Result
0:1
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 1
- Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (203/301) | 73% (237/326) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (203/301) | 73% (237/326) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (24/66) | 36% (24/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (51/94) | 52% (51/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 35 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 38', 0 - 1, Segecic A. ⚽,
- 41', Swift J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Ogilvie C. 🟨,
- 64', Goodrham T. 🟨,
- 66', Moore E. ↓, ter Avest H. ↑,
- 68', Bianchini F. ↓, Yang Min-Hyuk ↑,
- 69', Leigh G. ↓, Currie J. ↑,
- 69', Harris M. ↓, Dembele S. ↑,
- 80', Lang C. ↓, Devlin T. ↑,
- 81', Lankshear W. ↓, Bradshaw T. ↑,
- 81', Vaulks W. ↓, Sibley L. ↑,
- 86', Swift J. ↓, Swanson Z. ↑,
- 88', Goodrham T. ↓, O'Donkor G. ↑,
- 90+3', Segecic A. ↓, Waddingham T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Oxford United
35.3% | Draw
29.5% | Portsmouth
35.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oxford United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Oxford United - Portsmouth Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↑
(2.54) |
3.2 ↓
(3.37) |
2.72 ↓
(2.79) |
5.2%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Oxford United - Portsmouth?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Portsmouth will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.6% – 78.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Oxford (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Portsmouth (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Oxford (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Oxford (votes: 2 - 20%). Portsmouth (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 6 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 0.
- In recent matches, Oxford has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Portsmouth is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Oxford has had a series of home games.
- Recently, Portsmouth has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Oxford: Brown C.
(Injury)
Negru S.
(Inactive)
ter Haar Romeny O.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oxford won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Portsmouth?
Oxford United has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portsmouth won against Oxford United?
Portsmouth has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford United - Portsmouth were as follows:
15.02.2025
Oxford United
-
Portsmouth
0:2
05.10.2024
Portsmouth
-
Oxford United
1:1
02.03.2024
Portsmouth
-
Oxford United
2:1
30.01.2024
Oxford United
-
Portsmouth
2:2
18.04.2023
Oxford United
-
Portsmouth
1:1
Latest results of Oxford United
Latest results of Portsmouth
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 60:34 | 26 | 63 |
| 4 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 5 | Hull | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
