Oxford United vs Portsmouth – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Oxford United - Portsmouth
Result
0:1
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 1
  • Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.571.04
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
67% (203/301)73% (237/326)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.571.04
xG on target (xGOT)
1.621.34
Total shots
189
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
100
Shots inside the Box
137
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
3024
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
67% (203/301)73% (237/326)
Long passes
36% (24/66)36% (24/67)
Passes in final third
54% (51/94)52% (51/98)
Crosses
22% (5/23)43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.691.24
Throw-ins
3526
Fouls
1510
Tackles
57% (13/23)56% (10/18)
Duels won
6864
Clearances
2847
Interceptions
53
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.341.62
Goals prevented
0.341.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 38', 0 - 1, Segecic A. ,
  • 41', Swift J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 63', Ogilvie C. 🟨,
  • 64', Goodrham T. 🟨,
  • 66', Moore E. , ter Avest H. ,
  • 68', Bianchini F. , Yang Min-Hyuk ,
  • 69', Leigh G. , Currie J. ,
  • 69', Harris M. , Dembele S. ,
  • 80', Lang C. , Devlin T. ,
  • 81', Lankshear W. , Bradshaw T. ,
  • 81', Vaulks W. , Sibley L. ,
  • 86', Swift J. , Swanson Z. ,
  • 88', Goodrham T. , O'Donkor G. ,
  • 90+3', Segecic A. , Waddingham T. ,

Chances of winning


Oxford United
35.3%
Draw
29.5%
Portsmouth
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 28.3% 34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7% 30.7% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oxford United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Oxford United - Portsmouth Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (2.54)
    3.2
    (3.37)
    2.72
    (2.79)
    5.2%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Oxford United - Portsmouth?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Portsmouth will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.6%78.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Oxford (votes: 1 - 20%). Portsmouth (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 0.
    • In recent matches, Oxford has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Portsmouth is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Oxford has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Portsmouth has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Oxford: Brown C. (Injury) Negru S. (Inactive) ter Haar Romeny O. (Foot Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oxford won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford United - Portsmouth were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Oxford United - Portsmouth 0:2
    05.10.2024 Portsmouth - Oxford United 1:1
    02.03.2024 Portsmouth - Oxford United 2:1
    30.01.2024 Oxford United - Portsmouth 2:2
    18.04.2023 Oxford United - Portsmouth 1:1
    Latest results of Oxford United
    Latest results of Portsmouth
    02.08.2025 Portsmouth - Zwolle 1:0
    26.07.2025 Reading - Portsmouth 0:4
    19.07.2025 Crawley Town - Portsmouth Canceled
    16.07.2025 Farnborough - Portsmouth 0:5
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stoke22006:156
    2Middlesbrough22004:046
    3West Brom22004:226
    4Bristol City31205:235
    5Coventry21105:324
    6Birmingham21103:214
    7Hull21103:214
    8Preston21103:214
    9Southampton21103:214
    10Charlton21101:014
    11Leicester21013:303
    12Norwich21013:303
    13Portsmouth21012:203
    14Watford21012:203
    15Swansea21011:103
    16Millwall21012:4-23
    17Ipswich20202:202
    18QPR20112:3-11
    19Derby30125:9-41
    20Wrexham20023:5-20
    21Oxford Utd20022:4-20
    22Blackburn20021:3-20
    23Sheffield Utd20021:5-40
    24Sheffield Wed20021:5-40

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One