Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
27/09/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Penso C. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.662.75
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
2416
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
87% (448/516)76% (278/367)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.662.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.431.54
Total shots
2416
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
109
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
1311
Shots outside the Box
115
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
3130
Accurate through passes
04
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
87% (448/516)76% (278/367)
Long passes
65% (31/48)39% (25/64)
Passes in final third
79% (106/135)64% (98/153)
Crosses
29% (6/21)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.111.57
Throw-ins
1611
Fouls
1410
Tackles
56% (10/18)74% (20/27)
Duels won
5663
Clearances
1820
Interceptions
1513
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
1.541.43
Goals prevented
-0.460.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Mosquera J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Jackson J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Ramiro (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Rojas M. , Paredes C. ,
  • 46', Mosquera J. , Smith I. ,
  • 57', Moore S. 🟨,
  • 63', Antony 🟨,
  • 65', Kaick , Pedrinho ,
  • 65', Delgado P. , Julio Santos A. A. ,
  • 68', Miller K. , Fory J. ,
  • 69', Pereira da Costa D. , Fernandez O. ,
  • 70', Surman F. 🟨,
  • 73', 1 - 1, Musa P. (Pen),
  • 78', Smith I. 🟨,
  • 79', Mora F. , Kelsy K. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Paredes C. , Velde K. (A),
  • 85', 2 - 2, Julio Santos A. A. ,
  • 87', Farrington L. , Abubakar L. ,
  • 90+3', Cappis C. , Garcia D. ,

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers
53.7%
Draw
23.1%
FC Dallas
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 23.3% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6% 24.4% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • FC Dallas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Portland Timbers - FC Dallas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.73)
    4.15
    (4.03)
    4.15
    (4.14)
    4.6%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - FC Dallas?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Dallas will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Portland (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 1.
    • Portland has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Dallas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Portland has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Portland is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Portland: Carballo F. (Inactive) Crepeau M. (Concussion) Rodriguez J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Dallas: Geovane Jesus (Knee Injury) Newman E. (Knee Injury) Paes M. (Leg Injury) Pomykal P. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 0.9:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers - FC Dallas were as follows:
    09.08.2025 FC Dallas - Portland Timbers 2:0
    06.10.2024 Portland Timbers - FC Dallas 0:0
    04.07.2024 FC Dallas - Portland Timbers 3:2
    11.06.2023 Portland Timbers - FC Dallas 1:0
    01.04.2023 FC Dallas - Portland Timbers 1:1
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    Latest results of FC Dallas
    13.09.2025 FC Dallas - Austin FC 2:0
    06.09.2025 St. Louis City - FC Dallas 1:1
    23.08.2025 FC Dallas - Los Angeles 1:1
    16.08.2025 Austin FC - FC Dallas 1:1
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22007:076
    2San Jose Earthquakes22005:056
    3Los Angeles FC22005:056
    4Vancouver Whitecaps22004:046
    5Los Angeles Galaxy21104:134
    6FC Dallas21103:214
    7Minnesota United21103:214
    8Austin FC21103:214
    9Seattle Sounders21013:213
    10Real Salt Lake21012:203
    11Colorado Rapids21012:203
    12Portland Timbers21013:4-13
    13Houston Dynamo21012:3-13
    14St. Louis City20111:3-21
    15Sporting Kansas City20112:5-31


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York Red Bulls22003:126
    2Nashville SC21104:134
    3New York City21103:214
    4Chicago Fire21014:223
    5FC Cincinnati21012:113
    6DC United21011:103
    7Inter Miami21014:5-13
    8Columbus Crew20114:5-11
    9Charlotte20111:4-31
    10Philadelphia Union20021:3-20
    11Orlando City20023:6-30
    12Toronto FC20022:6-40
    13New England Revolution20021:5-40
    14Atlanta Utd20020:4-40
    15CF Montreal20020:8-80

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)