Result
0:1
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 1
- Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.57 | 1.04 |
Ball Possession |
---|
49% | 51% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
67% (203/301) | 73% (237/326) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.57 | 1.04 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.62 | 1.34 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
10 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
30 | 24 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
67% (203/301) | 73% (237/326) |
Long passes |
---|
36% (24/66) | 36% (24/67) |
Passes in final third |
---|
54% (51/94) | 52% (51/98) |
Crosses |
---|
22% (5/23) | 43% (6/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.69 | 1.24 |
Throw-ins |
---|
35 | 26 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
57% (13/23) | 56% (10/18) |
Duels won |
---|
68 | 64 |
Clearances |
---|
28 | 47 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.34 | 1.62 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.34 | 1.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 38', 0 - 1, Segecic A. ⚽,
- 41', Swift J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Ogilvie C. 🟨,
- 64', Goodrham T. 🟨,
- 66', Moore E. ↓, ter Avest H. ↑,
- 68', Bianchini F. ↓, Yang Min-Hyuk ↑,
- 69', Leigh G. ↓, Currie J. ↑,
- 69', Harris M. ↓, Dembele S. ↑,
- 80', Lang C. ↓, Devlin T. ↑,
- 81', Lankshear W. ↓, Bradshaw T. ↑,
- 81', Vaulks W. ↓, Sibley L. ↑,
- 86', Swift J. ↓, Swanson Z. ↑,
- 88', Goodrham T. ↓, O'Donkor G. ↑,
- 90+3', Segecic A. ↓, Waddingham T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Oxford United 35.3% | Draw 29.5% | Portsmouth 35.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oxford United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Oxford United - Portsmouth Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.69 ↑ (2.54) |
3.2 ↓ (3.37) |
2.72 ↓ (2.79) |
5.2% (5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Oxford United - Portsmouth?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Portsmouth will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.6% – 78.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Oxford (votes: 1 - 20%). Portsmouth (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 0.
- In recent matches, Oxford has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Portsmouth is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Oxford has had a series of home games.
- Recently, Portsmouth has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Oxford: Brown C.
(Injury)
Negru S.
(Inactive)
ter Haar Romeny O.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oxford won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Portsmouth?
Oxford United has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portsmouth won against Oxford United?
Portsmouth has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford United - Portsmouth were as follows:
15.02.2025
Oxford United
-
Portsmouth
0:2
05.10.2024
Portsmouth
-
Oxford United
1:1
02.03.2024
Portsmouth
-
Oxford United
2:1
30.01.2024
Oxford United
-
Portsmouth
2:2
18.04.2023
Oxford United
-
Portsmouth
1:1
Latest results of Oxford United
Latest results of Portsmouth
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Stoke | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
2 | Middlesbrough | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
3 | West Brom | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Bristol City | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 5 |
5 | Coventry | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
6 | Birmingham | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
7 | Hull | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
8 | Preston | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
9 | Southampton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
10 | Charlton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
11 | Leicester | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Norwich | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
13 | Portsmouth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
14 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
15 | Swansea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
16 | Millwall | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
17 | Ipswich | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
18 | QPR | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
19 | Derby | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
20 | Wrexham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
21 | Oxford Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
22 | Blackburn | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
23 | Sheffield Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
24 | Sheffield Wed | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One