Result
1:0
07/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252 |
 World | FIFA+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45', Erradi B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Lucas Martello ↓, Siatounis A. ↑,
- 54', Rosafio M. ↓, Schimmenti E. ↑,
- 58', Petrungaro L. ↓, D'Auria G. ↑,
- 60', Di Tacchio F. 🟨,
- 62', Ierardi M. 🟨,
- 65', Stoppa M. ↓, Dalmonte N. ↑,
- 65', Di Tacchio F. ↓, Sturaro S. ↑,
- 72', Jimenez K. ↓, Frisenna G. ↑,
- 79', Erradi B. ↓, Selleri G. ↑,
- 79', Burgio R. ↓, Mazzeo L. ↑,
- 83', Anastasio A. 🟨,
- 88', Verrengia B. 🟨,
- 88', 1 - 0, Inglese R. ⚽,
- 90', Inglese R. ↓, Montalto A. ↑,
- 90', Quaini A. ↓, De Rose F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Catania
51.5% | Draw
27.4% | Potenza
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Catania's performance.Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Catania that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Catania - Potenza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2.15) |
3.41 ↑
(2.97) |
4.42 ↑
(3.53) |
7.1%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Catania - Potenza?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Catania (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In case of a draw home team advances.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Catania won 1.
- Catania is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Potenza has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Catania is considered a favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Catania won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Catania won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Catania won against Potenza?
Catania has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Potenza won against Catania?
Potenza has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Catania - Potenza were as follows:
27.04.2025
Potenza
-
Catania
1:2
14.12.2024
Catania
-
Potenza
0:2
10.03.2024
Catania
-
Potenza
0:0
05.11.2023
Potenza
-
Catania
1:0
Latest results of Catania
Latest results of Potenza
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16:2 | 14 | 22 |
| 2 | Lecco | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Brescia | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 15 |
| 4 | Inter U23 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Alcione Milano | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Pro Vercelli | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 12 |
| 7 | AlbinoLeffe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15:12 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | Pergolettese | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Virtus Verona | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 9 |
| 11 | Arzignano | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Renate | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 | Trento | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:15 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Lumezzane | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 | Novara | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 17 | Cittadella | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Ospitaletto | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | Triestina | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | -8 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
