Result
2:2
27/09/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Penso C. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 2.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (448/516) | 76% (278/367) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 2.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (448/516) | 76% (278/367) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (31/48) | 39% (25/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (106/135) | 64% (98/153) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 74% (20/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.46 | 0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', Mosquera J. 🟨,
- 45+1', Jackson J. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Ramiro (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Rojas M. ↓, Paredes C. ↑,
- 46', Mosquera J. ↓, Smith I. ↑,
- 57', Moore S. 🟨,
- 63', Antony 🟨,
- 65', Kaick ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
- 65', Delgado P. ↓, Julio Santos A. A. ↑,
- 68', Miller K. ↓, Fory J. ↑,
- 69', Pereira da Costa D. ↓, Fernandez O. ↑,
- 70', Surman F. 🟨,
- 73', 1 - 1, Musa P. (Pen),
- 78', Smith I. 🟨,
- 79', Mora F. ↓, Kelsy K. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Paredes C. ⚽, Velde K. (A),
- 85', 2 - 2, Julio Santos A. A. ⚽,
- 87', Farrington L. ↓, Abubakar L. ↑,
- 90+3', Cappis C. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Portland Timbers
53.7% | Draw
23.1% | FC Dallas
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)FC Dallas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Portland Timbers - FC Dallas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↑
(1.73) |
4.15 ↑
(4.03) |
4.15 ↑
(4.14) |
4.6%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - FC Dallas?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Dallas will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 1.
- Portland has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Dallas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Portland has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Portland is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Portland: Carballo F.
(Inactive)
Crepeau M.
(Concussion)
Rodriguez J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Dallas: Geovane Jesus
(Knee Injury)
Newman E.
(Knee Injury)
Paes M.
(Leg Injury)
Pomykal P.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 0.9:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Portland Timbers won against FC Dallas?
Portland Timbers has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FC Dallas won against Portland Timbers?
FC Dallas has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers - FC Dallas were as follows:
09.08.2025
FC Dallas
-
Portland Timbers
2:0
06.10.2024
Portland Timbers
-
FC Dallas
0:0
04.07.2024
FC Dallas
-
Portland Timbers
3:2
11.06.2023
Portland Timbers
-
FC Dallas
1:0
01.04.2023
FC Dallas
-
Portland Timbers
1:1
Latest results of Portland Timbers
Latest results of FC Dallas
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
