Preston North End vs Stoke City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Deepdale (Preston).

Championship - Round 40
Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.53	2.09
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
6	15
Shots on target
2	5
Big Chances
0	4
Corner Kicks
1	9
Passes
64% (197/309)	72% (250/346)
Yellow Cards
4	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.53	2.09
xG on target (xGOT)
1.17	1.28
Total shots
6	15
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
3	7
Blocked Shots
1	3
Shots inside the Box
4	9
Shots outside the Box
2	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	4
Corner Kicks
1	9
Touches in opposition box
14	23
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
15	9
Passes
64% (197/309)	72% (250/346)
Long passes
26% (17/66)	24% (17/72)
Passes in final third
53% (62/116)	57% (69/121)
Crosses
19% (3/16)	24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.42	1.35
Fouls
9	15
Tackles
54% (7/13)	63% (5/8)
Duels won
50	40
Clearances Total
23	33
Interceptions
3	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	1
xGOT faced
1.28	1.17
Goals prevented
0.28	0.17

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Kesler-Hayden K. ⚽, Greenwood S. (A),
15', Brady R. 🟨,
39', Osmajic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Gallagher S. 🟨,
56', Thordarson S. T. ↓, Ledson R. ↑,
57', Riis E. ↓, Frokjaer-Jensen M. ↑,
63', Bae J. ↓, Al Hamadi A. ↑,
68', Greenwood S. ↓, Keane W. ↑,
71', Gallagher S. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
74', Lindsay L. 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Baker L. (Pen),
76', Baker L. 🟨,
82', Ledson R. 🟨,
82', Thompson J. 🟨,
90+1', Manhoef M. ↓, Gooch L. ↑,
90+1', Burger W. ↓, Pearson B. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Preston North End
38.9%

Draw
30.3%

Stoke City
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

27.9%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

27.7%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Preston North End - Stoke City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.34)	3.13 ↓ (3.38)	3.11 ↑ (2.97)	4.9% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Preston North End - Stoke City?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Stoke will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Preston: 41.6% – 98.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 18).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Preston won 2.
Preston is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Stoke is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Stoke could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Preston will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Preston: McCann A. (Leg Injury) Potts B. (Hamstring Injury) Whatmough J. (Calf Injury) Woodman F. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Stoke: Gibson B. (Leg Injury) Sidibe S. (Muscle Injury) Wilson-Esbrand J. (Leg Injury)
There are questionable in Stoke: Stevens E. (Injury)
Last 14 head-to-head matches Preston won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:11 (average 1.2:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Preston won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.1:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Preston North End won against Stoke City?

Preston North End has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Preston North End?

Stoke City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Preston North End - Stoke City were as follows:

26.11.2024 Stoke City - Preston North End 0:0

09.03.2024 Preston North End - Stoke City 1:2

02.09.2023 Stoke City - Preston North End 0:2

02.01.2023 Stoke City - Preston North End 0:1

15.10.2022 Preston North End - Stoke City 0:2

Latest results of Preston North End

02.04.2025 Derby County - Preston North End 2:0 ✺

30.03.2025 Preston North End - Aston Villa 0:3 ✺

15.03.2025 Preston North End - Portsmouth 2:1 ✺

11.03.2025 Sunderland - Preston North End 1:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Sheffield United - Preston North End 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Stoke City

29.03.2025 Stoke City - Queens Park Rangers 3:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Millwall - Stoke City 1:0 ✺

12.03.2025 Stoke City - Blackburn Rovers 1:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Coventry City - Stoke City 3:2 ✺

01.03.2025 Stoke City - Watford 0:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	9	5	4	0	27:7	20	19
2	Middlesbrough	9	5	3	1	12:6	6	18
3	Leicester	9	4	4	1	13:8	5	16
4	Preston	9	4	4	1	11:7	4	16
5	Stoke	9	4	3	2	11:6	5	15
6	QPR	9	4	3	2	13:14	-1	15
7	West Brom	9	4	2	3	9:10	-1	14
8	Millwall	9	4	2	3	9:12	-3	14
9	Bristol City	9	3	4	2	15:10	5	13
10	Watford	9	3	3	3	11:11	0	12
11	Swansea	9	3	3	3	10:10	0	12
12	Charlton	9	3	3	3	8:8	0	12
13	Portsmouth	9	3	3	3	8:9	-1	12
14	Hull	9	3	3	3	14:16	-2	12
15	Birmingham	9	3	3	3	8:11	-3	12
16	Southampton	9	2	5	2	11:12	-1	11
17	Ipswich	7	2	4	1	12:7	5	10
18	Wrexham	9	2	4	3	14:15	-1	10
19	Norwich	8	2	2	4	10:11	-1	8
20	Derby	9	1	5	3	11:15	-4	8
21	Blackburn	8	2	1	5	7:11	-4	7
22	Oxford Utd	9	1	3	5	10:13	-3	6
23	Sheffield Wed	9	1	3	5	8:20	-12	6
24	Sheffield Utd	9	1	0	8	3:16	-13	3

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One