Porto vs MT Melsungen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/05/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Porto
45.3%
Draw
12.1%
MT Melsungen
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.9% 11.5% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2% 11.6% 42.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • MT Melsungen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for MT Melsungen than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Porto - MT Melsungen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2)
    7.38
    (8)
    2.13
    (2.15)
    10.2%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 57.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
    Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 23-28. Second leg.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Porto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Porto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 107:123. (average 26.8:30.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 57:63. (average 28.5:31.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - MT Melsungen were as follows:
    28.04.2026 MT Melsungen - Porto 28:23
    19.11.2024 MT Melsungen - Porto 32:27
    08.10.2024 Porto - MT Melsungen 24:29
    16.08.2024 Porto - MT Melsungen 33:34
    Latest results of Porto
    02.05.2026 Sporting Lisbon - Porto 36:29
    28.04.2026 MT Melsungen - Porto 28:23
    24.04.2026 Águas Santas - Porto 24:41
    11.04.2026 Porto - Benfica 42:32
    28.03.2026 Porto - Sporting Lisbon 30:33
    Latest results of MT Melsungen
    28.04.2026 MT Melsungen - Porto 28:23
    10.04.2026 MT Melsungen - GWD Minden 32:28
    07.04.2026 MT Melsungen - Fredericia 35:26
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1KielBye
    2KristianstadNexe27 : 32, 34 : 36
    3PortoBye
    4FredericiaMT Melsungen26 : 35, 35 : 29
    5Vardar 1961Bye
    6MontpellierElverum31 : 35, 36 : 24
    7Hannover-BurgdorfBye
    8Skanderborg AGFFlensburg-H.33 : 33, 32 : 38

    Quarter-finals
    1KielNexe30 : 33
    2PortoMT Melsungen23 : 28
    3Vardar 1961Montpellier23 : 33
    4Hannover-BurgdorfFlensburg-H.39 : 39