Portadown vs Glenavon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Northern Irish Premiership Portadown - Glenavon
Result
3:1
04/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NIFL Premiership - Round 10
  • Referee: Thompson L. (Nir)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
05
Total shots
87
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, McGerrigan L. ,
  • 25', McGerrigan L. , Smith C. ,
  • 29', O'Kane O. 🟨,
  • 34', O'Connor M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 50', Byrne M. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Wilson L. ,
  • 63', O'Connor M. , Bosakani B. ,
  • 63', Kee J. , Quinn N. ,
  • 68', McKeown B. , Burns P. ,
  • 68', 2 - 1, McCullough S. ,
  • 70', Mayse R. , Quinn B. ,
  • 79', Tulloch R. , Obhakhan A. ,
  • 79', 3 - 1, Quinn B. ,
  • 83', Wilson L. , Minzamba R. ,
  • 90+5', Murphy H. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Portadown
40.2%
Draw
28.4%
Glenavon
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 25% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 22.2% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portadown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portadown's form might have worsened.
  • Glenavon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portadown than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Portadown - Glenavon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.02)
    3.4
    (3.73)
    3.07
    (3.23)
    3.8%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Portadown - Glenavon?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Portadown will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portadown won 2.
    • Portadown has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Glenavon has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Glenavon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Portadown might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portadown won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:34. (average 1.1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portadown won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portadown - Glenavon were as follows:
    01.04.2025 Portadown - Glenavon 1:1
    26.12.2024 Glenavon - Portadown 2:0
    23.11.2024 Portadown - Glenavon 1:0
    05.10.2024 Glenavon - Portadown 2:1
    16.01.2024 Glenavon - Portadown 0:1
    Latest results of Portadown
    27.09.2025 Cliftonville - Portadown 1:2
    19.09.2025 Portadown - Bangor 1:4
    13.09.2025 Portadown - Coleraine 1:4
    06.09.2025 Linfield - Portadown 3:0
    29.08.2025 Portadown - Crusaders 2:1
    Latest results of Glenavon
    27.09.2025 Glenavon - Crusaders 0:2
    20.09.2025 Linfield - Glenavon 2:0
    13.09.2025 Larne - Glenavon 1:0
    30.08.2025 Cliftonville - Glenavon 3:1
    Northern Irish Premiership Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coleraine1181224:81625
    2Glentoran1072115:6923
    3Larne1071218:41422
    4Bangor FC1160517:18-118
    5Linfield851213:4916
    6Ballymena1251615:16-116
    7Portadown1250715:23-815
    8Dungannon1250713:22-915
    9Carrick Rangers1041512:13-113
    10Cliftonville1032512:15-311
    11Crusaders1031614:20-610
    12Glenavon1210114:23-193

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