Result
08/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Benfica
44.2% | Draw
28.6% | Porto
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benfica's performance.Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+3%)
Benfica - Porto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↓
(2.56) |
3.28 ↑
(3.15) |
3.47 ↑
(3.1) |
5.9%
(3.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Benfica - Porto?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Benfica (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 2.
- Benfica has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Porto is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Benfica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Porto?
Benfica has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Benfica?
Porto has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Porto were as follows:
14.01.2026
Porto
-
Benfica
1:0
05.10.2025
Porto
-
Benfica
0:0
06.04.2025
Porto
-
Benfica
1:4
10.11.2024
Benfica
-
Porto
4:1
03.03.2024
Porto
-
Benfica
5:0
Latest results of Benfica
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
