Barcelona vs Porto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Barcelona - Porto
Result
2:1
28/11/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo
franceFrancebeIN Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport Golf
portugalPortugalEleven Sports
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Orange Sport, Prima Sport 3
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Chances of winning


Barcelona
66.5%
Draw
20.2%
Porto
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.2% 20.7% 14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7% 20.6% 14.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Barcelona - Porto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.45)
    4.76
    (4.58)
    7.15
    (6.7)
    4.4%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Barcelona - Porto?
  • Users Predictions: 80 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 61 - 76.3%). Porto will win (votes: 9 - 11.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 67%85.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estadio Olímpico.
    • Recent matches Barcelona is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Porto is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Porto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Barcelona is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Barcelona: Gavi (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Porto: Carmo D. (Yellow Cards) Gabriel Veron (Thigh Injury) Marcano I. (Knee Injury) Wendell (Calf Injury) Zaidu (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Barcelona: ter Stegen M. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Porto: Pepe (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona - Porto were as follows:
    04.10.2023 Porto - Barcelona 0:1
    Latest results of Barcelona
    Latest results of Porto
    24.11.2023 Porto - Montalegre 4:0
    11.11.2023 Vitoria Guimarães - Porto 1:2
    07.11.2023 Porto - Royal Antwerp 2:0
    03.11.2023 Porto - Estoril Praia 0:1
    29.10.2023 Vizela - Porto 0:2
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 3, 0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 2, 0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 5, 0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 5, 2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen1 : 2, 3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV2 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1FerencvarosQarabag
    2Crvena zvezdaPafos
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz
    4CelticKairat Almaty
    5BaselFC Copenhagen
    6FenerbahceBenfica
    7RangersClub Brugge KV