Preußen Münster vs Holstein Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
31/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 11
  • Referee: Wienefeld J. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 7
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.931.20
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
75% (254/338)79% (377/477)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
1.931.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.470.75
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
713
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
2127
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1817
Passes
75% (254/338)79% (377/477)
Long passes
36% (15/42)46% (23/50)
Passes in final third
64% (62/97)61% (64/105)
Crosses
17% (2/12)36% (10/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.71
Throw-ins
1619
Fouls
1718
Tackles
58% (7/12)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4856
Clearances
2724
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.751.47
Goals prevented
-0.25-0.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', Batmaz M. , Lokotsch L. ,
  • 10', Ivezic M. 🟨,
  • 16', Preissinger R. 🟨,
  • 18', 0 - 1, Kapralik A. , Bernhardsson A. (A),
  • 31', Sertdemir Z. 🟨,
  • 32', Heuer J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Therkelsen J. , Koster L. ,
  • 46', Johansson C. , Komenda M. ,
  • 60', 1 - 1, Batista Meier O. (Pen),
  • 66', Preissinger R. , Paetow T. ,
  • 70', Rosenboom L. , Niehoff N. ,
  • 71', Kapralik A. , Muller M. ,
  • 72', Koster L. 🟨,
  • 73', Paetow T. 🟨,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Bouchama Y. ,
  • 86', Tolkin J. , Harres P. ,
  • 86', Sertdemir Z. , Meyerhofer M. ,
  • 86', Heuer J. , Koulis N. ,
  • 87', Makridis C. , Benger M. ,
  • 90', Komenda M. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Schenk J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Preußen Münster
30.6%
Draw
26.6%
Holstein Kiel
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 25.9% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 25.3% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Preußen Münster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Preußen Münster's form might have worsened.
  • Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Holstein Kiel's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preußen Münster than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Preußen Münster, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Holstein Kiel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Preußen Münster - Holstein Kiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.05
    (2.45)
    3.56
    (3.55)
    2.23
    (2.52)
    5.9%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Preußen Münster - Holstein Kiel?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Münster will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 17 - 56.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Holstein Kiel: 39%74.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Holstein Kiel (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Münster won 1.
    • Recent form of Münster has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Holstein Kiel has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Holstein Kiel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Münster: Amenyido E. (Injury) Benger M. (Foot Injury) Bolay L. (Injury) Hendrix J. (Yellow Cards) Lokotsch L. (Illness) Mees J. (Thigh Injury) Meyerhofer M. (Muscle Injury) Scherder S. (Injury) Tikvic A. (Knee Injury) Vilhelmsson O. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Cvjetinovic M. (Ankle Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Kelati A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Münster won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Münster won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    28.10.2025 Wolfsburg - Holstein Kiel 0:1
    25.10.2025 Holstein Kiel - Bochum 1:1
    19.10.2025 Nürnberg - Holstein Kiel 1:1
    04.10.2025 Holstein Kiel - Darmstadt 1:1
    27.09.2025 Elversberg - Holstein Kiel 1:0
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke23144533:201346
    2Darmstadt23129244:251945
    3Elversberg23135542:251744
    4Paderborn23134638:261243
    5Hannover23126541:301142
    6Kaiserslautern23114839:33637
    7Hertha Berlin2397732:28434
    8Nurnberg2386930:32-230
    9Karlsruher SC2386934:43-930
    10Bochum2378831:28329
    11Arminia Bielefeld23761036:32427
    12Dusseldorf23741221:33-1225
    13Braunschweig23741226:40-1425
    14Holstein Kiel23661128:34-624
    15Preussen Munster23581027:35-823
    16Magdeburg23721434:44-1023
    17SG Dynamo Dresden23571132:40-822
    18Greuther Furth23641334:54-2022

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