Preston North End vs Stoke City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Preston North End - Stoke City
Result
1:1
05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 40
  • Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.532.09
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
615
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
19
Passes
64% (197/309)72% (250/346)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
0.532.09
xG on target (xGOT)
1.171.28
Total shots
615
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
49
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
19
Touches in opposition box
1423
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
159
Passes
64% (197/309)72% (250/346)
Long passes
26% (17/66)24% (17/72)
Passes in final third
53% (62/116)57% (69/121)
Crosses
19% (3/16)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.421.35
Fouls
915
Tackles
54% (7/13)63% (5/8)
Duels won
5040
Clearances Total
2333
Interceptions
312
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.281.17
Goals prevented
0.280.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Kesler-Hayden K. , Greenwood S. (A),
  • 15', Brady R. 🟨,
  • 39', Osmajic M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', Gallagher S. 🟨,
  • 56', Thordarson S. T. , Ledson R. ,
  • 57', Riis E. , Frokjaer-Jensen M. ,
  • 63', Bae J. , Al Hamadi A. ,
  • 68', Greenwood S. , Keane W. ,
  • 71', Gallagher S. , Koumas L. ,
  • 74', Lindsay L. 🟨,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Baker L. (Pen),
  • 76', Baker L. 🟨,
  • 82', Ledson R. 🟨,
  • 82', Thompson J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Manhoef M. , Gooch L. ,
  • 90+1', Burger W. , Pearson B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Preston North End
38.9%
Draw
30.3%
Stoke City
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 27.9% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 27.7% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Preston North End - Stoke City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.34)
    3.13
    (3.38)
    3.11
    (2.97)
    4.9%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Preston North End - Stoke City?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Stoke will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Preston: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 18).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Preston won 2.
    • Preston is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Stoke is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Stoke could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Preston will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Preston: McCann A. (Leg Injury) Potts B. (Hamstring Injury) Whatmough J. (Calf Injury) Woodman F. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Stoke: Gibson B. (Leg Injury) Sidibe S. (Muscle Injury) Wilson-Esbrand J. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Stoke: Stevens E. (Injury)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Preston won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:11 (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Preston won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Preston North End - Stoke City were as follows:
    26.11.2024 Stoke City - Preston North End 0:0
    09.03.2024 Preston North End - Stoke City 1:2
    02.09.2023 Stoke City - Preston North End 0:2
    02.01.2023 Stoke City - Preston North End 0:1
    15.10.2022 Preston North End - Stoke City 0:2
    Latest results of Preston North End
    Latest results of Stoke City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stoke22006:156
    2Middlesbrough22004:046
    3West Brom22004:226
    4Bristol City21104:134
    5Coventry21105:324
    6Birmingham21103:214
    7Hull21103:214
    8Preston21103:214
    9Southampton21103:214
    10Charlton21101:014
    11Leicester21013:303
    12Norwich21013:303
    13Portsmouth21012:203
    14Watford21012:203
    15Swansea21011:103
    16Millwall21012:4-23
    17Ipswich20202:202
    18QPR20112:3-11
    19Wrexham20023:5-20
    20Oxford Utd20022:4-20
    21Blackburn20021:3-20
    22Derby20024:8-40
    23Sheffield Utd20021:5-40
    24Sheffield Wed20021:5-40

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One