Prato vs Progresso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group D Prato - Progresso
Result
0:2
27/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group D - Round 33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 49', 0 - 1, Maltoni E. ,
  • 74', 0 - 2, Pinelli M. ,

Chances of winning


Prato
48.4%
Draw
26.3%
Progresso
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 29.3% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2% 28.6% 33.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Prato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Prato's performance.
  • Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Progresso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prato than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Prato that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Progresso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Prato - Progresso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (2.48)
    3.47
    (3.08)
    3.61
    (2.62)
    9.6%
    (11%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Prato won 2.
    • Recent matches Prato is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Progresso is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Progresso could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Prato won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Prato won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Prato - Progresso were as follows:
    15.12.2024 Progresso - Prato 0:0
    04.02.2024 Prato - Progresso 1:0
    Latest results of Prato
    17.04.2025 Corticella - Prato 0:3
    06.04.2025 Zenith Prato - Prato 0:0
    30.03.2025 Prato - Tau Altopascio 0:2
    23.03.2025 United Riccione - Prato 0:4
    Latest results of Progresso
    17.04.2025 Progresso - Sammaurese 0:1
    12.04.2025 Lentigione - Progresso 3:0
    30.03.2025 Progresso - Fiorenzuola 1:2
    23.03.2025 Tau Altopascio - Progresso 1:1
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1