Barcelona vs Porto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
28/11/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo
franceFrancebeIN Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport Golf
portugalPortugalEleven Sports
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Orange Sport, Prima Sport 3
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Chances of winning


Barcelona
66.5%
Draw
20.2%
Porto
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.2% 20.7% 14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7% 20.6% 14.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Barcelona - Porto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.45)
    4.76
    (4.58)
    7.15
    (6.7)
    4.4%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Barcelona - Porto?
  • Users Predictions: 80 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 61 - 76.3%). Porto will win (votes: 9 - 11.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 67%85.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estadio Olímpico.
    • Recent matches Barcelona is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Porto is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Porto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Barcelona is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Barcelona: Gavi (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Porto: Carmo D. (Yellow Cards) Gabriel Veron (Thigh Injury) Marcano I. (Knee Injury) Wendell (Calf Injury) Zaidu (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Barcelona: ter Stegen M. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Porto: Pepe (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona - Porto were as follows:
    04.10.2023 Porto - Barcelona 0:1
    Latest results of Barcelona
    Latest results of Porto
    24.11.2023 Porto - Montalegre 4:0
    11.11.2023 Vitoria Guimarães - Porto 1:2
    07.11.2023 Porto - Royal Antwerp 2:0
    03.11.2023 Porto - Estoril Praia 0:1
    29.10.2023 Vizela - Porto 0:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2