Result
1:0
28/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 24
- Referee: Melo F. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 23 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', Mateus Sarara 🟨,
- 49', 1 - 0, Michel D. ⚽,
- 60', Heitor ↓, Welinton Junior ↑,
- 64', Gomes B. ↓, Kouassi E. ↑,
- 64', van der Gaag J. ↓, Jair da Silva ↑,
- 71', Maga 🟨,
- 71', Lobato S. ↓, Mamede ↑,
- 71', Joao Reis ↓, Thauan Lara ↑,
- 78', Fernandez P. 🟨,
- 79', Edney ↓, Canario F. ↑,
- 79', Neves S. ↓, Jarleysom ↑,
- 80', Munoz J. ↓, Sylla H. ↑,
- 80', Pires M. ↓, Martins D. ↑,
- 89', Fernandez P. ↓, Lucho Vega ↑,
Chances of winning
Leiria
49.8% | Draw
28.2% | Portimonense
22% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Leiria - Portimonense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.87) |
3.27 ↓
(3.34) |
4.22 ↑
(4) |
7.7%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Leiria - Portimonense?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leiria (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Portimonense (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Leiria (votes: 1 - 50%). Portimonense (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).
- Leiria has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Portimonense is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Leiria is a strong favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leiria won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Leiria won against Portimonense?
Leiria has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portimonense won against Leiria?
Portimonense has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leiria - Portimonense were as follows:
04.10.2025
Portimonense
-
Leiria
1:1
26.01.2025
Leiria
-
Portimonense
1:0
17.08.2024
Portimonense
-
Leiria
0:3
Latest results of Portimonense
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
