Result
0:1
04/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 17
- Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 3 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 3 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Kuwait | KTV Sport |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3 |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7, Arena Sport 8 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (243/323) | 84% (359/426) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (243/323) | 84% (359/426) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (24/63) | 51% (18/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (47/87) | 66% (83/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/16) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 41% (7/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Bednarek J. 🟨,
- 28', Moura F. ↓, Costa A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', 0 - 1, Samu ⚽,
- 61', Veiga G. ↓, Varela A. ↑,
- 61', William Gomes ↓, Sainz B. ↑,
- 66', Vinicius Lopes 🟨,
- 72', Ferreira P. ↓, Brenner ↑,
- 77', Rosario P. 🟨,
- 77', Tavares J. 🟨,
- 78', Varela A. 🟨,
- 79', Pepê ↓, Gul D. ↑,
- 80', Costa A. 🟨,
- 83', Paulo Victor ↓, Luquinhas ↑,
Chances of winning
Santa Clara
13.2% | Draw
25% | Porto
61.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Santa Clara - Porto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.16 ↓
(7.6) |
3.79 ↓
(3.85) |
1.52 ↑
(1.49) |
6.2%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Santa Clara - Porto?
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Santa Clara will win (votes: 4 - 11.4%). Porto will win (votes: 27 - 77.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 63.2% – 91%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Porto will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 0.
- In recent matches, Santa Clara has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Porto is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Porto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Porto has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Porto is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Santa Clara: Diogo Calila
(International duty)
Pacheco P.
(Knee Injury)
Serginho
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Porto: Franco A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Perez N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Perez T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Zaidu
(International duty)
de Jong L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Santa Clara: MT
(Injury)
Vinicius Lopes
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Porto: Costa D.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 9:27. (average 0.5:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Clara won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.7:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Porto?
Santa Clara has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Santa Clara?
Porto has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Clara - Porto were as follows:
26.01.2025
Porto
-
Santa Clara
1:1
16.08.2024
Santa Clara
-
Porto
0:2
29.02.2024
Santa Clara
-
Porto
1:2
15.04.2023
Porto
-
Santa Clara
2:1
29.10.2022
Santa Clara
-
Porto
1:1
Latest results of Santa Clara
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto ✔ | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 47 | 76 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 57 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 42 |
| 9 | Estoril | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 52:53 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 35 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 29:56 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24:52 | -28 | 25 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | -42 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
FC Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
