Portsmouth vs Millwall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Fratton Park (Portsmouth).

Championship - Round 16
Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.93	0.50
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
7	2
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
71% (236/334)	66% (224/339)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93	0.50
xG on target (xGOT)
0.69	0.82
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
10	4
Shots outside the Box
6	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
26	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
12	10
Passes
71% (236/334)	66% (224/339)
Long passes
46% (33/72)	39% (33/84)
Passes in final third
57% (72/127)	48% (56/116)
Crosses
32% (10/31)	27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.61	0.43
Throw-ins
29	39
Fouls
10	12
Tackles
64% (9/14)	47% (7/15)
Duels won
60	50
Clearances
23	26
Interceptions
7	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
0.82	0.69
Goals prevented
-0.18	-1.31

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Swanson Z. ⚽, Murphy J. (A),
38', Sturge Z. ↓, Bryan J. ↑,
45+4', McNamara D. 🟨,
45+4', Poole R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 2 - 0, Crama T. (Own goal),
55', Mazou-Sacko D. ↓, Kelly D. ↑,
62', Segecic A. ↓, Lang C. ↑,
62', Doughty A. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
62', McNamara D. ↓, Harding W. ↑,
63', Langstaff M. ↓, Cundle L. ↑,
66', Swanson Z. 🟨,
67', Bryan J. 🟥,
69', Swanson Z. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Ivanovic M. ⚽, Emakhu A. (A),
80', Bianchini F. ↓, Chaplin C. ↑,
80', Dozzell A. ↓, Pack M. ↑,
81', Ballo T. ↓, Neghli C. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Williams J. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Portsmouth
37.9%

Draw
29.8%

Millwall
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

30.1%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

31.3%

34.2%

Portsmouth - Millwall Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.76)	3.17 ↑ (3.15)	2.92 ↑ (2.66)	4.9% (5.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Portsmouth - Millwall?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Millwall will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 50.5% – 99.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Millwall (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Portsmouth has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Millwall has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Portsmouth: Blair H. (Hamstring Injury) Farrell J. (Groin Injury) Lang C. (Hamstring Injury) Ogilvie C. (Knee Injury) Schmid N. (Wrist Injury) Segecic A. (Ankle Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Hamstring Injury) Umeh F. (Hamstring Injury) Waddingham T. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Millwall: Azeez F. (Thigh Injury) Benda S. (Groin Injury) Coburn J. (Muscle Injury) Cooper J. (Yellow Cards) Jensen L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Leonard R. (Calf Injury) Luongo M. (Knee Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury) Mitchell B. (Hamstring Injury) Smallbone W. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Portsmouth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Portsmouth won against Millwall?

Portsmouth has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Portsmouth?

Millwall has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Portsmouth - Millwall were as follows:

05.04.2025 Millwall - Portsmouth 2:1

28.01.2025 Portsmouth - Millwall 0:1

13.08.2024 Portsmouth - Millwall 0:1

Latest results of Portsmouth

08.11.2025 Hull City - Portsmouth 3:2 ✺

05.11.2025 Portsmouth - Wrexham 0:0 ✺

01.11.2025 Birmingham City - Portsmouth 4:0 ✺

25.10.2025 Portsmouth - Stoke City 0:1 ✺

21.10.2025 Portsmouth - Coventry City 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Millwall

08.11.2025 Millwall - Preston North End 1:1 ✺

04.11.2025 Birmingham City - Millwall 4:0 ✺

01.11.2025 Oxford United - Millwall 2:2 ✺

25.10.2025 Millwall - Leicester City 1:0 ✺

21.10.2025 Millwall - Stoke City 2:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	19	13	4	2	50:21	29	43
2	Middlesbrough	19	10	6	3	28:20	8	36
3	Millwall	19	10	4	5	23:25	-2	34
4	Ipswich	19	8	7	4	33:19	14	31
5	Preston	19	8	7	4	26:20	6	31
6	Stoke	19	9	3	7	26:18	8	30
7	Bristol City	19	8	5	6	26:21	5	29
8	Birmingham	19	8	4	7	28:23	5	28
9	Hull	19	8	4	7	31:34	-3	28
10	QPR	19	8	4	7	25:29	-4	28
11	Southampton	19	7	6	6	31:26	5	27
12	Wrexham	19	6	9	4	24:21	3	27
13	Watford	19	7	6	6	27:25	2	27
14	Leicester	19	7	6	6	25:24	1	27
15	Derby	19	7	5	7	26:28	-2	26
16	West Brom	19	7	4	8	21:25	-4	25
17	Charlton	18	6	5	7	18:23	-5	23
18	Sheffield Utd	19	7	1	11	24:28	-4	22
19	Blackburn	18	6	3	9	18:23	-5	21
20	Swansea	19	5	5	9	20:27	-7	20
21	Oxford Utd	19	4	6	9	20:27	-7	18
22	Portsmouth	18	4	5	9	15:25	-10	17
23	Norwich	19	3	4	12	21:32	-11	13
24	Sheffield Wed	18	1	5	12	14:36	-22	-10

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One