Portsmouth vs Plymouth Argyle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
12/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 37
  • Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.400.25
Ball Possession
80%20%
Goal Attempts
166
Shots on Goal
33
Shots off Goal
82
Blocked Shots
51
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
70
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
Free Kicks
1513
Offsides
13
Fouls
1315
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
3116
Touches in the Opposition Box
208
Passes
84% (548/655)44% (74/167)
Passes in the final third
63% (125/198)28% (16/57)
Crosses
26% (10/39)50% (1/2)
Tackles
33% (2/6)87% (13/15)
Clearances Total
1861
Interceptions
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 44', 0 - 1, Bundu M. , Hardie R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 0 - 2, Hardie R. ,
  • 52', Obafemi M. , Wright C. ,
  • 55', Ritchie M. , Gordon K. ,
  • 55', Pack M. , Bramall C. ,
  • 62', Potts F. , O'Mahony M. ,
  • 64', Pleguezuelo J. , Szucs K. ,
  • 64', Hardie R. , Mumba B. ,
  • 67', Sorinola M. 🟨,
  • 77', Bundu M. , Ogbeta N. ,
  • 86', Sorinola M. 🟨,
  • 89', 1 - 2, Aouchiche A. ,
  • 90+6', Gyabi D. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Bramall C. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Aouchiche A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Portsmouth
59.6%
Draw
24.4%
Plymouth Argyle
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 26.9% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 25.8% 21.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portsmouth's performance.
  • Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Plymouth Argyle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portsmouth that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Plymouth Argyle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Portsmouth - Plymouth Argyle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.87)
    3.89
    (3.5)
    5.94
    (4.13)
    5.1%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Portsmouth - Plymouth Argyle?
  • Users Predictions: Portsmouth will win (42 of 48 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.14%96.86%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 17 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 0.
    • Portsmouth is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Plymouth is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Portsmouth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Portsmouth is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Portsmouth: Bowat I. (Tendon Injury) Farrell J. (Leg Injury) Lane P. (Knee Injury) Lang C. (Hamstring Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Hamstring Injury) Williams J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (Hip Injury) Tijani M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Portsmouth: Aouchiche A. (Injury) Atkinson R. (Calf Injury) Matthews H. (Ankle Injury) Milosevic A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Plymouth: Randell A. (Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Portsmouth to win the game is with odds 1.66.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 4 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 27:30 (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Portsmouth won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19:15 (average 1.9:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portsmouth - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
    05.11.2024 Plymouth Argyle - Portsmouth 1:0
    11.02.2023 Plymouth Argyle - Portsmouth 3:1
    17.09.2022 Portsmouth - Plymouth Argyle 2:2
    Latest results of Portsmouth
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry422510784:424285
    2Ipswich402112771:403175
    3Millwall4221101156:47973
    4Middlesbrough4220121062:422072
    5Southampton4119121070:502069
    6Hull422081464:60468
    7Wrexham4217131263:60364
    8Derby421891561:53863
    9Norwich421771855:50558
    10Bristol City4216101652:51158
    11QPR4216101658:63-558
    12Watford4214151352:51157
    13Preston4214151350:53-357
    14Swansea421691750:54-457
    15Birmingham4215111651:52-156
    16Stoke4215101749:46355
    17Sheffield Utd421662059:59054
    18Charlton4212131739:51-1249
    19Blackburn4212121838:50-1248
    20West Brom4211131842:56-1446
    21Portsmouth4111121841:57-1645
    22Oxford Utd4210141841:54-1344
    23Leicester4211141754:64-1041
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 421113025:82-57-4

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One