Benfica vs Porto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal
Result
2:2
08/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 25
  • Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaRing
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyDAZN Italia
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalBenfica TV
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
russiaRussiaTV Start
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
uruguayUruguayAntel TV
usaUsaFubo Latino
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.302.14
Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
2014
Shots on target
66
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
82
Passes
82% (363/442)75% (235/314)
Yellow cards
26
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.302.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.992.10
Total shots
2014
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
54
Blocked shots
94
Shots inside the box
127
Shots outside the box
87
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
3719
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1711
Passes
82% (363/442)75% (235/314)
Long passes
40% (14/35)28% (13/47)
Passes in final third
77% (121/157)63% (44/70)
Crosses
16% (5/31)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.750.80
Throw ins
2017
Fouls
1117
Tackles
65% (13/20)52% (12/23)
Duels won
6053
Clearances
1044
Interceptions
717
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
45
xGOT faced
2.101.99
Goals prevented
0.10-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Froholdt V. ⚽,
  • 26', Pepê 🟨,
  • 35', Otamendi N. 🟨,
  • 35', Veiga G. 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 2, Pietuszewski O. ⚽, Veiga G. (A),
  • 45+5', Costa D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Pepê ↓, William Gomes ↑,
  • 46', Veiga G. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
  • 58', Fernandes M. 🟨,
  • 58', Fernandes M. ↓, Moura F. ↑,
  • 64', Pietuszewski O. ↓, Sainz B. ↑,
  • 65', Rafa Silva ↓, Ivanovic F. ↑,
  • 66', Prestianni G. ↓, Lukebakio D. ↑,
  • 69', 1 - 2, Schjelderup A. ⚽,
  • 75', Otamendi N. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
  • 75', Barrenechea E. ↓, Barreiro L. ↑,
  • 78', Gul D. ↓, Moffi T. ↑,
  • 79', Costa A. 🟨,
  • 81', William Gomes 🟨,
  • 83', Dedic A. ↓, Bah A. ↑,
  • 89', 2 - 2, Barreiro L. ⚽, Ivanovic F. (A),
  • 90', Otamendi N. 🟥,
  • 90+1', Mourinho J. 🟥,
  • 90+8', Silva A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Benfica
47.4%		Draw
29.9%		Porto
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 30.8% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4% 32% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benfica's performance.
  • Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Porto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Porto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Benfica - Porto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.01 ↓
    (2.56)    		 3.18 ↑
    (3.15)    		 4.18 ↑
    (3.1)    		 5%
    (3.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Benfica - Porto?
  • Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 16 - 50%). Porto will win (votes: 5 - 15.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 34.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 32.7% – 67.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Benfica (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Porto (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Benfica (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Porto (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Benfica (votes: 9 - 60%). Porto (votes: 3 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 2.
    • Benfica has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Porto is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Porto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Benfica is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Benfica: Aursnes F. (Injury) Bruma (Inactive) Felix N. (Knee Injury) Veloso J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Porto: Perez N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sainz B. (Personal Reasons) Samu (Knee Injury) de Jong L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Benfica: Sudakov G. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Porto: Bednarek J. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Porto were as follows:
    14.01.2026 Porto - Benfica 1:0
    05.10.2025 Porto - Benfica 0:0
    06.04.2025 Porto - Benfica 1:4
    10.11.2024 Benfica - Porto 4:1
    03.03.2024 Porto - Benfica 5:0
    Latest results of Benfica
    02.03.2026 Gil Vicente - Benfica 1:2 ✺
    25.02.2026 Real Madrid - Benfica 2:1 ✺
    21.02.2026 Benfica - AVS 3:0 ✺
    17.02.2026 Benfica - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺
    13.02.2026 Santa Clara - Benfica 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Porto
    03.03.2026 Sporting Lisbon - Porto 1:0 ✺
    27.02.2026 Porto - Arouca 3:1 ✺
    22.02.2026 Porto - Rio Ave 1:0 ✺
    15.02.2026 Nacional - Porto 0:1 ✺
    09.02.2026 Porto - Sporting Lisbon 1:1 ✺
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto27233154:114372
    2Sporting CP26205168:155365
    3Benfica27198058:174165
    4Braga26137653:272646
    5Famalicao27136833:221145
    6Gil Vicente27119739:281142
    7Estoril271071048:44437
    8Moreirense271051231:39-835
    9Vitoria Guimaraes27951329:42-1332
    10Rio Ave27791128:46-1830
    11Alverca27781227:45-1829
    12Arouca27851434:55-2129
    13Santa Clara27771324:31-728
    14Estrela276101133:45-1228
    15Casa Pia26591226:48-2224
    16Nacional27571529:39-1022
    17Tondela26481419:39-2020
    18AFS27181818:58-4011

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

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