Derby County vs Preston North End – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Pride Park (Derby).

Championship - Round 39
Referee: Martin S. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.66	0.30
Ball Possession
36%	64%
Total shots
7	5
Shots on target
2	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
62% (155/249)	78% (372/477)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66	0.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.50	0.10
Total shots
7	5
Shots on target
2	1
Shots off target
2	2
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
4	3
Shots outside the Box
3	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
12	9
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
10	11
Passes
62% (155/249)	78% (372/477)
Long passes
21% (14/68)	30% (19/64)
Passes in final third
51% (54/105)	58% (70/121)
Crosses
25% (6/24)	6% (1/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.32	0.40
Fouls
11	10
Tackles
71% (12/17)	65% (13/20)
Duels won
45	64
Clearances Total
28	40
Interceptions
14	3
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	0
xGOT faced
0.10	1.50
Goals prevented
0.10	-0.50

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Nyambe R. ↓, Wilson K. ↑,
15', Thompson L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Forsyth C. ⚽, Phillips N. (A),
52', 2 - 0, Yates J. ⚽, Phillips N. (A),
58', Keane W. ↓, Riis E. ↑,
58', Thordarson S. T. ↓, Whiteman B. ↑,
58', Meghoma J. ↓, Brady R. ↑,
70', Thompson L. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
72', Brady R. 🟨,
74', Gibson L. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
90', Frokjaer-Jensen M. 🟨,
90+2', Harness M. ↓, Goudmijn K. ↑,

Chances of winning

Derby County
43%

Draw
31.2%

Preston North End
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

30.6%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

30.6%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Derby County - Preston North End Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.35)	3.04 ↓ (3.1)	3.66 ↑ (3.26)	5.3% (5.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Derby County - Preston North End?

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). Preston will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 47.8% – 85.6%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby won 1.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Preston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Derby will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Derby: Blackett-Taylor C. (Hamstring Injury) Brown D. (Hamstring Injury) Nelson C. (Knee Injury) Osborn B. (Hamstring Injury) Ozoh D. (Thigh Injury) Roofe K. (Hamstring Injury) Salvesen L. (Knee Injury) Ward J. (Injury)
There will not play in Preston: Ledson R. (Inactive) McCann A. (Leg Injury) Porteous R. (Inactive) Whatmough J. (Calf Injury)
There are questionable in Derby: Wilson K. (Knock)
Last 16 head-to-head matches Derby won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:9 (average 0.8:0.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:4 (average 0.9:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Preston North End?

Derby County has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Preston North End won against Derby County?

Preston North End has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Preston North End were as follows:

23.11.2024 Preston North End - Derby County 1:1

Latest results of Derby County

15.03.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Derby County 2:3 ✺

11.03.2025 Derby County - Coventry City 2:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Derby County - Blackburn Rovers 2:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Middlesbrough - Derby County 1:0 ✺

22.02.2025 Derby County - Millwall 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Preston North End

30.03.2025 Preston North End - Aston Villa 0:3 ✺

15.03.2025 Preston North End - Portsmouth 2:1 ✺

11.03.2025 Sunderland - Preston North End 1:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Sheffield United - Preston North End 1:0 ✺

04.03.2025 Preston North End - Swansea City 0:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Stoke	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6
2	Middlesbrough	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
3	West Brom	2	2	0	0	4:2	2	6
4	Bristol City	3	1	2	0	5:2	3	5
5	Coventry	2	1	1	0	5:3	2	4
6	Birmingham	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
7	Hull	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
8	Preston	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
9	Southampton	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
10	Charlton	2	1	1	0	1:0	1	4
11	Leicester	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
12	Norwich	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
13	Portsmouth	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
14	Watford	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
15	Swansea	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
16	Millwall	2	1	0	1	2:4	-2	3
17	Ipswich	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
18	QPR	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
19	Derby	3	0	1	2	5:9	-4	1
20	Wrexham	2	0	0	2	3:5	-2	0
21	Oxford Utd	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0
22	Blackburn	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0
23	Sheffield Utd	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0
24	Sheffield Wed	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One