Result
2:1
05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 40
- Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Hungary | Net4+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (167/266) | 64% (188/293) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 20 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (167/266) | 64% (188/293) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (24/55) | 25% (15/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (66/115) | 54% (57/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (9/29) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 53 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 29 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.66 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Devlin T. 🟨,
- 43', Tanganga J. ↓, Leonard R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 58', 1 - 0, Ivanovic M. ⚽,
- 59', Bishop C. 🟨,
- 68', Ritchie M. 🟨,
- 69', Ritchie M. ↓, Blair H. ↑,
- 69', Williams J. ↓, Saydee C. ↑,
- 70', Bramall C. ↓, Pack M. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 1, Dozzell A. ⚽,
- 82', Connolly A. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
- 82', Saville G. ↓, Mitchell B. ↑,
- 83', Coburn J. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 1, Ivanovic M. ⚽, De Norre C. (A),
- 90', Devlin T. ↓, Waddingham T. ↑,
- 90+1', Pack M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Millwall
41.6% | Draw
31.4% | Portsmouth
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Millwall - Portsmouth Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↓
(2.34) |
3.03 ↓
(3.18) |
3.54 ↑
(3.12) |
5%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Millwall - Portsmouth?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Portsmouth will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 53.8% – 96.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Millwall (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 17).
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Millwall will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Millwall: Azeez F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Honeyman G.
(Hamstring Injury)
McNamara D.
(Knee Injury)
Neghli C.
(Muscle Injury)
Roberts L.
(Red Card)
Scanlon C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Portsmouth: Atkinson R.
(Calf Injury)
Bowat I.
(Tendon Injury)
Farrell J.
(Leg Injury)
Lane P.
(Knee Injury)
Lang C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Matthews H.
(Ankle Injury)
Shaughnessy C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Millwall won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.3:0.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Millwall won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Portsmouth?
Millwall has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portsmouth won against Millwall?
Portsmouth has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Portsmouth were as follows:
28.01.2025
Portsmouth
-
Millwall
0:1
13.08.2024
Portsmouth
-
Millwall
0:1
Latest results of Millwall
Latest results of Portsmouth
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 34:9 | 25 | 28 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Millwall | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 23 |
| 4 | Bristol City | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 9 | 22 |
| 5 | Stoke | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Charlton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Preston | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Hull | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | QPR | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | Leicester | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 17 |
| 11 | West Brom | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 16 |
| 13 | Swansea | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 14 | Watford | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 | Derby | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 19 | Oxford Utd | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 12 |
| 20 | Southampton | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 12 |
| 21 | Blackburn | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10:17 | -7 | 10 |
| 22 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 9:20 | -11 | 9 |
| 23 | Norwich | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:18 | -6 | 8 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10:25 | -15 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
