Catania vs Potenza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group A Catania - Potenza
Result
1:0
07/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252
worldWorldFIFA+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
74
Corner Kicks
113
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
155
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
81
Corner Kicks
113
Goalkeeper Saves
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45', Erradi B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Lucas Martello , Siatounis A. ,
  • 54', Rosafio M. , Schimmenti E. ,
  • 58', Petrungaro L. , D'Auria G. ,
  • 60', Di Tacchio F. 🟨,
  • 62', Ierardi M. 🟨,
  • 65', Stoppa M. , Dalmonte N. ,
  • 65', Di Tacchio F. , Sturaro S. ,
  • 72', Jimenez K. , Frisenna G. ,
  • 79', Erradi B. , Selleri G. ,
  • 79', Burgio R. , Mazzeo L. ,
  • 83', Anastasio A. 🟨,
  • 88', Verrengia B. 🟨,
  • 88', 1 - 0, Inglese R. ,
  • 90', Inglese R. , Montalto A. ,
  • 90', Quaini A. , De Rose F. ,

Chances of winning


Catania
51.5%
Draw
27.4%
Potenza
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 31% 26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 29.7% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Catania's performance.
  • Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Catania that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Catania - Potenza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (2.15)
    3.41
    (2.97)
    4.42
    (3.53)
    7.1%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Catania - Potenza?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Catania (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In case of a draw home team advances.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Catania won 1.
    • Catania is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Potenza has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Catania is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Catania won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Catania won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Catania - Potenza were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Potenza - Catania 1:2
    14.12.2024 Catania - Potenza 0:2
    10.03.2024 Catania - Potenza 0:0
    05.11.2023 Potenza - Catania 1:0
    Latest results of Catania
    04.05.2025 Catania - Giugliano 3:2
    27.04.2025 Potenza - Catania 1:2
    12.04.2025 Cavese - Catania 0:1
    06.04.2025 Catania - Avellino 1:2
    30.03.2025 Trapani - Catania 0:3
    Latest results of Potenza
    04.05.2025 Potenza - Picerno 2:0
    27.04.2025 Potenza - Catania 1:2
    19.04.2025 Latina - Potenza 1:0
    13.04.2025 Potenza - Casertana 2:1
    06.04.2025 Monopoli - Potenza 0:0
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trento11002:023
    2Lecco11002:113
    3Arzignano11002:113
    4Alcione Milano11001:013
    5AlbinoLeffe10102:201
    6Dolomiti Bellunesi10102:201
    7Ospitaletto10011:2-10
    8Brescia10011:2-10
    9L.R. Vicenza00000:000
    10Cittadella00000:000
    11Lumezzane00000:000
    12Novara00000:000
    13Pro Patria00000:000
    14Pro Vercelli00000:000
    15Renate00000:000
    16Pergolettese00000:000
    17Virtus Verona00000:000
    18Inter U2300000:000
    19Giana Erminio10010:2-20
    20Triestina10010:1-1-7

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation