Result
0:1
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 6
- Referee: Smith L. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (320/409) | 78% (359/460) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (320/409) | 78% (359/460) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (29/56) | 35% (22/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (62/108) | 62% (68/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', 0 - 1, Devine A. ⚽, Dobbin L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Elder C. ↓, Agyemang P. ↑,
- 55', Sanderson D. 🟨,
- 66', Clark B. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
- 67', Dobbin L. ↓, Armstrong H. ↑,
- 72', Iversen D. 🟨,
- 74', Small T. ↓, Lindsay L. ↑,
- 74', Osmajic M. ↓, Jebbison D. ↑,
- 75', Adams E. 🟨,
- 85', Devine A. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
- 85', Gibson L. ↓, Vukcevic A. ↑,
- 87', Adams E. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
- 87', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
- 90+6', Smith M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Derby County
32.4% | Draw
31.6% | Preston North End
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derby County's form might have worsened.Preston North End has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Preston North End's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Preston North End, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Derby County - Preston North End Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.42 ↑
(2.26) |
3.33 ↑
(3.2) |
2.86 ↓
(3.25) |
-5.7%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Derby County - Preston North End?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Preston will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Preston has had a series of home games.
- Derby could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Derby: Ebuka C.
(Injury)
Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Preston: Brady R.
(Calf Injury)
Keane W.
(Muscle Injury)
Potts B.
(Muscle Injury)
Thompson J.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Derby: Beck O.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Blackett-Taylor C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Langas S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Preston: Osmajic M.
(Ribs Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Derby won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 0.9:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Preston North End?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Preston North End won against Derby County?
Preston North End has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Preston North End were as follows:
02.04.2025
Derby County
-
Preston North End
2:0
23.11.2024
Preston North End
-
Derby County
1:1
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Preston North End
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Coventry | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
| 3 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Leicester | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Preston | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Swansea | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 | Southampton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 19 | Norwich | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
