Swindon Town vs Port Vale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
08/02/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 31
  • Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.211.90
Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
914
Shots on Goal
65
Shots off Goal
14
Blocked Shots
25
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
45
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Free Kicks
1612
Offsides
01
Fouls
1216
Throw-ins
2926
Touches in the Opposition Box
1321
Passes
72% (244/337)65% (160/247)
Passes in the final third
57% (55/96)57% (50/87)
Crosses
24% (5/21)25% (4/16)
Tackles
46% (6/13)75% (9/12)
Clearances Total
2550
Interceptions
47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Wright W. (Pen),
  • 31', 1 - 1, Headley J. , Stockley J. (A),
  • 40', Stockley J. , Curtis R. ,
  • 40', 1 - 2, Tolaj L. , Croasdale R. (A),
  • 45', 2 - 2, Butterworth D. , Drinan A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', Kyle John 🟨,
  • 56', Heneghan B. 🟨,
  • 57', Cain J. 🟨,
  • 63', 3 - 2, Cotterill J. , Butterworth D. (A),
  • 66', Smith N. 🟨,
  • 69', Croasdale R. , Byers G. ,
  • 69', Harper R. , Umolu J. ,
  • 81', Butterworth D. , Westley J. ,
  • 81', Drinan A. , McGregor J. ,
  • 81', Nichols T. , Glatzel P. ,
  • 87', 3 - 3, Tolaj L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Swindon Town
37.5%
Draw
28.9%
Port Vale
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 28.4% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 28.1% 32.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Swindon Town - Port Vale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.42)
    3.26
    (3.29)
    2.81
    (2.82)
    6.1%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Port Vale?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Port Vale will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 2.
    • At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
    • Swindon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Swindon won 12 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 32:22 (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18:9 (average 1.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Port Vale were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Port Vale - Swindon Town 2:1
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    Latest results of Port Vale
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley392213462:362679
    2MK Dons392111776:403674
    3Cambridge Utd382012656:282872
    4Notts Co382171065:392670
    5Swindon392161263:451869
    6Salford392141454:48667
    7Grimsby3817111056:401662
    8Chesterfield391614961:52962
    9Crewe391791358:471160
    10Walsall391791348:41760
    11Oldham371513944:311358
    12Barnet3915121249:43657
    13Fleetwood3914121348:46254
    14Colchester3814111350:41953
    15Accrington381391638:42-448
    16Gillingham3811121544:56-1245
    17Bristol Rovers391342240:60-2043
    18Cheltenham381191843:65-2242
    19Shrewsbury391182037:63-2641
    20Tranmere39992148:69-2136
    21Crawley396132036:60-2431
    22Newport39872439:67-2831
    23Harrogate39792329:58-2930
    24Barrow38782336:63-2729

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League