Wigan Athletic vs Port Vale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 13
  • Referee: Martin R. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.20
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
66% (166/252)80% (296/372)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.070.17
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
1720
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1911
Passes
66% (166/252)80% (296/372)
Long passes
31% (22/71)54% (26/48)
Passes in final third
50% (55/110)74% (95/129)
Crosses
33% (5/15)17% (5/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.601.36
Throw-ins
2326
Fouls
1119
Tackles
80% (12/15)50% (5/10)
Duels won
5361
Clearances
4433
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.171.07
Goals prevented
0.170.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 5', Byers G. 🟨,
  • 20', Curtis R. 🟨,
  • 44', Costelloe D. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Cooper O. , Asamoah M. ,
  • 46', Wright C. , Weir J. ,
  • 56', 1 - 0, Asamoah M. ,
  • 61', Kyle John , Johnson M. ,
  • 61', Brown D. , Paton R. ,
  • 61', Hall G. , Faal M. ,
  • 70', Heneghan B. , Stockley J. ,
  • 82', Murray F. 🟨,
  • 86', Saydee C. , Mullin P. ,
  • 90+1', Byers G. , Walters R. ,
  • 90+2', Hungbo J. , Robinson L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Wigan Athletic
40.2%
Draw
31%
Port Vale
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 29.7% 35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 30.3% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Port Vale might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Port Vale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Wigan Athletic - Port Vale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.68)
    3.03
    (3.17)
    3.28
    (2.69)
    5.5%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Wigan Athletic - Port Vale?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Port Vale will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.5%68.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 17 and 15).
    • Wigan has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Port Vale has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Wigan has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Wigan: Adeeko B. (Inactive) Carragher J. (Surgery) Cooper O. (International duty) Mabaya I. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sze C. (Foot Injury) Trevitt R. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Clark M. (Neck Injury) Gordon L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wigan: Francois T. (Muscle Injury) Rogers J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Port Vale: Headley J. (Inactive) Kyle John (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wigan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wigan Athletic - Port Vale were as follows:
    06.04.2024 Wigan Athletic - Port Vale 0:0
    16.12.2023 Port Vale - Wigan Athletic 3:2
    Latest results of Wigan Athletic
    Latest results of Port Vale
    11.10.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale 1:1
    27.09.2025 Barnsley - Port Vale 0:2
    24.09.2025 Port Vale - Arsenal 0:2
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln39259574:344084
    2Cardiff39238873:413277
    3Bolton391715755:391666
    4Bradford City391981249:44565
    5Stockport County371791151:48360
    6Stevenage381791241:38360
    7Plymouth391851660:54659
    8Reading3915131157:51658
    9Huddersfield391691459:51857
    10Wycombe3915111355:431256
    11Luton3915101452:49355
    12Peterborough381551857:52550
    13Barnsley3713111359:60-150
    14AFC Wimbledon381481649:55-650
    15Mansfield3712131247:41649
    16Leyton Orient381461855:62-748
    17Doncaster381381741:59-1847
    18Burton3912101744:54-1046
    19Wigan3811121541:51-1045
    20Exeter391191942:52-1042
    21Blackpool391191946:63-1742
    22Rotherham38992035:58-2336
    23Northampton39982233:56-2335
    24Port Vale367101929:49-2031

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