Result
1:4
06/04/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 28
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sport TV Africa |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2, SportKlub 2 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Disney+, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 2.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (412/475) | 75% (226/301) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 2.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 31 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (412/475) | 75% (226/301) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (27/46) | 46% (21/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (61/92) | 70% (79/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 64% (7/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 52 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 15 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.07 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 1', 0 - 1, Pavlidis V. ⚽, Akturkoglu K. (A),
- 16', Perez N. 🟨,
- 23', Carreras A. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 2, Pavlidis V. ⚽, Florentino (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 56', Anselmi M. 🟨,
- 62', Araujo T. ↓, Dahl S. ↑,
- 64', Eustaquio S. ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
- 64', Pepê ↓, Borges G. ↑,
- 69', 0 - 3, Pavlidis V. ⚽, Di Maria A. (A),
- 72', Di Maria A. ↓, Schjelderup A. ↑,
- 72', Pavlidis V. ↓, Belotti A. ↑,
- 77', Mora R. ↓, Pedro J. ↑,
- 78', Joao Mario ↓, Danny Namaso ↑,
- 81', 1 - 3, Samu ⚽,
- 82', Borges G. 🟨,
- 84', Moura F. ↓, William Gomes ↑,
- 90+1', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Barreiro L. ↑,
- 90+4', Fernandes M. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 4, Otamendi N. ⚽, Kokcu O. (A),
Chances of winning
Porto
30.8% | Draw
28.5% | Benfica
40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Porto's form might have worsened.Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benfica's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Porto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benfica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Porto - Benfica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.03 ↑
(2.56) |
3.28 ↑
(2.99) |
2.31 ↓
(2.77) |
6.8%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Porto - Benfica?
Users Predictions:
40 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 11 - 27.5%). Benfica will win (votes: 24 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 44.8% – 75.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Porto (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Benfica (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Benfica (votes: 3 - 75%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Porto won 2.
- At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
- Porto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Porto: Claudio Ramos
(Inactive)
Grujic M.
(Muscle Injury)
Sousa V.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Benfica: Bah A.
(Knee Injury)
Manu
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Benfica: Gouveia T.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Porto won 11 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 31:19 (average 1.6:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Porto won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:7 (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Benfica?
Porto has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Porto?
Benfica has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Benfica were as follows:
10.11.2024
Benfica
-
Porto
4:1
03.03.2024
Porto
-
Benfica
5:0
29.09.2023
Benfica
-
Porto
1:0
09.08.2023
Benfica
-
Porto
2:0
07.04.2023
Benfica
-
Porto
1:2
Latest results of Benfica
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Arouca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Tondela | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
