Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
27/09/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Penso C. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.662.75
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
2416
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
87% (448/516)76% (278/367)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.662.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.431.54
Total shots
2416
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
109
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
1311
Shots outside the Box
115
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
3130
Accurate through passes
04
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
87% (448/516)76% (278/367)
Long passes
65% (31/48)39% (25/64)
Passes in final third
79% (106/135)64% (98/153)
Crosses
29% (6/21)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.111.57
Throw-ins
1611
Fouls
1410
Tackles
56% (10/18)74% (20/27)
Duels won
5663
Clearances
1820
Interceptions
1513
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
1.541.43
Goals prevented
-0.460.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Mosquera J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Jackson J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Ramiro (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Rojas M. , Paredes C. ,
  • 46', Mosquera J. , Smith I. ,
  • 57', Moore S. 🟨,
  • 63', Antony 🟨,
  • 65', Kaick , Pedrinho ,
  • 65', Delgado P. , Julio Santos A. A. ,
  • 68', Miller K. , Fory J. ,
  • 69', Pereira da Costa D. , Fernandez O. ,
  • 70', Surman F. 🟨,
  • 73', 1 - 1, Musa P. (Pen),
  • 78', Smith I. 🟨,
  • 79', Mora F. , Kelsy K. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Paredes C. , Velde K. (A),
  • 85', 2 - 2, Julio Santos A. A. ,
  • 87', Farrington L. , Abubakar L. ,
  • 90+3', Cappis C. , Garcia D. ,

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers
53.7%
Draw
23.1%
FC Dallas
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 23.3% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6% 24.4% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • FC Dallas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Portland Timbers - FC Dallas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.73)
    4.15
    (4.03)
    4.15
    (4.14)
    4.6%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - FC Dallas?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Dallas will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4%84.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Portland (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 1.
    • Portland has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Dallas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Portland has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Portland is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Portland: Carballo F. (Inactive) Crepeau M. (Concussion) Rodriguez J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Dallas: Geovane Jesus (Knee Injury) Newman E. (Knee Injury) Paes M. (Leg Injury) Pomykal P. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 0.9:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers - FC Dallas were as follows:
    09.08.2025 FC Dallas - Portland Timbers 2:0
    06.10.2024 Portland Timbers - FC Dallas 0:0
    04.07.2024 FC Dallas - Portland Timbers 3:2
    11.06.2023 Portland Timbers - FC Dallas 1:0
    01.04.2023 FC Dallas - Portland Timbers 1:1
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    Latest results of FC Dallas
    13.09.2025 FC Dallas - Austin FC 2:0
    06.09.2025 St. Louis City - FC Dallas 1:1
    23.08.2025 FC Dallas - Los Angeles 1:1
    16.08.2025 Austin FC - FC Dallas 1:1
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Jose Earthquakes1090125:61927
    2Vancouver Whitecaps980125:52024
    3Los Angeles FC1062217:61120
    4Seattle Sounders861112:4819
    5Minnesota United1052311:14-317
    6Real Salt Lake951317:14316
    7Colorado Rapids1041522:18413
    8FC Dallas1034318:15313
    9Houston Dynamo940512:18-612
    10Los Angeles Galaxy1033415:16-112
    11San Diego FC1032517:17011
    12Portland Timbers931513:19-610
    13Austin FC1024414:19-510
    14St. Louis City91359:16-76
    15Sporting Kansas City91177:25-184


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC971121:61522
    2Inter Miami1054119:15419
    3Chicago Fire952217:8917
    4New England Revolution951317:12516
    5Charlotte1042418:18014
    6Toronto FC1034317:19-213
    7New York City1033419:16312
    8Columbus Crew1033414:13112
    9FC Cincinnati1033419:23-412
    10DC United1033411:15-412
    11New York Red Bulls1033416:25-912
    12CF Montreal930613:20-79
    13Atlanta Utd102179:17-87
    14Orlando City1021712:29-177
    15Philadelphia Union101279:17-85

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)