Result
0:0
05/10/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 8
- Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Kuwait | KTV Sport |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (363/431) | 80% (333/417) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (363/431) | 80% (333/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (18/31) | 36% (22/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (76/117) | 63% (47/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45', Rios R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 48', Bednarek J. 🟨,
- 62', Pepê 🟨,
- 63', Pepê ↓, William Gomes ↑,
- 63', Veiga G. ↓, Rosario P. ↑,
- 75', Samu ↓, Gul D. ↑,
- 77', Varela A. 🟨,
- 80', Lukebakio D. ↓, Barreiro L. ↑,
- 80', Rosario P. 🟨,
- 90', Varela A. ↓, Mora R. ↑,
- 90', Sudakov G. ↓, Araujo T. ↑,
- 90+4', Dahl S. ↓, Rego J. ↑,
- 90+5', Moura F. 🟨,
- 90+6', Sainz B. 🟨,
- 90+6', Dedic A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Porto
47.3% | Draw
27.7% | Benfica
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Porto's performance.Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Porto - Benfica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↓
(2.29) |
3.39 ↑
(3.34) |
3.77 ↑
(3.17) |
6.2%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Porto - Benfica?
Users Predictions:
49 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 35 - 71.4%). Benfica will win (votes: 3 - 6.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 22.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 58.7% – 84.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Porto will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 1.
- Porto is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Benfica has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Benfica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Porto will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Porto: Fernandes M.
(Red Card)
Perez N.
(Injury)
Perez T.
(International duty)
de Jong L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Benfica: Bah A.
(Knee Injury)
Bruma
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Felix N.
(Knee Injury)
Manu
(Knee Injury)
Prestianni G.
(International duty)
Wynder J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Benfica: Silva A.
(Injury)
Umeh J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Porto won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 2.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Benfica?
Porto has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Porto?
Benfica has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Benfica were as follows:
06.04.2025
Porto
-
Benfica
1:4
10.11.2024
Benfica
-
Porto
4:1
03.03.2024
Porto
-
Benfica
5:0
29.09.2023
Benfica
-
Porto
1:0
09.08.2023
Benfica
-
Porto
2:0
Latest results of Benfica
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Benfica | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Arouca | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
