Porto vs Crvena Zvezda Belgrade – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League
Result
2:1
02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 4
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 2
portugalPortugalSport TV5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaRTS 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football, Supersport Maximo 1
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 4, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 8, TNT Sports Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.430.54
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
81% (337/416)84% (353/418)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.430.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.790.52
Total shots
179
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
95
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2614
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
810
Passes
81% (337/416)84% (353/418)
Long passes
40% (14/35)51% (20/39)
Passes in final third
62% (74/119)72% (63/87)
Crosses
16% (3/19)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.51
Throw-ins
1713
Fouls
108
Tackles
55% (11/20)92% (11/12)
Duels won
4743
Clearances
1828
Interceptions
28
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.521.79
Goals prevented
-0.48-0.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', Tebo Uchenna F. 🟨,
  • 8', 1 - 0, William Gomes (Pen),
  • 32', Mora R. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 1, Kostov V. ⚽, Veljkovic M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Fernandes M. ↓, Costa A. ↑,
  • 46', Bednarek J. ↓, Froholdt V. ↑,
  • 47', Prpic D. 🟨,
  • 62', Alarcon A. ↓, Sainz B. ↑,
  • 62', William Gomes ↓, Pepê ↑,
  • 69', Tiknizyan N. 🟨,
  • 71', Radonjic N. ↓, Milson ↑,
  • 74', Gul D. ↓, Veiga G. ↑,
  • 82', Arnautovic M. ↓, Bruno Duarte ↑,
  • 82', Kostov V. ↓, Olayinka P. ↑,
  • 82', Tiknizyan N. ↓, Stankovic N. ↑,
  • 88', Costa A. 🟨,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Mora R. ⚽, Pepê (A),
  • 90+3', Elsnik T. ↓, Bajo M. ↑,

Chances of winning


Porto
63.5%		Draw
20.8%		Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.3% 19.9% 12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4% 18.8% 12.1%

Porto - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.53 ↑
(1.43)		 4.85 ↑
(4.84)		 6.51 ↓
(7.5)		 1.5%
(3.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Porto - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?
  • Users Predictions: 83 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 72 - 86.7%). Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 6 - 7.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 79.4% – 94%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • EH -1 - Porto (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Crvena Zvezda (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Porto (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Porto (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Porto will win (35 of 39 users predict this - 89.74%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 43 high ROI users predict this event. Porto (votes: 38 - 88.4%). Crvena Zvezda (votes: 3 - 7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 4.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.
    • Porto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Porto has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Porto is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Porto: Karamoh Y. (Inactive) Perez N. (Injury) Perez T. (International duty) de Jong L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Crvena Zvezda: Babicka S. (Inactive) Katai A. (Knee Injury) Krunic R. (Muscle Injury) Sandoval K. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Porto: Samu (Injury)
    • We predict that Porto will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Porto
    29.09.2025 Arouca - Porto 0:4 ✺
    25.09.2025 Red Bull Salzburg - Porto 0:1 ✺
    19.09.2025 Rio Ave - Porto 0:3 ✺
    13.09.2025 Porto - Nacional 1:0 ✺
    30.08.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Porto 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
    28.09.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Radnički 1923 2:1 ✺
    24.09.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Celtic 1:1 ✺
    20.09.2025 Partizan - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 1:2 ✺
    14.09.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Železničar Pančevo 7:1 ✺
    31.08.2025 Novi Pazar - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 1:5
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lyon870118:51321
    2Aston Villa870114:6821
    3Midtjylland861118:81019
    4Betis852113:7617
    5FC Porto852113:7617
    6Braga852111:5617
    7Freiburg852110:4617
    8AS Roma851213:6716
    9Genk851211:7416
    10Bologna843114:7715
    11Stuttgart850315:9615
    12Ferencvaros843112:11115
    13Nottingham842215:7814
    14Plzen83508:3514
    15Crvena zvezda84227:6114
    16Celta Vigo841315:11413
    17PAOK833217:14312
    18Lille840412:9312
    19Fenerbahce833210:7312
    20Panathinaikos833211:9212
    21Celtic832313:15-211
    22Ludogorets831412:15-310
    23Din. Zagreb831412:16-410
    24Brann82339:11-29
    25Young Boys830510:16-69
    26Sturm Graz82155:11-67
    27FCSB82159:16-77
    28G.A. Eagles82156:14-87
    29Feyenoord820611:15-46
    30Basel82069:13-46
    31Salzburg820610:15-56
    32Rangers81165:14-94
    33Nice81077:15-83
    34Utrecht80175:15-101
    35Malmo FF80174:15-111
    36Maccabi Tel Aviv80172:22-201

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