Preston North End vs Birmingham City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
21/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 11
  • Referee: Smith L. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.340.83
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
81% (368/453)73% (212/290)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.340.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.240.79
Total shots
179
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
3513
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
148
Passes
81% (368/453)73% (212/290)
Long passes
56% (35/62)27% (19/70)
Passes in final third
67% (124/184)49% (31/63)
Crosses
25% (11/44)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.920.66
Throw-ins
2626
Fouls
814
Tackles
60% (9/15)50% (8/16)
Duels won
6942
Clearances
1852
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.791.24
Goals prevented
-0.211.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', Smith M. 🟨,
  • 12', Osayi-Samuel B. 🟨,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Neumann P. , Cochrane A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Osayi-Samuel B. , Leonard M. ,
  • 54', Koumas L. , Gray D. ,
  • 58', Iwata T. 🟨,
  • 63', Leonard M. 🟨,
  • 63', McCann A. , Small T. ,
  • 63', Vukcevic A. , Devine A. ,
  • 70', Anderson K. , Cashin E. ,
  • 70', Doyle T. , Dykes L. ,
  • 72', Jebbison D. , Osmajic M. ,
  • 83', Hughes A. , Dobbin L. ,
  • 86', Stansfield J. , Sampsted A. ,
  • 90+2', Small T. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Paik Seung-Ho 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Preston North End
22.3%
Draw
32.3%
Birmingham City
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.2% 31.1% 38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 32.2% 39.9%

Preston North End - Birmingham City Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
5.08
(3.14)
3.28
(3.05)
2.28
(2.46)
-6%
(5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Preston North End - Birmingham City?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Birmingham will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Preston: 19.9%64.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Preston (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 8 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Preston won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Preston: Brady R. (Calf Injury) Keane W. (Muscle Injury) Potts B. (Muscle Injury) Thompson J. (Ankle Injury) Valentin P. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Ducksch M. (Calf Injury) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury) Robinson J. (Red Card) Willumsson W. T. (Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Preston: Small T. (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Preston won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Preston won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Preston North End - Birmingham City were as follows:
    01.04.2024 Birmingham City - Preston North End 1:0
    19.09.2023 Preston North End - Birmingham City 2:1
    21.01.2023 Birmingham City - Preston North End 1:2
    03.09.2022 Preston North End - Birmingham City 0:1
    Latest results of Preston North End
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry24156354:252951
    2Middlesbrough24127533:25843
    3Ipswich24118540:231741
    4Hull24125740:37341
    5Millwall24116727:32-539
    6Watford24108634:29538
    7Preston24910531:25637
    8Bristol City24106833:27636
    9QPR24105934:37-335
    10Stoke241041029:23634
    11Wrexham24810634:31334
    12Leicester2497834:34034
    13Southampton2488838:34432
    14Derby2488833:33032
    15Birmingham2487932:31131
    16West Brom24941128:32-431
    17Sheffield Utd24921333:37-429
    18Swansea24851125:31-629
    19Blackburn23761022:26-427
    20Charlton23761022:29-727
    21Portsmouth23671021:30-925
    22Oxford Utd24571224:33-922
    23Norwich24561326:36-1021
    24Sheffield Wed23181418:45-27-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One