Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Portland Timbers - FC Dallas
Result
2:2
27/09/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Penso C. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.662.75
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
2416
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
87% (448/516)76% (278/367)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.662.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.431.54
Total shots
2416
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
109
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
1311
Shots outside the Box
115
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
3130
Accurate through passes
04
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
87% (448/516)76% (278/367)
Long passes
65% (31/48)39% (25/64)
Passes in final third
79% (106/135)64% (98/153)
Crosses
29% (6/21)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.111.57
Throw-ins
1611
Fouls
1410
Tackles
56% (10/18)74% (20/27)
Duels won
5663
Clearances
1820
Interceptions
1513
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
1.541.43
Goals prevented
-0.460.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Mosquera J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Jackson J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Ramiro (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Rojas M. , Paredes C. ,
  • 46', Mosquera J. , Smith I. ,
  • 57', Moore S. 🟨,
  • 63', Antony 🟨,
  • 65', Kaick , Pedrinho ,
  • 65', Delgado P. , Julio Santos A. A. ,
  • 68', Miller K. , Fory J. ,
  • 69', Pereira da Costa D. , Fernandez O. ,
  • 70', Surman F. 🟨,
  • 73', 1 - 1, Musa P. (Pen),
  • 78', Smith I. 🟨,
  • 79', Mora F. , Kelsy K. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Paredes C. , Velde K. (A),
  • 85', 2 - 2, Julio Santos A. A. ,
  • 87', Farrington L. , Abubakar L. ,
  • 90+3', Cappis C. , Garcia D. ,

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers
53.7%
Draw
23.1%
FC Dallas
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 23.3% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6% 24.4% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • FC Dallas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Portland Timbers - FC Dallas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.73)
    4.15
    (4.03)
    4.15
    (4.14)
    4.6%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - FC Dallas?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Dallas will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 1.
    • Portland has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Dallas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Portland has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Portland is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Portland: Carballo F. (Inactive) Crepeau M. (Concussion) Rodriguez J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Dallas: Geovane Jesus (Knee Injury) Newman E. (Knee Injury) Paes M. (Leg Injury) Pomykal P. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 0.9:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers - FC Dallas were as follows:
    09.08.2025 FC Dallas - Portland Timbers 2:0
    06.10.2024 Portland Timbers - FC Dallas 0:0
    04.07.2024 FC Dallas - Portland Timbers 3:2
    11.06.2023 Portland Timbers - FC Dallas 1:0
    01.04.2023 FC Dallas - Portland Timbers 1:1
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    Latest results of FC Dallas
    13.09.2025 FC Dallas - Austin FC 2:0
    06.09.2025 St. Louis City - FC Dallas 1:1
    23.08.2025 FC Dallas - Los Angeles 1:1
    16.08.2025 Austin FC - FC Dallas 1:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire1 : 0
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers1 : 0
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2