Portsmouth vs Plymouth Argyle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
12/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 37
  • Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.400.25
Ball Possession
80%20%
Goal Attempts
166
Shots on Goal
33
Shots off Goal
82
Blocked Shots
51
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
70
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
Free Kicks
1513
Offsides
13
Fouls
1315
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
3116
Touches in the Opposition Box
208
Passes
84% (548/655)44% (74/167)
Passes in the final third
63% (125/198)28% (16/57)
Crosses
26% (10/39)50% (1/2)
Tackles
33% (2/6)87% (13/15)
Clearances Total
1861
Interceptions
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 44', 0 - 1, Bundu M. , Hardie R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 0 - 2, Hardie R. ,
  • 52', Obafemi M. , Wright C. ,
  • 55', Ritchie M. , Gordon K. ,
  • 55', Pack M. , Bramall C. ,
  • 62', Potts F. , O'Mahony M. ,
  • 64', Pleguezuelo J. , Szucs K. ,
  • 64', Hardie R. , Mumba B. ,
  • 67', Sorinola M. 🟨,
  • 77', Bundu M. , Ogbeta N. ,
  • 86', Sorinola M. 🟨,
  • 89', 1 - 2, Aouchiche A. ,
  • 90+6', Gyabi D. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Bramall C. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Aouchiche A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Portsmouth
59.6%
Draw
24.4%
Plymouth Argyle
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 26.9% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 25.8% 21.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portsmouth's performance.
  • Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Plymouth Argyle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portsmouth that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Plymouth Argyle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Portsmouth - Plymouth Argyle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.87)
    3.89
    (3.5)
    5.94
    (4.13)
    5.1%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Portsmouth - Plymouth Argyle?
  • Users Predictions: Portsmouth will win (42 of 48 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.14%96.86%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 17 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 0.
    • Portsmouth is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Plymouth is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Portsmouth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Portsmouth is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Portsmouth: Bowat I. (Tendon Injury) Farrell J. (Leg Injury) Lane P. (Knee Injury) Lang C. (Hamstring Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Hamstring Injury) Williams J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (Hip Injury) Tijani M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Portsmouth: Aouchiche A. (Injury) Atkinson R. (Calf Injury) Matthews H. (Ankle Injury) Milosevic A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Plymouth: Randell A. (Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Portsmouth to win the game is with odds 1.66.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 4 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 27:30 (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Portsmouth won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19:15 (average 1.9:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portsmouth - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
    05.11.2024 Plymouth Argyle - Portsmouth 1:0
    11.02.2023 Plymouth Argyle - Portsmouth 3:1
    17.09.2022 Portsmouth - Plymouth Argyle 2:2
    Latest results of Portsmouth
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry39248781:404180
    2Middlesbrough392011859:372271
    3Ipswich381912767:392869
    4Millwall392091053:44969
    5Hull392061362:57566
    6Southampton3917121063:481563
    7Wrexham3917121060:51963
    8Derby391791356:48860
    9Watford3914141150:46456
    10Norwich391661752:46654
    11Birmingham3914111448:49-153
    12QPR391581655:61-653
    13Preston3913131345:49-452
    14Swansea391571744:49-552
    15Stoke391491646:43351
    16Bristol City391491649:50-151
    17Sheffield Utd391551954:54050
    18Charlton3912121536:46-1048
    19Blackburn3911101836:49-1343
    20West Brom3911101840:54-1443
    21Portsmouth3810101837:54-1740
    22Leicester3911121651:60-939
    23Oxford Utd399121836:51-1539
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 39192924:79-55-6

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One