Wigan Athletic vs Port Vale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 13
  • Referee: Martin R. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.20
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
66% (166/252)80% (296/372)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.070.17
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
1720
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1911
Passes
66% (166/252)80% (296/372)
Long passes
31% (22/71)54% (26/48)
Passes in final third
50% (55/110)74% (95/129)
Crosses
33% (5/15)17% (5/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.601.36
Throw-ins
2326
Fouls
1119
Tackles
80% (12/15)50% (5/10)
Duels won
5361
Clearances
4433
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.171.07
Goals prevented
0.170.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 5', Byers G. 🟨,
  • 20', Curtis R. 🟨,
  • 44', Costelloe D. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Cooper O. , Asamoah M. ,
  • 46', Wright C. , Weir J. ,
  • 56', 1 - 0, Asamoah M. ,
  • 61', Kyle John , Johnson M. ,
  • 61', Brown D. , Paton R. ,
  • 61', Hall G. , Faal M. ,
  • 70', Heneghan B. , Stockley J. ,
  • 82', Murray F. 🟨,
  • 86', Saydee C. , Mullin P. ,
  • 90+1', Byers G. , Walters R. ,
  • 90+2', Hungbo J. , Robinson L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Wigan Athletic
40.2%
Draw
31%
Port Vale
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 29.7% 35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 30.3% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Port Vale might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Port Vale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Wigan Athletic - Port Vale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.68)
    3.03
    (3.17)
    3.28
    (2.69)
    5.5%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Wigan Athletic - Port Vale?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Port Vale will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.5%68.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 17 and 15).
    • Wigan has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Port Vale has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Wigan has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Wigan: Adeeko B. (Inactive) Carragher J. (Surgery) Cooper O. (International duty) Mabaya I. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sze C. (Foot Injury) Trevitt R. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Clark M. (Neck Injury) Gordon L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wigan: Francois T. (Muscle Injury) Rogers J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Port Vale: Headley J. (Inactive) Kyle John (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wigan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wigan Athletic - Port Vale were as follows:
    06.04.2024 Wigan Athletic - Port Vale 0:0
    16.12.2023 Port Vale - Wigan Athletic 3:2
    Latest results of Wigan Athletic
    Latest results of Port Vale
    11.10.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale 1:1
    27.09.2025 Barnsley - Port Vale 0:2
    24.09.2025 Port Vale - Arsenal 0:2
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff34226668:363272
    2Lincoln34218563:313271
    3Bolton351613650:341661
    4Bradford City341771043:38558
    5Stockport County341681047:43456
    6Wycombe3514111050:361453
    7Huddersfield351571355:46952
    8Reading341312950:44651
    9Stevenage331491037:35251
    10Luton341381343:41247
    11Peterborough351441750:49146
    12Plymouth341441649:50-146
    13Barnsley321281253:54-144
    14AFC Wimbledon331271441:48-743
    15Exeter341191439:40-142
    16Mansfield3310111239:37241
    17Burton3510101539:50-1140
    18Doncaster331161636:55-1939
    19Wigan339101435:46-1137
    20Blackpool341071740:54-1437
    21Leyton Orient331061744:56-1236
    22Rotherham34981733:47-1435
    23Northampton35981831:47-1635
    24Port Vale32691726:44-1827

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two