Result
3:2
07/02/2026 at 10:01 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 31
- Referee: Baines D. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 1.00 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (185/298) | 75% (331/439) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.93 | 1.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (185/298) | 75% (331/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 16% (11/67) | 35% (28/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (62/120) | 55% (55/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.46 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.29 | 2.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.71 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Browne M. ⚽,
- 30', Keane W. ↓, Ritchie M. ↑,
- 33', 1 - 1, Marriott J. ⚽, Doyle K. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', 2 - 1, Browne M. ⚽, Bugiel O. (A),
- 65', 2 - 2, Dorsett A. J. R. ⚽,
- 66', Doyle K. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan K. ↑,
- 66', Lane P. ↓, Fraser L. ↑,
- 69', O'Connor P. 🟨,
- 71', 3 - 2, Browne M. ⚽, Maycock C. (A),
- 77', Hippolyte M. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
- 84', Roberts H. ↓, Yiadom A. ↑,
- 88', Bugiel O. ↓, Stevens M. ↑,
- 88', Browne M. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
- 90+2', Nkeng R. ↓, Bauer P. ↑,
Chances of winning
AFC Wimbledon
33.8% | Draw
28.6% | Reading
37.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
AFC Wimbledon - Reading Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.78 ↓
(2.82) |
3.26 ↑
(3.12) |
2.5 ↑
(2.4) |
6.8%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Reading?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Reading (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Reading will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Reading will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Reading (votes: 9 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 16 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Wimbledon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Wimbledon: McCoy-Splatt D.
(Inactive)
Sasu A.
(Inactive)
Stewart L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Reading: Elliott B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hutchinson S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Reading: Kyerewaa D.
(Inactive)
Williams D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Reading?
AFC Wimbledon has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reading won against AFC Wimbledon?
Reading has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Reading were as follows:
26.08.2025
Reading
-
AFC Wimbledon
2:1
16.08.2025
Reading
-
AFC Wimbledon
1:2
08.07.2023
Reading
-
AFC Wimbledon
0:1
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
Latest results of Reading
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
