Millwall vs Portsmouth – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Millwall - Portsmouth
Result
2:1
05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 40
  • Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.63
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
114
Passes
63% (167/266)64% (188/293)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.63
xG on target (xGOT)
1.900.34
Total shots
146
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
114
Touches in opposition box
3520
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1320
Passes
63% (167/266)64% (188/293)
Long passes
44% (24/55)25% (15/60)
Passes in final third
57% (66/115)54% (57/105)
Crosses
31% (9/29)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.580.37
Fouls
2013
Tackles
69% (11/16)70% (7/10)
Duels won
5953
Clearances Total
2936
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.341.90
Goals prevented
-0.66-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Devlin T. 🟨,
  • 43', Tanganga J. , Leonard R. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 58', 1 - 0, Ivanovic M. ,
  • 59', Bishop C. 🟨,
  • 68', Ritchie M. 🟨,
  • 69', Ritchie M. , Blair H. ,
  • 69', Williams J. , Saydee C. ,
  • 70', Bramall C. , Pack M. ,
  • 80', 1 - 1, Dozzell A. ,
  • 82', Connolly A. , Emakhu A. ,
  • 82', Saville G. , Mitchell B. ,
  • 83', Coburn J. , Langstaff M. ,
  • 88', 2 - 1, Ivanovic M. , De Norre C. (A),
  • 90', Devlin T. , Waddingham T. ,
  • 90+1', Pack M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Millwall
41.6%
Draw
31.4%
Portsmouth
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 29.6% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 29% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Millwall - Portsmouth Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.34)
    3.03
    (3.18)
    3.54
    (3.12)
    5%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Millwall - Portsmouth?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Portsmouth will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 53.8%96.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Millwall (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 17).
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Millwall will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Millwall: Azeez F. (Hamstring Injury) Honeyman G. (Hamstring Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury) Neghli C. (Muscle Injury) Roberts L. (Red Card) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Portsmouth: Atkinson R. (Calf Injury) Bowat I. (Tendon Injury) Farrell J. (Leg Injury) Lane P. (Knee Injury) Lang C. (Hamstring Injury) Matthews H. (Ankle Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Millwall won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.3:0.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Millwall won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Portsmouth were as follows:
    28.01.2025 Portsmouth - Millwall 0:1
    13.08.2024 Portsmouth - Millwall 0:1
    Latest results of Millwall
    29.03.2025 Sunderland - Millwall 1:0
    15.03.2025 Millwall - Stoke City 1:0
    12.03.2025 Leeds United - Millwall 2:0
    08.03.2025 Watford - Millwall 1:2
    04.03.2025 Millwall - Bristol City 0:2
    Latest results of Portsmouth
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry954027:72019
    2Middlesbrough953112:6618
    3Leicester944113:8516
    4Preston944111:7416
    5Stoke943211:6515
    6QPR943213:14-115
    7West Brom94239:10-114
    8Millwall94239:12-314
    9Bristol City934215:10513
    10Watford933311:11012
    11Swansea933310:10012
    12Charlton93338:8012
    13Portsmouth93338:9-112
    14Hull933314:16-212
    15Birmingham93338:11-312
    16Southampton925211:12-111
    17Ipswich724112:7510
    18Wrexham924314:15-110
    19Norwich822410:11-18
    20Derby915311:15-48
    21Blackburn82157:11-47
    22Oxford Utd913510:13-36
    23Sheffield Wed91358:20-126
    24Sheffield Utd91083:16-133

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One