Portsmouth vs Gillingham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
10/10/2023 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY
  • Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)

Chances of winning


Portsmouth
67.6%
Draw
19%
Gillingham
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 23.9% 19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 22.9% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portsmouth's performance.
  • Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gillingham might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portsmouth that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gillingham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Portsmouth - Gillingham Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.62)
    4.84
    (3.8)
    6.86
    (4.57)
    8.8%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Portsmouth - Gillingham?
  • Users Predictions: Portsmouth will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 4.
    • Portsmouth in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Gillingham is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Portsmouth is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Portsmouth to win the game is with odds 1.43.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-11.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Portsmouth won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.
    Latest results of Portsmouth
    07.10.2023 Portsmouth - Port Vale 2:0
    23.09.2023 Portsmouth - Lincoln City 2:1
    19.09.2023 Barnsley - Portsmouth 2:3
    Latest results of Gillingham
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LincolnHuddersfield0 : 2
    2SalfordRotherham2 : 7
    3DoncasterChesterfield5 : 1
    4TranmereFleetwood0 : 3
    5BoltonBradford City3 : 0
    6Port ValeBarnsley5 : 0
    7CreweStockport County1 : 2
    8HarrogateBlackpool4 : 2
    9LutonExeter4 : 0
    10SwindonPeterborough1 : 0
    11Bristol RoversCambridge Utd3 : 2
    12Leyton OrientPlymouth0 : 1
    13CardiffAFC Wimbledon1 : 5
    14ColchesterWest Ham U210 : 1
    15NorthamptonWycombe2 : 0
    16StevenageWalsall1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1HuddersfieldRotherham3 : 0
    2DoncasterFleetwood3 : 1
    3BoltonPort Vale0 : 1
    4Stockport CountyHarrogate2 : 1
    5LutonSwindon1 : 2
    6Bristol RoversPlymouth3 : 4
    7AFC WimbledonWest Ham U214 : 2
    8NorthamptonWalsall4 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1HuddersfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    2Port ValeStockport County0 : 4
    3LutonPlymouth2 : 1
    4AFC WimbledonNorthampton1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1DoncasterStockport County0 : 1
    2LutonNorthampton

    Final
    1Stockport CountyTBD #2