Porto vs Sporting Lisbon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Porto - Sporting Lisbon
Result
1:1
07/02/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 21
  • Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSport TV Africa
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
austriaAustriaDAZN
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 9
hungaryHungarySport 2
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid VIP
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 5
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.340.96
Ball Possession
56%44%
Goal Attempts
1713
Shots on Goal
23
Shots off Goal
66
Blocked Shots
94
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
63
Shots inside the Box
149
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
21
Free Kicks
1416
Offsides
21
Fouls
1614
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
02
Throw-ins
1413
Touches in the Opposition Box
3515
Passes
86% (406/472)80% (316/394)
Passes in the final third
79% (120/151)56% (40/71)
Crosses
11% (4/35)50% (4/8)
Tackles
60% (9/15)57% (13/23)
Clearances Total
1032
Interceptions
98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', Mora R. 🟨,
  • 23', Simoes J. , Debast Z. ,
  • 42', 0 - 1, Fresneda I. , Quenda G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', Perez N. , Vieira F. ,
  • 68', Moura F. , Borges G. ,
  • 69', Harder C. , Gyokeres V. ,
  • 69', Braganca D. , Morita H. ,
  • 70', Araujo M. 🟨,
  • 72', Silva R. 🟨,
  • 78', Varela A. , Danny Namaso ,
  • 78', Joao Mario , William Gomes ,
  • 86', Araujo M. , Matheus Reis ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Danny Namaso , Samu (A),
  • 90+5', Matheus Reis 🟨,
  • 90+6', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Matheus Reis 🟥,
  • 90+8', Diomande O. 🟥,
  • 90+10', Vieira F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Porto
33.1%
Draw
30.5%
Sporting Lisbon
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 30% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 32.1% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Porto's form might have worsened.
  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Porto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Porto - Sporting Lisbon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.87
    (2.44)
    3.1
    (3.15)
    2.61
    (3.03)
    5.5%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Porto - Sporting Lisbon?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). Sporting will win (votes: 12 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 26.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 27%65.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Porto won 2.
    • Recent matches Porto is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Sporting is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Porto: Fernandes M. (Muscle Injury) Grujic M. (Muscle Injury) Marcano I. (Knee Injury) Otavio (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Sporting: Morita H. (Muscle Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting: Goncalves P. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Porto won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 32:25 (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Porto won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:6 (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
    07.01.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Porto 1:0
    31.08.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Porto 2:0
    03.08.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Porto 3:4
    26.05.2024 Porto - Sporting Lisbon 2:1
    28.04.2024 Porto - Sporting Lisbon 2:2
    Latest results of Porto
    03.02.2025 Rio Ave - Porto 2:2
    30.01.2025 Maccabi Tel Aviv - Porto 0:1
    26.01.2025 Porto - Santa Clara 1:1
    23.01.2025 Porto - Olympiacos Piraeus 0:1
    19.01.2025 Gil Vicente - Porto 3:1
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2