Result
0:1
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 27
- Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.76 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (258/357) | 69% (233/336) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (258/357) | 69% (233/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (17/57) | 29% (20/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (49/91) | 61% (90/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 42% (8/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.64 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 51 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Clark B. 🟨,
- 40', Ozoh D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Brereton Diaz B. 🟨,
- 58', Lewis J. ↓, Small T. ↑,
- 63', Elder C. 🟨,
- 66', Dobbin L. 🟨,
- 67', Potts B. ↓, Valentin P. ↑,
- 67', Osmajic M. ↓, Jebbison D. ↑,
- 73', Brewster R. ↓, Fraulo O. ↑,
- 73', Ozoh D. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
- 79', Dobbin L. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
- 79', McCann A. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
- 82', 0 - 1, Agyemang P. ⚽, Brereton Diaz B. (A),
- 87', Thompson J. 🟨,
- 87', Thompson L. 🟨,
- 89', Agyemang P. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
- 89', Clark B. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Preston North End
42.1% | Draw
30.3% | Derby County
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Preston North End has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Preston North End - Derby County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↓
(2.32) |
3.1 ↓
(3.15) |
3.38 ↑
(3.23) |
6.1%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Preston North End - Derby County?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Derby will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Preston: 54.1% – 91.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Preston (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Derby (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Derby (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Derby (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Preston (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Derby (votes: 4 - 44.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Preston won 1.
- In recent matches, Preston has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Derby's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Preston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Preston could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Preston: Brady R.
(Calf Injury)
Vukcevic A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Derby: Morris C.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Derby: Johnston M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Preston won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 0.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Preston won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Preston North End won against Derby County?
Preston North End has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Preston North End?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Preston North End - Derby County were as follows:
20.09.2025
Derby County
-
Preston North End
0:1
02.04.2025
Derby County
-
Preston North End
2:0
23.11.2024
Preston North End
-
Derby County
1:1
Latest results of Preston North End
Latest results of Derby County
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 84:42 | 42 | 85 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 71:40 | 31 | 75 |
| 3 | Millwall | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 56:47 | 9 | 73 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 62:42 | 20 | 72 |
| 5 | Southampton | 41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 70:50 | 20 | 69 |
| 6 | Hull | 42 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 64:60 | 4 | 68 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 63:60 | 3 | 64 |
| 8 | Derby | 42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 61:53 | 8 | 63 |
| 9 | Norwich | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 55:50 | 5 | 58 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 52:51 | 1 | 58 |
| 11 | QPR | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 58:63 | -5 | 58 |
| 12 | Watford | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 52:51 | 1 | 57 |
| 13 | Preston | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 50:53 | -3 | 57 |
| 14 | Swansea | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 50:54 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 42 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 51:52 | -1 | 56 |
| 16 | Stoke | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 49:46 | 3 | 55 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 42 | 16 | 6 | 20 | 59:59 | 0 | 54 |
| 18 | Charlton | 42 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 39:51 | -12 | 49 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 38:50 | -12 | 48 |
| 20 | West Brom | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 42:56 | -14 | 46 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 41:57 | -16 | 45 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 41:54 | -13 | 44 |
| 23 | Leicester | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 54:64 | -10 | 41 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 42 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 25:82 | -57 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
