Result
 
                    0:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        22/04/2023 at  15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 29
- Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Brazil | ESPN | 
|  Bulgaria | Ring | 
|  Poland | Eleven Sports 3 | 
|  Portugal | Sport TV | 
|  Slovenia | Arena Sport | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
								 
				 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Paços de Ferreira 7.6%
 | Draw 16.6%
 | Porto 75.8%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Paços de Ferreira - Porto Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 12.41 ↑ (10.5)
 | 5.77 ↑ (5.47)
 | 1.25 (1.25)
 | 5.7% (7.8%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Paços de Ferreira - Porto?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            32 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 4 - 12.5%). Porto will win (votes: 25 - 78.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.4%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 63.8% – 92.4%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- Paços de Ferreira has the most likely position - 17 (59%),  project points - 22,  currently - 17,  a very good chance of relegated (98%),  not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Porto has the most likely position - 2 (63%),  project points - 80,  currently - 67,  not chance of relegated,  a very good chance of qualify for ucl (>99%),  a chance of win league (21%).
- This event has quality 52, importance 46, match rating 49. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 0. 
- Recent matches Paços de Ferreira is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1). 
- Porto is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3). 
- Paços de Ferreira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. 
- In this match Porto is the unquestionable favorite.
- There are questionable in Paços de Ferreira: Hernani Infande
(Injury)
 
- Last 22 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 17 matches and goals 15-49. 
- Including matches at home between the teams Paços de Ferreira won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-15.                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Porto?
                    
                    
                        
                            Paços de Ferreira has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Paços de Ferreira?
                    
                    
                        
                             Porto has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Paços de Ferreira - Porto were as follows:
                                                        
                                05.11.2022 
                                Porto 
                                - 
                                Paços de Ferreira 
                                4:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Paços de Ferreira                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | FC Porto | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:2 | 19 | 25 | 
| 2 | Sporting CP | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23:5 | 18 | 22 | 
| 3 | Benfica | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18:4 | 14 | 21 | 
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 | 
| 5 | Famalicao | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 | 
| 6 | Moreirense | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 | 
| 7 | Braga | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16:8 | 8 | 13 | 
| 8 | Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 | 
| 9 | Santa Clara | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 | 
| 10 | Nacional | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 | 
| 11 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 | 
| 12 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 | 
| 13 | Arouca | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:24 | -14 | 9 | 
| 14 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 | 
| 15 | Estrela | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 | 
| 16 | Estoril | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 | 
| 17 | Tondela | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4:17 | -13 | 5 | 
| 18 | AFS | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5:22 | -17 | 1 | 
      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Liga Portugal (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2