Result
1:3
12/04/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 29
- Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Hungary | Selekt, Sport 2 |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Kuwait | KTV Sport |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 4 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Antel TV |
 Usa | Fubo Latino |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 2.69 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (355/456) | 78% (284/366) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 2.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 2.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 42 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (355/456) | 78% (284/366) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (17/57) | 45% (21/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (94/128) | 65% (75/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/16) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 2.10 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 47% (9/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.67 | 0.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.67 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 14', 0 - 1, Pepê ⚽, Veiga G. (A),
- 30', Holsgrove J. 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 2, Xeka (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', Carvalho J. 🟨,
- 51', Pietuszewski O. 🟨,
- 60', Pietuszewski O. ↓, Sainz B. ↑,
- 63', Xeka ↓, Guitane R. ↑,
- 70', Veiga G. ↓, Mora R. ↑,
- 70', Gul D. ↓, Moffi T. ↑,
- 70', Zaidu ↓, Moura F. ↑,
- 71', Amaral P. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
- 71', Lacximicant A. ↓, Marques A. ↑,
- 72', 0 - 3, Froholdt V. ⚽, Costa A. (A),
- 77', Holsgrove J. ↓, Pizzi ↑,
- 77', Jandro ↓, Lominadze N. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 3, Begraoui Y. ⚽, Pizzi (A),
- 82', Sanchez R. 🟨,
- 83', Pepê ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Estoril Praia
13.3% | Draw
19.1% | Porto
67.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Estoril Praia - Porto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.24 ↓
(7.8) |
4.98 ↑
(4.86) |
1.4 ↓
(1.43) |
5.3%
(3.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Estoril Praia - Porto?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 62.2% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 1.
- Estoril is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Porto is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Porto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Porto has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Porto is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Estoril: Boma K.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Porto: Perez N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Samu
(Knee Injury)
William Gomes
(Yellow Cards)
de Jong L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Estoril: Carvalho J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Porto: Fernandes M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 17:43. (average 0.9:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estoril won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 1.3:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Porto?
Estoril Praia has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Estoril Praia?
Porto has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estoril Praia - Porto were as follows:
30.11.2025
Porto
-
Estoril Praia
1:0
30.03.2025
Estoril Praia
-
Porto
1:2
03.11.2024
Porto
-
Estoril Praia
4:0
30.03.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Porto
1:0
09.01.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Porto
0:4
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto ✔ | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 47 | 76 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 57 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 42 |
| 9 | Estoril | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 52:53 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 35 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 29:56 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24:52 | -28 | 25 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | -42 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
FC Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
