Potenza vs Catania – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group C - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Calcio

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
515
Shots on target
28
Corner Kicks
36
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
10
Total shots
515
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
37
Corner Kicks
36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Forte F. ,
  • 13', 1 - 1, Bruschi N. ,
  • 19', Bruschi N. 🟥,
  • 25', Di Tacchio F. 🟨,
  • 37', Celli A. 🟨,
  • 43', Maisto F. , De Marco A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', D'Ausilio M. , Rolfini A. ,
  • 46', Di Tacchio F. , Corbari A. ,
  • 46', Mazzeo L. , Selleri G. ,
  • 46', Di Gennaro M. 🟨,
  • 61', Allegretto A. , Pieraccini S. ,
  • 61', Jimenez K. , Donnarumma D. ,
  • 67', Forte F. , Caturano S. ,
  • 75', Cucchietti T. 🟨,
  • 81', Novella M. , Balzano M. ,
  • 90+1', Lucas Martello , Petrungaro L. ,
  • 90+6', Selleri G. 🟨,
  • 90+10', De Marco A. 🟨,
  • 90+15', Pieraccini S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Potenza
19%
Draw
27.2%
Catania
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.4% 26.9% 44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28% 26.5% 45.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Potenza's form might have worsened.
  • Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Catania's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Potenza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Catania, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Potenza - Catania Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.84
    (3.24)
    3.38
    (3.42)
    1.71
    (2.06)
    8.9%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Potenza - Catania?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Catania (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Potenza won 2.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Catania may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Catania is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Potenza won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Potenza won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Potenza - Catania were as follows:
    07.05.2025 Catania - Potenza 1:0
    27.04.2025 Potenza - Catania 1:2
    14.12.2024 Catania - Potenza 0:2
    10.03.2024 Catania - Potenza 0:0
    05.11.2023 Potenza - Catania 1:0
    Latest results of Potenza
    10.12.2025 Potenza - Crotone 3:1
    06.12.2025 Sorrento - Potenza 2:2
    30.11.2025 Potenza - Casarano 3:1
    26.11.2025 Potenza - Audace Cerignola 4:2
    23.11.2025 Salernitana - Potenza 1:1
    Latest results of Catania
    05.12.2025 Catania - Crotone 2:0
    29.11.2025 Picerno - Catania 0:1
    23.11.2025 Catania - Latina 1:0
    15.11.2025 Casarano - Catania 1:0
    09.11.2025 Catania - Altamura 2:0
    Italian Serie C Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Benevento29214463:204367
    2Catania29179346:153160
    3Salernitana29149636:30651
    4Cosenza29148744:311350
    5Casertana29137942:39346
    6Crotone291361042:281445
    7Monopoli29128930:30044
    8Audace Cerignola29119934:36-242
    9Casarano291161240:48-839
    10Potenza299101037:41-437
    11Altamura299101026:36-1037
    12Atalanta U2329971340:36434
    13Sorrento29891232:40-833
    14Cavese297101228:34-631
    15Picerno29791334:45-1130
    16Latina296111220:32-1229
    17Trapani291271037:37028
    18Giugliano29671625:43-1825
    19Foggia29571725:51-2622
    20Siracusa29751735:44-920

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation