Swindon Town vs Port Vale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
08/02/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 31
  • Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.211.90
Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
914
Shots on Goal
65
Shots off Goal
14
Blocked Shots
25
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
45
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Free Kicks
1612
Offsides
01
Fouls
1216
Throw-ins
2926
Touches in the Opposition Box
1321
Passes
72% (244/337)65% (160/247)
Passes in the final third
57% (55/96)57% (50/87)
Crosses
24% (5/21)25% (4/16)
Tackles
46% (6/13)75% (9/12)
Clearances Total
2550
Interceptions
47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Wright W. (Pen),
  • 31', 1 - 1, Headley J. , Stockley J. (A),
  • 40', Stockley J. , Curtis R. ,
  • 40', 1 - 2, Tolaj L. , Croasdale R. (A),
  • 45', 2 - 2, Butterworth D. , Drinan A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', Kyle John 🟨,
  • 56', Heneghan B. 🟨,
  • 57', Cain J. 🟨,
  • 63', 3 - 2, Cotterill J. , Butterworth D. (A),
  • 66', Smith N. 🟨,
  • 69', Croasdale R. , Byers G. ,
  • 69', Harper R. , Umolu J. ,
  • 81', Butterworth D. , Westley J. ,
  • 81', Drinan A. , McGregor J. ,
  • 81', Nichols T. , Glatzel P. ,
  • 87', 3 - 3, Tolaj L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Swindon Town
37.5%
Draw
28.9%
Port Vale
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 28.4% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 28.1% 32.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Swindon Town - Port Vale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.42)
    3.26
    (3.29)
    2.81
    (2.82)
    6.1%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Port Vale?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Port Vale will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 2.
    • At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
    • Swindon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Swindon won 12 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 32:22 (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18:9 (average 1.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Port Vale were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Port Vale - Swindon Town 2:1
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    Latest results of Port Vale
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley351912458:352369
    2Cambridge Utd341810649:272264
    3MK Dons341711663:342962
    4Swindon351951157:411662
    5Notts Co34187952:331961
    6Chesterfield351414755:441156
    7Crewe351681152:411156
    8Grimsby341510949:381155
    9Salford341741347:46155
    10Barnet3514111044:37753
    11Walsall341581142:37553
    12Colchester3413101148:381049
    13Fleetwood341391244:42248
    14Oldham331113936:30646
    15Accrington341371437:36146
    16Gillingham3311111141:41044
    17Shrewsbury351081734:54-2038
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere35981847:62-1535
    20Bristol Rovers34942133:57-2431
    21Crawley356101933:56-2328
    22Newport35772135:61-2628
    23Barrow33762033:51-1827
    24Harrogate35692025:52-2727

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League