Result
2:1
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NIFL Premiership - Round 29
- Referee: McGonigle S. (Nir)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 18', 1 - 0, Scott J. ⚽,
- 36', Gallagher C. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, Ryan A. ⚽,
- 43', 2 - 1, Fyfe E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Gallagher C. 🟨,
- 74', Scott J. ↓, Teelan J. ↑,
- 79', Ryan A. ↓, Lusty M. ↑,
- 84', Wallace L. ↓, McKendry C. ↑,
- 84', Millar L. ↓, Magee B. ↑,
- 84', Ukek J. ↓, Obhakhan A. ↑,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Portadown
17.8% | Draw
23.8% | Larne
58.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portadown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Larne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portadown than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Portadown - Larne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.18 ↑
(5.06) |
3.87 ↑
(3.73) |
1.57 ↓
(1.6) |
8.7%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Larne is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portadown won 1.
- Portadown has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Larne is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Portadown may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Larne is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Larne will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Portadown won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:40. (average 1.2:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Portadown won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.4:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Portadown won against Larne?
Portadown has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Larne won against Portadown?
Larne has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portadown - Larne were as follows:
07.11.2025
Larne
-
Portadown
3:0
22.08.2025
Larne
-
Portadown
4:0
01.07.2025
Larne
-
Portadown
3:0
15.02.2025
Portadown
-
Larne
2:0
01.02.2025
Larne
-
Portadown
1:1
Latest results of Portadown
Northern Irish Premiership Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Larne ✔ | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 55:21 | 34 | 67 |
| 2 | Glentoran ✔ | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55:29 | 26 | 62 |
| 3 | Coleraine ✔ | 31 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 60:30 | 30 | 61 |
| 4 | Linfield ✔ | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 53:21 | 32 | 59 |
| 5 | Dungannon | 31 | 15 | 1 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 46 |
| 6 | Cliftonville | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 44:42 | 2 | 40 |
| 7 | Carrick Rangers | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 46:49 | -3 | 40 |
| 8 | Portadown | 29 | 11 | 1 | 17 | 34:51 | -17 | 34 |
| 9 | Bangor FC ✔ | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 37:53 | -16 | 33 |
| 10 | Ballymena ✔ | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 34:46 | -12 | 29 |
| 11 | Crusaders ✔ | 30 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 38:68 | -30 | 25 |
| 12 | Glenavon ✔ | 31 | 7 | 1 | 23 | 30:60 | -30 | 22 |
Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )
NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Larne is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Glentoran is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Coleraine is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Linfield is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Bangor FC is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Ballymena is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Crusaders is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Glenavon is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
