Portsmouth vs Millwall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Fratton Park (Portsmouth).

Championship - Round 16
Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.93	0.50
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
7	2
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
71% (236/334)	66% (224/339)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93	0.50
xG on target (xGOT)
0.69	0.82
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
10	4
Shots outside the Box
6	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
26	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
12	10
Passes
71% (236/334)	66% (224/339)
Long passes
46% (33/72)	39% (33/84)
Passes in final third
57% (72/127)	48% (56/116)
Crosses
32% (10/31)	27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.61	0.43
Throw-ins
29	39
Fouls
10	12
Tackles
64% (9/14)	47% (7/15)
Duels won
60	50
Clearances
23	26
Interceptions
7	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
0.82	0.69
Goals prevented
-0.18	-1.31

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Swanson Z. ⚽, Murphy J. (A),
38', Sturge Z. ↓, Bryan J. ↑,
45+4', McNamara D. 🟨,
45+4', Poole R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 2 - 0, Crama T. (Own goal),
55', Mazou-Sacko D. ↓, Kelly D. ↑,
62', Segecic A. ↓, Lang C. ↑,
62', Doughty A. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
62', McNamara D. ↓, Harding W. ↑,
63', Langstaff M. ↓, Cundle L. ↑,
66', Swanson Z. 🟨,
67', Bryan J. 🟥,
69', Swanson Z. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Ivanovic M. ⚽, Emakhu A. (A),
80', Bianchini F. ↓, Chaplin C. ↑,
80', Dozzell A. ↓, Pack M. ↑,
81', Ballo T. ↓, Neghli C. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Williams J. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Portsmouth
37.9%

Draw
29.8%

Millwall
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

30.1%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

31.3%

34.2%

Portsmouth - Millwall Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.76)	3.17 ↑ (3.15)	2.92 ↑ (2.66)	4.9% (5.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Portsmouth - Millwall?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Millwall will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 50.5% – 99.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Millwall (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Millwall (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Millwall (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Portsmouth has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Millwall has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Portsmouth: Blair H. (Hamstring Injury) Farrell J. (Groin Injury) Lang C. (Hamstring Injury) Ogilvie C. (Knee Injury) Schmid N. (Wrist Injury) Segecic A. (Ankle Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Hamstring Injury) Umeh F. (Hamstring Injury) Waddingham T. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Millwall: Azeez F. (Thigh Injury) Benda S. (Groin Injury) Coburn J. (Muscle Injury) Cooper J. (Yellow Cards) Jensen L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Leonard R. (Calf Injury) Luongo M. (Knee Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury) Mitchell B. (Hamstring Injury) Smallbone W. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Portsmouth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Portsmouth won against Millwall?

Portsmouth has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Portsmouth?

Millwall has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Portsmouth - Millwall were as follows:

05.04.2025 Millwall - Portsmouth 2:1

28.01.2025 Portsmouth - Millwall 0:1

13.08.2024 Portsmouth - Millwall 0:1

Latest results of Portsmouth

08.11.2025 Hull City - Portsmouth 3:2 ✺

05.11.2025 Portsmouth - Wrexham 0:0 ✺

01.11.2025 Birmingham City - Portsmouth 4:0 ✺

25.10.2025 Portsmouth - Stoke City 0:1 ✺

21.10.2025 Portsmouth - Coventry City 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Millwall

08.11.2025 Millwall - Preston North End 1:1 ✺

04.11.2025 Birmingham City - Millwall 4:0 ✺

01.11.2025 Oxford United - Millwall 2:2 ✺

25.10.2025 Millwall - Leicester City 1:0 ✺

21.10.2025 Millwall - Stoke City 2:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	31	18	7	6	49:30	19	61
2	Coventry	31	17	8	6	63:35	28	59
3	Ipswich	30	15	9	6	51:29	22	54
4	Hull	31	16	6	9	50:43	7	54
5	Millwall	31	15	8	8	39:36	3	53
6	Wrexham	31	12	11	8	44:39	5	47
7	Preston	31	12	11	8	38:34	4	47
8	Bristol City	31	13	7	11	43:38	5	46
9	Southampton	32	12	10	10	48:44	4	46
10	Birmingham	32	12	10	10	43:39	4	46
11	Derby	31	12	9	10	45:39	6	45
12	Watford	31	11	11	9	39:36	3	44
13	QPR	31	12	8	11	42:43	-1	44
14	Stoke	31	12	7	12	34:28	6	43
15	Swansea	31	12	6	13	38:37	1	42
16	Norwich	32	11	6	15	42:42	0	39
17	Sheffield Utd	31	12	3	16	44:45	-1	39
18	Charlton	30	9	9	12	29:38	-9	36
19	West Brom	32	9	7	16	32:47	-15	34
20	Portsmouth	29	8	9	12	27:38	-11	33
21	Leicester	32	10	8	14	44:51	-7	32
22	Blackburn	31	8	8	15	27:40	-13	32
23	Oxford Utd	32	6	10	16	28:44	-16	28
24	Sheffield Wed	31	1	8	22	18:62	-44	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One