Result
1:1
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 34
- Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.28 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (195/275) | 78% (320/410) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (195/275) | 78% (320/410) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (18/55) | 33% (21/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (65/104) | 46% (41/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (4/32) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.32 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | 0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', 0 - 1, Wing L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Ward B. 🟨,
- 61', Waine B. ↓, Stockley J. ↑,
- 62', Gray A. ↓, Sherif M. ↑,
- 62', Shipley J. ↓, Lawrence-Gabriel J. ↑,
- 62', Campbell E. ↓, Gordon L. ↑,
- 67', Ward B. ↓, Dorsett A. J. R. ↑,
- 73', Doyle K. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
- 73', Young K. ↓, Lane P. ↑,
- 80', Dorsett A. J. R. 🟨,
- 85', Marriott J. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan K. ↑,
- 85', Williams D. ↓, Burns F. ↑,
- 89', Kyle John ↓, Heneghan B. ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 1, Sherif M. ⚽, Archer E. (A),
Chances of winning
Port Vale
33.5% | Draw
28.4% | Reading
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Port Vale - Reading Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↑
(2.56) |
3.3 ↑
(3.23) |
2.46 ↓
(2.52) |
6.8%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Port Vale - Reading?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Reading will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 46.1% – 91.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Reading will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 8).
- Port Vale is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Reading is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Port Vale may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Reading: Elliott B.
(Inactive)
Kyerewaa D.
(Inactive)
O'Mahony M.
(Inactive)
Williams D.
(Inactive)
Williams R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Port Vale: Byers G.
(Injury)
Garrity B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Reading: Rinomhota A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Port Vale won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Reading?
Port Vale has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reading won against Port Vale?
Reading has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Reading were as follows:
30.08.2025
Reading
-
Port Vale
1:0
20.02.2024
Reading
-
Port Vale
2:0
12.08.2023
Port Vale
-
Reading
1:0
Latest results of Port Vale
Latest results of Reading
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
