Result
20/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Portland Thorns
34.5% | Draw
28.8% | San Diego Wave
36.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Thorns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)San Diego Wave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Thorns than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Wave than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Portland Thorns - San Diego Wave Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↓
(2.7) |
3.17 ↑
(3.1) |
2.48 ↑
(2.46) |
9.8%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland Thorns won 1.
- Portland Thorns has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- San Diego Wave is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- San Diego Wave may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Portland Thorns won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Portland Thorns won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Portland Thorns won against San Diego Wave?
Portland Thorns has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego Wave won against Portland Thorns?
San Diego Wave has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Thorns - San Diego Wave were as follows:
10.05.2025
San Diego Wave
-
Portland Thorns
1:1
28.09.2024
San Diego Wave
-
Portland Thorns
2:0
18.09.2024
San Diego Wave
-
Portland Thorns
3:2
05.07.2024
Portland Thorns
-
San Diego Wave
1:0
30.09.2023
Portland Thorns
-
San Diego Wave
0:2
Latest results of Portland Thorns
Latest results of San Diego Wave
NWSL Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kansas City Current W | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 38:10 | 28 | 50 |
| 2 | Washington Spirit W | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 31:25 | 6 | 36 |
| 3 | Gotham W | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 27:17 | 10 | 30 |
| 4 | Portland Thorns W | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29:23 | 6 | 30 |
| 5 | San Diego Wave W | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 28:24 | 4 | 30 |
| 6 | Seattle Reign W | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 30 |
| 7 | Orlando Pride W | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25:21 | 4 | 29 |
| 8 | Racing Louisville W | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:31 | -6 | 26 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 26:30 | -4 | 25 |
| 10 | Houston Dash W | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 23 |
| 11 | Angel City W | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 23 |
| 12 | Bay FC W | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 22:30 | -8 | 18 |
| 13 | Chicago W | 20 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 25:39 | -14 | 15 |
| 14 | Utah Royals W | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 17:33 | -16 | 15 |
Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
