Preston North End vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Deepdale (Preston).

Championship - Round 27
Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.74	1.76
Ball possession
51%	49%
Total shots
13	18
Shots on target
2	4
Big chances
0	2
Corner kicks
5	10
Passes
72% (258/357)	69% (233/336)
Yellow cards
2	5
Expected goals (xG)
0.74	1.76
xG on target (xGOT)
0.61	1.85
Total shots
13	18
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
8	8
Blocked shots
3	6
Shots inside the box
6	14
Shots outside the box
7	4
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
0	2
Corner kicks
5	10
Touches in opposition box
17	32
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	2
Free kicks
12	7
Passes
72% (258/357)	69% (233/336)
Long passes
30% (17/57)	29% (20/69)
Passes in final third
54% (49/91)	61% (90/148)
Crosses
23% (3/13)	42% (8/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.28	1.64
Throw ins
16	35
Fouls
7	12
Tackles
65% (15/23)	85% (11/13)
Duels won
59	43
Clearances
51	35
Interceptions
11	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	2
xGOT faced
1.85	0.61
Goals prevented
0.85	0.61

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Clark B. 🟨,
40', Ozoh D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Brereton Diaz B. 🟨,
58', Lewis J. ↓, Small T. ↑,
63', Elder C. 🟨,
66', Dobbin L. 🟨,
67', Potts B. ↓, Valentin P. ↑,
67', Osmajic M. ↓, Jebbison D. ↑,
73', Brewster R. ↓, Fraulo O. ↑,
73', Ozoh D. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
79', Dobbin L. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
79', McCann A. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
82', 0 - 1, Agyemang P. ⚽, Brereton Diaz B. (A),
87', Thompson J. 🟨,
87', Thompson L. 🟨,
89', Agyemang P. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
89', Clark B. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Preston North End
42.1%

Draw
30.3%

Derby County
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

30%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

29.5%

28.8%

Preston North End - Derby County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.32)	3.1 ↓ (3.15)	3.38 ↑ (3.23)	6.1% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Preston North End - Derby County?

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Derby will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Preston: 54.1% – 91.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Preston (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Derby (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Derby (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Derby (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Preston (votes: 2 - 40%). Derby (votes: 3 - 60%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Preston won 1.
In recent matches, Preston has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Derby's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Preston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Preston could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Preston: Brady R. (Calf Injury) Vukcevic A. (Inactive)
There will not play in Derby: Morris C. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Derby: Johnston M. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Preston won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 0.6:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Preston won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.6:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Preston North End won against Derby County?

Preston North End has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Preston North End?

Derby County has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Preston North End - Derby County were as follows:

20.09.2025 Derby County - Preston North End 0:1

02.04.2025 Derby County - Preston North End 2:0

23.11.2024 Preston North End - Derby County 1:1

Latest results of Preston North End

09.01.2026 Preston North End - Wigan Athletic 0:1 ✺

04.01.2026 Bristol City - Preston North End 0:2 ✺

01.01.2026 Preston North End - Sheffield Wednesday 3:0 ✺

29.12.2025 Wrexham - Preston North End 2:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Stoke City - Preston North End 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Derby County

11.01.2026 Derby County - Leeds United 1:3 ✺

04.01.2026 Derby County - Wrexham 1:2 ✺

01.01.2026 Derby County - Middlesbrough 1:0 ✺

29.12.2025 Leicester City - Derby County 2:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Birmingham City - Derby County 1:1 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	28	17	7	4	61:31	30	58
2	Middlesbrough	28	15	7	6	42:29	13	52
3	Ipswich	27	14	8	5	47:24	23	50
4	Hull	27	14	5	8	45:39	6	47
5	Millwall	28	13	7	8	32:35	-3	46
6	Preston	28	11	10	7	36:29	7	43
7	Watford	27	11	9	7	38:32	6	42
8	Stoke	28	12	5	11	33:25	8	41
9	Wrexham	28	10	11	7	40:35	5	41
10	Derby	28	11	8	9	38:36	2	41
11	Bristol City	28	11	7	10	38:31	7	40
12	QPR	28	11	7	10	38:39	-1	40
13	Birmingham	28	10	8	10	38:37	1	38
14	Leicester	28	10	8	10	39:41	-2	38
15	Southampton	28	9	9	10	40:40	0	36
16	Swansea	28	10	6	12	31:35	-4	36
17	Sheffield Utd	27	10	2	15	36:40	-4	32
18	Charlton	27	8	8	11	27:34	-7	32
19	West Brom	28	9	4	15	31:43	-12	31
20	Norwich	28	8	6	14	35:40	-5	30
21	Portsmouth	26	7	8	11	23:36	-13	29
22	Blackburn	27	7	7	13	25:36	-11	28
23	Oxford Utd	27	5	9	13	25:35	-10	24
24	Sheffield Wed	27	1	8	18	18:54	-36	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One