Result
0:1
21/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 11
- Referee: Smith L. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (368/453) | 73% (212/290) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (368/453) | 73% (212/290) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (35/62) | 27% (19/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (124/184) | 49% (31/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (11/44) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 52 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | 1.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', Smith M. 🟨,
- 12', Osayi-Samuel B. 🟨,
- 33', 0 - 1, Neumann P. ⚽, Cochrane A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Osayi-Samuel B. ↓, Leonard M. ↑,
- 54', Koumas L. ↓, Gray D. ↑,
- 58', Iwata T. 🟨,
- 63', Leonard M. 🟨,
- 63', McCann A. ↓, Small T. ↑,
- 63', Vukcevic A. ↓, Devine A. ↑,
- 70', Anderson K. ↓, Cashin E. ↑,
- 70', Doyle T. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
- 72', Jebbison D. ↓, Osmajic M. ↑,
- 83', Hughes A. ↓, Dobbin L. ↑,
- 86', Stansfield J. ↓, Sampsted A. ↑,
- 90+2', Small T. 🟨,
- 90+5', Paik Seung-Ho 🟨,
Chances of winning
Preston North End
22.3% | Draw
32.3% | Birmingham City
45.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Preston North End's form might have worsened.Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Birmingham City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Preston North End, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Birmingham City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Preston North End - Birmingham City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.08 ↑
(3.14) |
3.28 ↑
(3.05) |
2.28 ↓
(2.46) |
-6%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Preston North End - Birmingham City?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Birmingham will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Preston: 19.9% – 64.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Preston (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 8 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Preston won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Preston: Brady R.
(Calf Injury)
Keane W.
(Muscle Injury)
Potts B.
(Muscle Injury)
Thompson J.
(Ankle Injury)
Valentin P.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L.
(Knee Injury)
Ducksch M.
(Calf Injury)
Laird E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Robinson J.
(Red Card)
Willumsson W. T.
(Injury)
Wright S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Preston: Small T.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Preston won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Preston won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Preston North End won against Birmingham City?
Preston North End has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Preston North End?
Birmingham City has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Preston North End - Birmingham City were as follows:
01.04.2024
Birmingham City
-
Preston North End
1:0
19.09.2023
Preston North End
-
Birmingham City
2:1
21.01.2023
Birmingham City
-
Preston North End
1:2
03.09.2022
Preston North End
-
Birmingham City
0:1
Latest results of Preston North End
Latest results of Birmingham City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 34:9 | 25 | 28 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Millwall | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 23 |
| 4 | Bristol City | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 9 | 22 |
| 5 | Stoke | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Charlton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Preston | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Hull | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | QPR | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | Leicester | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 17 |
| 11 | West Brom | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 16 |
| 13 | Swansea | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 14 | Watford | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 | Derby | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 19 | Oxford Utd | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 12 |
| 20 | Southampton | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 12 |
| 21 | Blackburn | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10:17 | -7 | 10 |
| 22 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 9:20 | -11 | 9 |
| 23 | Norwich | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:18 | -6 | 8 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10:25 | -15 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
