Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
27/09/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Penso C. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.662.75
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
2416
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
87% (448/516)76% (278/367)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.662.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.431.54
Total shots
2416
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
109
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
1311
Shots outside the Box
115
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
3130
Accurate through passes
04
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
87% (448/516)76% (278/367)
Long passes
65% (31/48)39% (25/64)
Passes in final third
79% (106/135)64% (98/153)
Crosses
29% (6/21)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.111.57
Throw-ins
1611
Fouls
1410
Tackles
56% (10/18)74% (20/27)
Duels won
5663
Clearances
1820
Interceptions
1513
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
1.541.43
Goals prevented
-0.460.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Mosquera J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Jackson J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Ramiro (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Rojas M. , Paredes C. ,
  • 46', Mosquera J. , Smith I. ,
  • 57', Moore S. 🟨,
  • 63', Antony 🟨,
  • 65', Kaick , Pedrinho ,
  • 65', Delgado P. , Julio Santos A. A. ,
  • 68', Miller K. , Fory J. ,
  • 69', Pereira da Costa D. , Fernandez O. ,
  • 70', Surman F. 🟨,
  • 73', 1 - 1, Musa P. (Pen),
  • 78', Smith I. 🟨,
  • 79', Mora F. , Kelsy K. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Paredes C. , Velde K. (A),
  • 85', 2 - 2, Julio Santos A. A. ,
  • 87', Farrington L. , Abubakar L. ,
  • 90+3', Cappis C. , Garcia D. ,

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers
53.7%
Draw
23.1%
FC Dallas
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 23.3% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6% 24.4% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • FC Dallas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Portland Timbers - FC Dallas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.73)
    4.15
    (4.03)
    4.15
    (4.14)
    4.6%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - FC Dallas?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Dallas will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Portland (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 1.
    • Portland has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Dallas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Portland has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Portland is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Portland: Carballo F. (Inactive) Crepeau M. (Concussion) Rodriguez J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Dallas: Geovane Jesus (Knee Injury) Newman E. (Knee Injury) Paes M. (Leg Injury) Pomykal P. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 0.9:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers - FC Dallas were as follows:
    09.08.2025 FC Dallas - Portland Timbers 2:0
    06.10.2024 Portland Timbers - FC Dallas 0:0
    04.07.2024 FC Dallas - Portland Timbers 3:2
    11.06.2023 Portland Timbers - FC Dallas 1:0
    01.04.2023 FC Dallas - Portland Timbers 1:1
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    Latest results of FC Dallas
    13.09.2025 FC Dallas - Austin FC 2:0
    06.09.2025 St. Louis City - FC Dallas 1:1
    23.08.2025 FC Dallas - Los Angeles 1:1
    16.08.2025 Austin FC - FC Dallas 1:1
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Angeles FC54108:0813
    2Vancouver Whitecaps540114:21212
    3San Jose Earthquakes54017:1612
    4San Diego FC532013:5811
    5Seattle Sounders53115:2310
    6Real Salt Lake53119:7210
    7Colorado Rapids530211:749
    8FC Dallas522110:918
    9Houston Dynamo42028:9-16
    10Los Angeles Galaxy51227:8-15
    11Austin FC51225:7-25
    12Minnesota United51224:11-75
    13St. Louis City51134:7-34
    14Portland Timbers51137:12-54
    15Sporting Kansas City51135:11-64


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC541013:21113
    2New York City531113:6710
    3Inter Miami53119:8110
    4Charlotte522110:648
    5Chicago Fire52127:527
    6DC United52124:407
    7Toronto FC52126:8-27
    8New York Red Bulls52125:11-67
    9FC Cincinnati52037:11-46
    10Atlanta Utd51135:8-34
    11New England Revolution41038:9-13
    12CF Montreal51047:14-73
    13Orlando City51045:17-123
    14Columbus Crew50235:8-32
    15Philadelphia Union50053:9-60

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)