Portsmouth vs Plymouth Argyle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
12/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 37
  • Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.400.25
Ball Possession
80%20%
Goal Attempts
166
Shots on Goal
33
Shots off Goal
82
Blocked Shots
51
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
70
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
Free Kicks
1513
Offsides
13
Fouls
1315
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
3116
Touches in the Opposition Box
208
Passes
84% (548/655)44% (74/167)
Passes in the final third
63% (125/198)28% (16/57)
Crosses
26% (10/39)50% (1/2)
Tackles
33% (2/6)87% (13/15)
Clearances Total
1861
Interceptions
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 44', 0 - 1, Bundu M. , Hardie R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 0 - 2, Hardie R. ,
  • 52', Obafemi M. , Wright C. ,
  • 55', Ritchie M. , Gordon K. ,
  • 55', Pack M. , Bramall C. ,
  • 62', Potts F. , O'Mahony M. ,
  • 64', Pleguezuelo J. , Szucs K. ,
  • 64', Hardie R. , Mumba B. ,
  • 67', Sorinola M. 🟨,
  • 77', Bundu M. , Ogbeta N. ,
  • 86', Sorinola M. 🟨,
  • 89', 1 - 2, Aouchiche A. ,
  • 90+6', Gyabi D. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Bramall C. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Aouchiche A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Portsmouth
59.6%
Draw
24.4%
Plymouth Argyle
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 26.9% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 25.8% 21.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portsmouth's performance.
  • Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Plymouth Argyle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portsmouth that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Plymouth Argyle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Portsmouth - Plymouth Argyle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.87)
    3.89
    (3.5)
    5.94
    (4.13)
    5.1%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Portsmouth - Plymouth Argyle?
  • Users Predictions: Portsmouth will win (42 of 48 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.14%96.86%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 17 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 0.
    • Portsmouth is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Plymouth is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Portsmouth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Portsmouth is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Portsmouth: Bowat I. (Tendon Injury) Farrell J. (Leg Injury) Lane P. (Knee Injury) Lang C. (Hamstring Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Hamstring Injury) Williams J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (Hip Injury) Tijani M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Portsmouth: Aouchiche A. (Injury) Atkinson R. (Calf Injury) Matthews H. (Ankle Injury) Milosevic A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Plymouth: Randell A. (Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Portsmouth to win the game is with odds 1.66.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 4 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 27:30 (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Portsmouth won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19:15 (average 1.9:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portsmouth - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
    05.11.2024 Plymouth Argyle - Portsmouth 1:0
    11.02.2023 Plymouth Argyle - Portsmouth 3:1
    17.09.2022 Portsmouth - Plymouth Argyle 2:2
    Latest results of Portsmouth
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    English League Championship Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry462811797:455295
    2Ipswich462315880:473384
    3Millwall4624111164:491583
    4Southampton4622141082:562680
    5Middlesbrough4622141072:472580
    6Hull4621101570:66473
    7Wrexham4619141369:65471
    8Derby462091767:59869
    9Norwich461981963:56765
    10Birmingham4617131657:56164
    11Swansea4618101857:59-264
    12Bristol City4617111859:59062
    13Sheffield Utd461862266:66060
    14Preston4615151655:62-760
    15QPR4616102061:73-1258
    16Watford4614151753:65-1257
    17Stoke4615102151:56-555
    18Portsmouth4614131949:64-1555
    19Charlton4613141944:58-1453
    20Blackburn4613132042:56-1452
    21West Brom4613141948:58-1051
    22Oxford Utd4611142145:59-1447
    23Leicester4612161858:68-1046
    24Sheffield Wed462123229:89-600

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One