Result
1:1
07/02/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 21
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sport TV Africa |
 Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 5 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 35 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (406/472) | 80% (316/394) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 79% (120/151) | 56% (40/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (4/35) | 50% (4/8) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 57% (13/23) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 10 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', Mora R. 🟨,
- 23', Simoes J. ↓, Debast Z. ↑,
- 42', 0 - 1, Fresneda I. ⚽, Quenda G. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', Perez N. ↓, Vieira F. ↑,
- 68', Moura F. ↓, Borges G. ↑,
- 69', Harder C. ↓, Gyokeres V. ↑,
- 69', Braganca D. ↓, Morita H. ↑,
- 70', Araujo M. 🟨,
- 72', Silva R. 🟨,
- 78', Varela A. ↓, Danny Namaso ↑,
- 78', Joao Mario ↓, William Gomes ↑,
- 86', Araujo M. ↓, Matheus Reis ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Danny Namaso ⚽, Samu (A),
- 90+5', Matheus Reis 🟨,
- 90+6', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
- 90+7', Matheus Reis 🟥,
- 90+8', Diomande O. 🟥,
- 90+10', Vieira F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Porto
33.1% | Draw
30.5% | Sporting Lisbon
36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Porto's form might have worsened.Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Porto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Porto - Sporting Lisbon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↑
(2.44) |
3.1 ↓
(3.15) |
2.61 ↓
(3.03) |
5.5%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Porto - Sporting Lisbon?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). Sporting will win (votes: 12 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 26.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 27% – 65.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Porto won 2.
- Recent matches Porto is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Sporting is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Porto: Fernandes M.
(Muscle Injury)
Grujic M.
(Muscle Injury)
Marcano I.
(Knee Injury)
Otavio
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Sporting: Morita H.
(Muscle Injury)
Santos N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sporting: Goncalves P.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Porto won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 32:25 (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Porto won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:6 (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Sporting Lisbon?
Porto has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Porto?
Sporting Lisbon has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
07.01.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Porto
1:0
31.08.2024
Sporting Lisbon
-
Porto
2:0
03.08.2024
Sporting Lisbon
-
Porto
3:4
26.05.2024
Porto
-
Sporting Lisbon
2:1
28.04.2024
Porto
-
Sporting Lisbon
2:2
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Arouca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Tondela | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
