Wrexham vs Portsmouth – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
24/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 34
  • Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
icelandIcelandViaplay
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.540.53
Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
51
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
315
Passes
80% (265/332)81% (396/487)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
0.540.53
xG on target (xGOT)
2.000.46
Total shots
109
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
22
Blocked shots
36
Shots inside the box
68
Shots outside the box
41
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
20
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
315
Touches in opposition box
1326
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
89
Passes
80% (265/332)81% (396/487)
Long passes
48% (23/48)41% (28/68)
Passes in final third
61% (33/54)62% (84/135)
Crosses
11% (1/9)10% (3/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.650.86
Throw ins
2215
Fouls
98
Tackles
22% (2/9)64% (7/11)
Duels won
3943
Clearances
4112
Interceptions
168
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
03
xGOT faced
0.462.00
Goals prevented
-0.540.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Smith S. , Doyle C. (A),
  • 30', Poole R. 🟨,
  • 39', 2 - 0, Cleworth M. , Dobson G. (A),
  • 42', Swift J. , Segecic A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Caballero G. , Blair H. ,
  • 49', 2 - 1, Swanson Z. , Poole R. (A),
  • 67', Smith S. , Moore K. ,
  • 68', Windass J. , Rathbone O. ,
  • 79', Adams E. , Chaplin C. ,
  • 79', Swanson Z. , Bowat I. ,
  • 88', Broadhead N. , Vyner Z. ,
  • 89', Poole R. , Dia M. ,

Chances of winning


Wrexham
45.7%
Draw
28.4%
Portsmouth
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.1% 27.3% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 27.5% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Wrexham - Portsmouth Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (1.96)
    3.33
    (3.45)
    3.65
    (3.85)
    5.5%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Wrexham - Portsmouth?
  • Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 28 - 70%). Portsmouth will win (votes: 4 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 55.8%84.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Portsmouth (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Wrexham will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 8 - 80%). Portsmouth (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19).
    • Wrexham is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Portsmouth has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Wrexham could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Wrexham: Cacace L. (Injury) James A. (Injury) O'Connor T. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Portsmouth: Alese A. (Muscle Injury) Anderson K. (Hamstring Injury) Bianchini F. (Knee Injury) Chaplin C. (Groin Injury) Dozzell A. (Ankle Injury) Knight J. (Back Injury) Kosznovszky M. (Knee Injury) Matthews H. (Ankle Injury) Murphy J. (Foot Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Thigh Injury) Umeh F. (Hamstring Injury) Waddingham T. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wrexham: Brunt L. (Thigh Injury) Sheaf B. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wrexham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wrexham - Portsmouth were as follows:
    05.11.2025 Portsmouth - Wrexham 0:0
    Latest results of Wrexham
    21.02.2026 Wrexham - Ipswich Town 5:3
    17.02.2026 Bristol City - Wrexham 2:2
    13.02.2026 Wrexham - Ipswich Town 1:0
    07.02.2026 Wrexham - Millwall 0:2
    Latest results of Portsmouth
    21.02.2026 Millwall - Portsmouth 1:3
    03.02.2026 Portsmouth - Ipswich Town Postponed
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry35218672:383471
    2Middlesbrough35199754:351966
    3Millwall35188947:40762
    4Ipswich33179759:342560
    5Hull341861056:48860
    6Wrexham351512854:45957
    7Southampton3514111057:461153
    8Derby351491252:46651
    9Watford3513121045:41451
    10Bristol City351481348:44450
    11Preston3512131041:40149
    12Birmingham3513101246:46049
    13Sheffield Utd351531750:48248
    14Stoke351381439:34547
    15QPR351381446:54-847
    16Swansea351371540:43-346
    17Norwich351361647:44345
    18Charlton3510111433:44-1141
    19Portsmouth341091534:44-1039
    20Blackburn351081733:46-1338
    21West Brom35981834:52-1835
    22Leicester3510101547:56-934
    23Oxford Utd357111731:47-1632
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 35182621:71-50-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One