Larne vs Portadown – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Northern Irish Premiership Larne - Portadown
Result
4:0
22/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NIFL Premiership - Round 4
  • Referee: Marshall T. (Nir)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
74
Shots on target
40
Corner Kicks
70
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
74
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
70
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 20', Ukek J. 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 0, Lusty M. ,
  • 23', Randall M. 🟨,
  • 39', 2 - 0, Randall M. ,
  • 41', Simpson J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Isamala D. , Thompson G. ,
  • 46', Fyfe E. , Annett R. ,
  • 50', 3 - 0, Randall M. (Pen),
  • 54', Lusty M. , Moore K. ,
  • 56', 4 - 0, O'Connor T. (Pen),
  • 61', Obhakhan A. , Gibson J. ,
  • 63', Randall M. , Bridgman A. ,
  • 76', Ukek J. , Rea J. ,
  • 84', Magee B. , Kee J. ,
  • 84', O'Connor T. , Hastings J. ,
  • 84', Simpson J. , Devlin O. ,

Chances of winning


Larne
69.8%
Draw
15.2%
Portadown
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 27.1% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7% 29% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Larne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Larne's performance.
  • Portadown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portadown might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Larne than the current prediction. (-14.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Larne that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portadown than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Larne - Portadown Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.78)
    7.84
    (3.42)
    7.93
    (4.44)
    -15.9%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Larne - Portadown?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Larne will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larne won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Larne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Larne has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Larne is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Larne won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:23. (average 1.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Larne won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Larne - Portadown were as follows:
    01.07.2025 Larne - Portadown 3:0
    15.02.2025 Portadown - Larne 2:0
    01.02.2025 Larne - Portadown 1:1
    27.10.2024 Portadown - Larne 2:1
    24.01.2023 Larne - Portadown 2:0
    Latest results of Larne
    19.08.2025 Cliftonville - Larne 1:1
    15.08.2025 Larne - Crusaders Postponed
    14.08.2025 Santa Clara - Larne 0:0
    10.08.2025 Coleraine - Larne 1:0
    07.08.2025 Larne - Santa Clara 0:3
    Latest results of Portadown
    Northern Irish Premiership Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Glentoran44006:0612
    2Coleraine43105:1410
    3Ballymena33008:089
    4Carrick Rangers33007:349
    5Larne31115:234
    6Linfield11003:033
    7Crusaders31026:7-13
    8Portadown41034:8-43
    9Bangor FC41034:9-53
    10Cliftonville30212:4-22
    11Glenavon40041:7-60
    12Dungannon40041:11-100

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