Portugal W vs Italy W, UEFA Euro Women: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Euro Women
Soccer UEFA Euro Women Portugal W - Italy W
Result
1:1
07/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Euro Women - Round 2
  • Referee: Martincic I. (Cro)
Portugal W - Italy W - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.311.27
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
414
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
80% (310/387)76% (220/291)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.311.27
xG on target (xGOT)
0.171.62
Total shots
414
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
410
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1128
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
80% (310/387)76% (220/291)
Long passes
53% (31/59)53% (18/34)
Passes in final third
74% (95/129)59% (47/79)
Crosses
19% (3/16)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.671.11
Throw-ins
1931
Fouls
1312
Tackles
41% (12/29)62% (13/21)
Duels won
5554
Clearances
2925
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
1.620.17
Goals prevented
0.62-0.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Giugliano M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 59', Giugliano M. ↓, Greggi G. ↑,
  • 59', Cantore S. ↓, Cambiaghi M. ↑,
  • 65', Marchao J. ↓, Amado C. ↑,
  • 65', Capeta A. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
  • 70', 0 - 1, Girelli C. ⚽, Greggi G. (A),
  • 75', Borges A. 🟨,
  • 76', Di Guglielmo L. ↓, Oliviero E. ↑,
  • 76', Norton A. ↓, Jacinto A. ↑,
  • 84', Nazareth K. ↓, Silva D. ↑,
  • 84', Silva D. ↓, Encarnacao T. ↑,
  • 87', Boattin L. ↓, Bergamaschi V. ↑,
  • 87', Girelli C. ↓, Bonansea B. ↑,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Gomes D. ⚽, Silva D. (A),
  • 90+6', Borges A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Portugal W
17.4%		Draw
24.7%		Italy W
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.8% 23.6% 56.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portugal W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Italy W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
    •

    Portugal W - Italy W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.38 ↑
    (4.75)    		 3.82 ↓
    (3.98)    		 1.64 ↓
    (1.66)    		 5.9%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Portugal W - Italy W?
  • Users Predictions: Italy W will win (53 of 56 users predict this - 94.64%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 88.74% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Italy W will win (22 of 22 users predict this - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Portugal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Italy is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portugal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).
    Latest results of Portugal W
    03.07.2025 Spain W - Portugal W 5:0 ✺
    23.06.2025 Portugal W - Nigeria W 0:0 ✺
    03.06.2025 Portugal W - Belgium W 0:3 ✺
    30.05.2025 England W - Portugal W 6:0 ✺
    08.04.2025 Spain W - Portugal W 7:1 ✺
    Latest results of Italy W
    03.07.2025 Belgium W - Italy W 0:1 ✺
    03.06.2025 Wales W - Italy W 1:4 ✺
    30.05.2025 Italy W - Sweden W 0:0
    08.04.2025 Denmark W - Italy W 0:3
    04.04.2025 Sweden W - Italy W 3:2
    UEFA Euro Women Table
    Final tournament

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Norway W33008:539
    2Switzerland W31114:314
    3Finland W31113:304
    4Iceland W30033:7-40


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Spain W330014:3119
    2Italy W31113:4-14
    3Belgium W31024:8-43
    4Portugal W30122:8-61


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sweden W33008:179
    2Germany W32015:506
    3Poland W31023:7-43
    4Denmark W30033:6-30


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1France W22006:246
    2England W21015:233
    3Netherlands W21013:4-13
    4Wales W20021:7-60

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    cyprusCyprusRIK 1
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    denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay
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    finlandFinlandYLE TV2
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    georgiaGeorgia1TV, 1TV Player
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    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMRT 1, MRT Play
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    peruPeruDisney+
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    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
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