Result
1:1
10/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NWSL Women
- Referee: Simon N. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Usa | ion TV, NWSL+ app, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 2.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (390/494) | 80% (325/406) |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 2.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (390/494) | 80% (325/406) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (16/61) | 44% (18/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (51/82) | 71% (117/165) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/6) | 64% (7/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 2.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.33 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Ascanio K. ⚽, Morroni P. (A),
- 41', Wesley K. 🟥,
- 44', Sanchez M. ↓, McNabb K. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Corley G. ↓, Leon A. ↑,
- 46', Obaze I. ↓, Hanks C. ↑,
- 70', Reyes R. ↓, Mckenzie M. ↑,
- 70', Turner R. ↓, Tordin P. ↑,
- 70', Fleming J. ↓, Linnehan P. ↑,
- 78', Ascanio K. ↓, Carusa K. ↑,
- 79', Castellanos D. ↓, Alidou d'Anjou M. ↑,
- 87', Cascarino D. ↓, Robbe M. ↑,
- 90+8', 1 - 1, Perry J. (Pen),
Chances of winning
San Diego Wave
44.9% | Draw
27.4% | Portland Thorns
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego Wave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Portland Thorns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Wave than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Thorns than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
San Diego Wave - Portland Thorns Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.06) |
3.36 ↑
(3.2) |
3.31 ↑
(3.28) |
8.8%
(10.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego Wave won 3.
- San Diego Wave has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Portland Thorns is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- San Diego Wave is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, San Diego Wave won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Diego Wave won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego Wave won against Portland Thorns?
San Diego Wave has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portland Thorns won against San Diego Wave?
Portland Thorns has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Diego Wave - Portland Thorns were as follows:
28.09.2024
San Diego Wave
-
Portland Thorns
2:0
18.09.2024
San Diego Wave
-
Portland Thorns
3:2
05.07.2024
Portland Thorns
-
San Diego Wave
1:0
30.09.2023
Portland Thorns
-
San Diego Wave
0:2
21.07.2023
Portland Thorns
-
San Diego Wave
4:1
Latest results of San Diego Wave
Latest results of Portland Thorns
NWSL Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kansas City Current W | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 29:10 | 19 | 33 |
| 2 | Orlando Pride W | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 20:10 | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | San Diego Wave W | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:16 | 9 | 24 |
| 4 | Washington Spirit W | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 21:19 | 2 | 23 |
| 5 | Portland Thorns W | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Seattle Reign W | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 21 |
| 7 | Racing Louisville W | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 20 |
| 8 | Gotham W | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | Bay FC W | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Angel City W | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 20:24 | -4 | 15 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 11 |
| 13 | Chicago W | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10:27 | -17 | 6 |
| 14 | Utah Royals W | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11:29 | -18 | 5 |
Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
