Result
2:1
02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - League phase - Round 2
- Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 4 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Hungary | RTL+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256 |
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3 |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 1 |
 North-central-america | RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Extra 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV5 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | RTS 1 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Football, Supersport Maximo 1 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 4, Movistar Plus+ |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 8, TNT Sports Extra |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (337/416) | 84% (353/418) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (337/416) | 84% (353/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (14/35) | 51% (20/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (74/119) | 72% (63/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 92% (11/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.48 | -0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', Tebo Uchenna F. 🟨,
- 8', 1 - 0, William Gomes (Pen),
- 32', Mora R. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 1, Kostov V. ⚽, Veljkovic M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Fernandes M. ↓, Costa A. ↑,
- 46', Bednarek J. ↓, Froholdt V. ↑,
- 47', Prpic D. 🟨,
- 62', Alarcon A. ↓, Sainz B. ↑,
- 62', William Gomes ↓, Pepê ↑,
- 69', Tiknizyan N. 🟨,
- 71', Radonjic N. ↓, Milson ↑,
- 74', Gul D. ↓, Veiga G. ↑,
- 82', Arnautovic M. ↓, Bruno Duarte ↑,
- 82', Kostov V. ↓, Olayinka P. ↑,
- 82', Tiknizyan N. ↓, Stankovic N. ↑,
- 88', Costa A. 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 1, Mora R. ⚽, Pepê (A),
- 90+3', Elsnik T. ↓, Bajo M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Porto
63.5% | Draw
20.8% | Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
15.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Porto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Porto - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↑
(1.43) |
4.85 ↑
(4.84) |
6.51 ↓
(7.5) |
1.5%
(3.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Porto - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?
Users Predictions:
83 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 72 - 86.7%). Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 6 - 7.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 79.4% – 94%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- EH -1 - Porto (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Crvena Zvezda (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Porto (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Porto (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Porto will win (35 of 39 users predict this - 89.74%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 43 high ROI users predict this event. Porto (votes: 38 - 88.4%). Crvena Zvezda (votes: 3 - 7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 4.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.
- Porto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Porto has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Porto is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Porto: Karamoh Y.
(Inactive)
Perez N.
(Injury)
Perez T.
(International duty)
de Jong L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Crvena Zvezda: Babicka S.
(Inactive)
Katai A.
(Knee Injury)
Krunic R.
(Muscle Injury)
Sandoval K.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Porto: Samu
(Injury)
- We predict that Porto will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?
Porto has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crvena Zvezda Belgrade won against Porto?
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade were as follows:
Latest results of Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
