Porto vs Crvena Zvezda Belgrade – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League
Football UEFA Europa League Porto - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Result
2:1
02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 4
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 2
portugalPortugalSport TV5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaRTS 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football, Supersport Maximo 1
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 4, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 8, TNT Sports Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.430.54
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
81% (337/416)84% (353/418)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.430.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.790.52
Total shots
179
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
95
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2614
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
810
Passes
81% (337/416)84% (353/418)
Long passes
40% (14/35)51% (20/39)
Passes in final third
62% (74/119)72% (63/87)
Crosses
16% (3/19)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.51
Throw-ins
1713
Fouls
108
Tackles
55% (11/20)92% (11/12)
Duels won
4743
Clearances
1828
Interceptions
28
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.521.79
Goals prevented
-0.48-0.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', Tebo Uchenna F. 🟨,
  • 8', 1 - 0, William Gomes (Pen),
  • 32', Mora R. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 1, Kostov V. ⚽, Veljkovic M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Fernandes M. ↓, Costa A. ↑,
  • 46', Bednarek J. ↓, Froholdt V. ↑,
  • 47', Prpic D. 🟨,
  • 62', Alarcon A. ↓, Sainz B. ↑,
  • 62', William Gomes ↓, Pepê ↑,
  • 69', Tiknizyan N. 🟨,
  • 71', Radonjic N. ↓, Milson ↑,
  • 74', Gul D. ↓, Veiga G. ↑,
  • 82', Arnautovic M. ↓, Bruno Duarte ↑,
  • 82', Kostov V. ↓, Olayinka P. ↑,
  • 82', Tiknizyan N. ↓, Stankovic N. ↑,
  • 88', Costa A. 🟨,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Mora R. ⚽, Pepê (A),
  • 90+3', Elsnik T. ↓, Bajo M. ↑,

Chances of winning


Porto
63.5%		Draw
20.8%		Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.3% 19.9% 12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4% 18.8% 12.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Porto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
    •

    Porto - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.53 ↑
    (1.43)    		 4.85 ↑
    (4.84)    		 6.51 ↓
    (7.5)    		 1.5%
    (3.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Porto - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?
  • Users Predictions: 83 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 72 - 86.7%). Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 6 - 7.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 79.4% – 94%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Porto will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.
    • Porto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Porto has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Porto is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Porto: Karamoh Y. (Inactive) Perez N. (Injury) Perez T. (International duty) de Jong L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Crvena Zvezda: Babicka S. (Inactive) Katai A. (Knee Injury) Krunic R. (Muscle Injury) Sandoval K. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Porto: Samu (Injury)
    • We predict that Porto will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Porto
    29.09.2025 Arouca - Porto 0:4 ✺
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    19.09.2025 Rio Ave - Porto 0:3 ✺
    13.09.2025 Porto - Nacional 1:0 ✺
    30.08.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Porto 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
    28.09.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Radnički 1923 2:1 ✺
    24.09.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Celtic 1:1 ✺
    20.09.2025 Partizan - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 1:2 ✺
    14.09.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Železničar Pančevo 7:1 ✺
    31.08.2025 Novi Pazar - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 1:5
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midtjylland33008:269
    2Braga33005:059
    3Lyon33005:059
    4D. Zagreb32107:347
    5Plzen32106:247
    6Freiburg32105:237
    7Ferencvaros32105:327
    8Brann32015:236
    9Celta Vigo32016:426
    10Aston Villa32014:226
    11Lille32016:516
    12G.A. Eagles32014:316
    13Young Boys32016:606
    14Fenerbahce32014:406
    15FC Porto32013:306
    16Betis31204:225
    17Nottingham31116:514
    18Bologna31113:304
    19Genk31111:104
    20PAOK31115:6-14
    21Celtic31113:4-14
    22Panathinaikos31026:603
    23AS Roma31023:4-13
    24Basel31023:4-13
    25Feyenoord31023:4-13
    26Ludogorets31024:6-23
    27Sturm Graz31023:5-23
    28FCSB31022:4-23
    29Stuttgart31022:4-23
    30Crvena zvezda30122:5-31
    31Malmo FF30122:6-41
    32Maccabi Tel Aviv30121:6-51
    33Nice30033:6-30
    34Salzburg30032:6-40
    35Utrecht30030:4-40
    36Rangers30031:6-50

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