San Diego Wave vs Portland Thorns – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football NWSL San Diego Wave - Portland Thorns
Result
1:1
10/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NWSL Women
  • Referee: Simon N. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
mexicoMexicoAzteca Deportes
usaUsaion TV, NWSL+ app, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.632.69
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
521
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
79% (390/494)80% (325/406)
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.632.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.181.47
Total shots
521
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
111
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
311
Shots outside the Box
210
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1032
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
136
Passes
79% (390/494)80% (325/406)
Long passes
26% (16/61)44% (18/41)
Passes in final third
62% (51/82)71% (117/165)
Crosses
0% (0/6)64% (7/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.412.12
Throw-ins
2724
Fouls
613
Tackles
45% (5/11)56% (10/18)
Duels won
3741
Clearances
1217
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.471.18
Goals prevented
-0.330.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Ascanio K. , Morroni P. (A),
  • 41', Wesley K. 🟥,
  • 44', Sanchez M. , McNabb K. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Corley G. , Leon A. ,
  • 46', Obaze I. , Hanks C. ,
  • 70', Reyes R. , Mckenzie M. ,
  • 70', Turner R. , Tordin P. ,
  • 70', Fleming J. , Linnehan P. ,
  • 78', Ascanio K. , Carusa K. ,
  • 79', Castellanos D. , Alidou d'Anjou M. ,
  • 87', Cascarino D. , Robbe M. ,
  • 90+8', 1 - 1, Perry J. (Pen),

Chances of winning


San Diego Wave
44.9%
Draw
27.4%
Portland Thorns
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 28.3% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8% 29.4% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Diego Wave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Portland Thorns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Wave than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Thorns than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • San Diego Wave - Portland Thorns Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.06)
    3.36
    (3.2)
    3.31
    (3.28)
    8.8%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego Wave won 3.
    • San Diego Wave has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Portland Thorns is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • San Diego Wave is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, San Diego Wave won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Diego Wave won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Diego Wave - Portland Thorns were as follows:
    28.09.2024 San Diego Wave - Portland Thorns 2:0
    18.09.2024 San Diego Wave - Portland Thorns 3:2
    05.07.2024 Portland Thorns - San Diego Wave 1:0
    30.09.2023 Portland Thorns - San Diego Wave 0:2
    21.07.2023 Portland Thorns - San Diego Wave 4:1
    Latest results of San Diego Wave
    Latest results of Portland Thorns
    NWSL Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kansas City Current W17141234:102443
    2Washington Spirit W1794428:24431
    3San Diego Wave W1785428:19929
    4Orlando Pride W1784522:13928
    5Portland Thorns W1775525:19626
    6Seattle Reign W1775525:21426
    7Racing Louisville W1774623:27-425
    8Gotham W1756620:16421
    9North Carolina Courage W1756623:26-321
    10Angel City W1755722:27-520
    11Houston Dash W1754820:27-719
    12Bay FC W1745820:25-517
    13Chicago W1717918:35-1710
    14Utah Royals W17151112:31-198

          Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)