Porto vs Benfica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal
Football Liga Portugal Porto - Benfica
Result
1:4
06/04/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 28
  • Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSport TV Africa
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hungaryHungarySport 2
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyDAZN Italia
lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
russiaRussiaTV Start
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid VIP
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2, SportKlub 2
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldDisney+, Triller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.172.60
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
36
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
87% (412/475)75% (226/301)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.172.60
xG on target (xGOT)
0.951.93
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
912
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
36
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
2831
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
1117
Passes
87% (412/475)75% (226/301)
Long passes
59% (27/46)46% (21/46)
Passes in final third
66% (61/92)70% (79/113)
Crosses
26% (5/19)64% (7/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.771.23
Fouls
1711
Tackles
90% (9/10)76% (13/17)
Duels won
4652
Clearances Total
1527
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.930.95
Goals prevented
-2.07-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Pavlidis V. ⚽, Akturkoglu K. (A),
  • 16', Perez N. 🟨,
  • 23', Carreras A. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 2, Pavlidis V. ⚽, Florentino (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 56', Anselmi M. 🟨,
  • 62', Araujo T. ↓, Dahl S. ↑,
  • 64', Eustaquio S. ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
  • 64', Pepê ↓, Borges G. ↑,
  • 69', 0 - 3, Pavlidis V. ⚽, Di Maria A. (A),
  • 72', Di Maria A. ↓, Schjelderup A. ↑,
  • 72', Pavlidis V. ↓, Belotti A. ↑,
  • 77', Mora R. ↓, Pedro J. ↑,
  • 78', Joao Mario ↓, Danny Namaso ↑,
  • 81', 1 - 3, Samu ⚽,
  • 82', Borges G. 🟨,
  • 84', Moura F. ↓, William Gomes ↑,
  • 90+1', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Barreiro L. ↑,
  • 90+4', Fernandes M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 4, Otamendi N. ⚽, Kokcu O. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Porto
30.8%		Draw
28.5%		Benfica
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 30.8% 33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 31.8% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Porto's form might have worsened.
  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benfica's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Porto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benfica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Porto - Benfica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.03 ↑
    (2.56)    		 3.28 ↑
    (2.99)    		 2.31 ↓
    (2.77)    		 6.8%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Porto - Benfica?
  • Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 11 - 27.5%). Benfica will win (votes: 24 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 44.8% – 75.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Porto (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Benfica (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Benfica (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Porto won 2.
    • At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
    • Porto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Porto: Claudio Ramos (Inactive) Grujic M. (Muscle Injury) Sousa V. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Benfica: Bah A. (Knee Injury) Manu (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Benfica: Gouveia T. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Porto won 11 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 31:19 (average 1.6:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Porto won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:7 (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Benfica were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Benfica - Porto 4:1
    03.03.2024 Porto - Benfica 5:0
    29.09.2023 Benfica - Porto 1:0
    09.08.2023 Benfica - Porto 2:0
    07.04.2023 Benfica - Porto 1:2
    Latest results of Porto
    30.03.2025 Estoril Praia - Porto 1:2 ✺
    15.03.2025 Porto - AVS 2:0 ✺
    08.03.2025 Braga - Porto 1:0 ✺
    01.03.2025 Arouca - Porto 0:2 ✺
    24.02.2025 Porto - Vitoria Guimarães 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Benfica
    02.04.2025 Benfica - Farense 3:2 ✺
    28.03.2025 Gil Vicente - Benfica 0:3 ✺
    11.03.2025 Barcelona - Benfica 3:1 ✺
    08.03.2025 Benfica - Nacional 3:0 ✺
    05.03.2025 Benfica - Barcelona 0:1 ✺
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

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