Preston North End vs Birmingham City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Preston North End - Birmingham City
Result
0:1
21/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 11
  • Referee: Smith L. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.340.83
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
81% (368/453)73% (212/290)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.340.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.240.79
Total shots
179
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
3513
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
148
Passes
81% (368/453)73% (212/290)
Long passes
56% (35/62)27% (19/70)
Passes in final third
67% (124/184)49% (31/63)
Crosses
25% (11/44)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.920.66
Throw-ins
2626
Fouls
814
Tackles
60% (9/15)50% (8/16)
Duels won
6942
Clearances
1852
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.791.24
Goals prevented
-0.211.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', Smith M. 🟨,
  • 12', Osayi-Samuel B. 🟨,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Neumann P. , Cochrane A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Osayi-Samuel B. , Leonard M. ,
  • 54', Koumas L. , Gray D. ,
  • 58', Iwata T. 🟨,
  • 63', Leonard M. 🟨,
  • 63', McCann A. , Small T. ,
  • 63', Vukcevic A. , Devine A. ,
  • 70', Anderson K. , Cashin E. ,
  • 70', Doyle T. , Dykes L. ,
  • 72', Jebbison D. , Osmajic M. ,
  • 83', Hughes A. , Dobbin L. ,
  • 86', Stansfield J. , Sampsted A. ,
  • 90+2', Small T. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Paik Seung-Ho 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Preston North End
22.3%
Draw
32.3%
Birmingham City
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.2% 31.1% 38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 32.2% 39.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Preston North End's form might have worsened.
  • Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Birmingham City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Preston North End, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Birmingham City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Preston North End - Birmingham City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.08
    (3.14)
    3.28
    (3.05)
    2.28
    (2.46)
    -6%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Preston North End - Birmingham City?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Birmingham will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Preston: 19.9%64.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Preston (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 8 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Preston won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Preston: Brady R. (Calf Injury) Keane W. (Muscle Injury) Potts B. (Muscle Injury) Thompson J. (Ankle Injury) Valentin P. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Ducksch M. (Calf Injury) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury) Robinson J. (Red Card) Willumsson W. T. (Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Preston: Small T. (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Preston won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Preston won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Preston North End - Birmingham City were as follows:
    01.04.2024 Birmingham City - Preston North End 1:0
    19.09.2023 Preston North End - Birmingham City 2:1
    21.01.2023 Birmingham City - Preston North End 1:2
    03.09.2022 Preston North End - Birmingham City 0:1
    Latest results of Preston North End
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry1284034:92528
    2Middlesbrough1274116:8825
    3Millwall1272314:13123
    4Bristol City1264220:11922
    5Stoke1263313:8521
    6Charlton1254314:10419
    7Preston1254315:12319
    8Hull1254320:20019
    9QPR1253415:17-218
    10Leicester1245315:12317
    11West Brom1252512:14-217
    12Ipswich1144317:13416
    13Swansea1244412:12016
    14Watford1243514:16-215
    15Birmingham1243511:15-415
    16Wrexham1235416:17-114
    17Derby1235413:16-314
    18Portsmouth1234510:13-313
    19Oxford Utd1233613:15-212
    20Southampton1226413:17-412
    21Blackburn1131710:17-710
    22Sheffield Utd123099:20-119
    23Norwich1222812:18-68
    24Sheffield Wed1213810:25-15-6

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One