Result
1:1
09/02/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 21
- Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3 |
 Denmark | Bold+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hungary | Sport 1 |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kuwait | KTV Sport |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Uruguay | Antel TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.29 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (328/384) | 86% (400/464) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (328/384) | 86% (400/464) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (13/26) | 64% (35/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (53/86) | 79% (82/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 9% (2/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | -0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+1', Froholdt V. 🟨,
- 45+3', Diomande O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Samu ↓, Gul D. ↑,
- 63', Veiga G. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
- 63', Sainz B. ↓, Mora R. ↑,
- 63', Kiwior J. ↓, Thiago Silva ↑,
- 74', Morita H. 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 0, Fofana S. ⚽,
- 79', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
- 80', Morita H. ↓, Luis Guilherme ↑,
- 84', Catamo G. ↓, Braganca D. ↑,
- 84', Goncalves P. ↓, Faye S. ↑,
- 84', Moura F. 🟨,
- 84', Fernandes M. ↓, Moura F. ↑,
- 86', Suarez L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Araujo M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Gul D. 🟨,
- 90+10', Suarez L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+10', 1 - 1, Suarez L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Porto
38.5% | Draw
30.3% | Sporting Lisbon
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Porto - Sporting Lisbon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↑
(2.37) |
3.12 ↓
(3.37) |
3.03 ↑
(2.95) |
5.6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Porto - Sporting Lisbon?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 12 - 40%). Sporting will win (votes: 6 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 22.5% – 57.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Porto (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Tie (votes: 11 - 57.9%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 11 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
- DC - Porto (1.40) (votes: 3 - 60%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Porto (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Porto (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 26 high ROI users predict this event. Porto (votes: 13 - 50%). Sporting (votes: 2 - 7.7%). Tie (votes: 11 - 42.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 2.
- Porto is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sporting is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Porto could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Porto: Fofana S.
(Calf Injury)
Perez N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
William Gomes
(Red Card)
de Jong L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Sporting: Blopa S.
(Inactive)
Debast Z.
(Injury)
Ioannidis F.
(Knee Injury)
Quenda G.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Porto: Perez T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Porto won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:23. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Sporting Lisbon?
Porto has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Porto?
Sporting Lisbon has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
30.08.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Porto
1:2
07.02.2025
Porto
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:1
07.01.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Porto
1:0
31.08.2024
Sporting Lisbon
-
Porto
2:0
03.08.2024
Sporting Lisbon
-
Porto
3:4
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 42:7 | 35 | 56 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 55:12 | 43 | 52 |
| 3 | Benfica | 21 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 44:12 | 32 | 49 |
| 4 | Braga | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 44:18 | 26 | 39 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 31:17 | 14 | 37 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 27:20 | 7 | 32 |
| 7 | Estoril | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 43:35 | 8 | 30 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 23:30 | -7 | 28 |
| 10 | Alverca | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 21:36 | -15 | 24 |
| 11 | Estrela | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 25:37 | -12 | 23 |
| 12 | Arouca | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:46 | -20 | 23 |
| 13 | Nacional | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 27:30 | -3 | 21 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 22:41 | -19 | 20 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 22:39 | -17 | 19 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16:26 | -10 | 17 |
| 17 | Tondela | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14:35 | -21 | 14 |
| 18 | AFS | 21 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 15:54 | -39 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
