39-633
    15Barnsley2295835:34132
    16Leyton Orient26951239:43-432
    17AFC Wimbledon25941227:34-731
    18Wigan2579926:28-230
    19Burton25861126:35-930
    20Blackpool26851332:39-729
    21Northampton25851223:30-729
    22Doncaster25751325:41-1626
    23Rotherham25661324:38-1424
    24Port Vale24461418:34-1618

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