Portsmouth vs Plymouth Argyle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Portsmouth - Plymouth Argyle
Result
1:2
12/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 37
  • Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.400.25
Ball Possession
80%20%
Goal Attempts
166
Shots on Goal
33
Shots off Goal
82
Blocked Shots
51
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
70
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
Free Kicks
1513
Offsides
13
Fouls
1315
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
3116
Touches in the Opposition Box
208
Passes
84% (548/655)44% (74/167)
Passes in the final third
63% (125/198)28% (16/57)
Crosses
26% (10/39)50% (1/2)
Tackles
33% (2/6)87% (13/15)
Clearances Total
1861
Interceptions
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 44', 0 - 1, Bundu M. , Hardie R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 0 - 2, Hardie R. ,
  • 52', Obafemi M. , Wright C. ,
  • 55', Ritchie M. , Gordon K. ,
  • 55', Pack M. , Bramall C. ,
  • 62', Potts F. , O'Mahony M. ,
  • 64', Pleguezuelo J. , Szucs K. ,
  • 64', Hardie R. , Mumba B. ,
  • 67', Sorinola M. 🟨,
  • 77', Bundu M. , Ogbeta N. ,
  • 86', Sorinola M. 🟨,
  • 89', 1 - 2, Aouchiche A. ,
  • 90+6', Gyabi D. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Bramall C. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Aouchiche A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Portsmouth
59.6%
Draw
24.4%
Plymouth Argyle
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 26.9% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 25.8% 21.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portsmouth's performance.
  • Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Plymouth Argyle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portsmouth that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Plymouth Argyle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Portsmouth - Plymouth Argyle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.87)
    3.89
    (3.5)
    5.94
    (4.13)
    5.1%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Portsmouth - Plymouth Argyle?
  • Users Predictions: Portsmouth will win (42 of 48 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.14%96.86%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 17 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 0.
    • Portsmouth is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Plymouth is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Portsmouth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Portsmouth is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Portsmouth: Bowat I. (Tendon Injury) Farrell J. (Leg Injury) Lane P. (Knee Injury) Lang C. (Hamstring Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Hamstring Injury) Williams J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (Hip Injury) Tijani M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Portsmouth: Aouchiche A. (Injury) Atkinson R. (Calf Injury) Matthews H. (Ankle Injury) Milosevic A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Plymouth: Randell A. (Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Portsmouth to win the game is with odds 1.66.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 4 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 27:30 (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Portsmouth won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19:15 (average 1.9:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portsmouth - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
    05.11.2024 Plymouth Argyle - Portsmouth 1:0
    11.02.2023 Plymouth Argyle - Portsmouth 3:1
    17.09.2022 Portsmouth - Plymouth Argyle 2:2
    Latest results of Portsmouth
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry1174031:82325
    2Middlesbrough1173115:7824
    3Millwall1162313:13020
    4Bristol City1154219:11819
    5Charlton1153313:9418
    6Stoke1153312:8418
    7Hull1153319:19018
    8QPR1153315:16-118
    9Leicester1145215:11417
    10West Brom1152412:13-117
    11Preston1144312:10216
    12Watford1143413:13015
    13Birmingham1143411:14-315
    14Ipswich1034316:13313
    15Wrexham1134415:16-113
    16Swansea1134410:11-113
    17Portsmouth1134410:12-213
    18Southampton1126312:15-312
    19Derby1125412:16-411
    20Oxford Utd1123611:14-39
    21Sheffield Utd113087:17-109
    22Norwich1122711:16-58
    23Blackburn102178:16-87
    24Sheffield Wed111379:23-146

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One