Pro Patria vs Giana Erminio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group A Pro Patria - Giana Erminio
Result
1:2
06/01/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 255

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Goal Attempts
713
Shots on Goal
56
Shots off Goal
27
Corner Kicks
36
Goalkeeper Saves
44
Yellow Cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Somma M. ,
  • 20', Pitou J. 🟨,
  • 24', Alcibiade R. , Reggiori P. ,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Stuckler D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Renault C. , Barlocco L. ,
  • 49', Nichetti M. 🟨,
  • 53', Nicco G. 🟨,
  • 70', Nicco G. , Ferri D. ,
  • 70', Somma M. , Terrani G. ,
  • 73', Montipo M. , Avinci G. ,
  • 73', Ferri L. , De Maria V. ,
  • 73', Lamesta A. , Pinto D. ,
  • 75', 1 - 2, Stuckler D. ,
  • 80', Mehic A. , Toci E. ,
  • 90', Stuckler D. , Ballabio M. ,

Chances of winning


Pro Patria
33.1%
Draw
32.9%
Giana Erminio
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 29.6% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 29.1% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pro Patria's form might have worsened.
  • Giana Erminio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Giana Erminio's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pro Patria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Giana Erminio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pro Patria - Giana Erminio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.77
    (2.18)
    2.79
    (3.12)
    2.69
    (3.29)
    9.2%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Pro Patria - Giana Erminio?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Pro Patria will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Giana Erminio will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7%80.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Pro Patria won 2.
    • Pro Patria is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Giana Erminio is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recently Giana Erminio have a series of home games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Pro Patria won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18:13 (average 1.4:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pro Patria won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pro Patria - Giana Erminio were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Giana Erminio - Pro Patria 1:1
    06.01.2024 Giana Erminio - Pro Patria 1:2
    03.09.2023 Pro Patria - Giana Erminio 1:2
    Latest results of Pro Patria
    21.12.2024 Renate - Pro Patria 1:0
    15.12.2024 Pro Patria - Pergolettese 1:1
    07.12.2024 Lumezzane - Pro Patria 1:1
    01.12.2024 Pro Patria - Pro Vercelli 1:1
    24.11.2024 Alcione - Pro Patria 2:0
    Latest results of Giana Erminio
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trento11002:023
    2Lecco11002:113
    3Arzignano11002:113
    4Alcione Milano11001:013
    5AlbinoLeffe10102:201
    6Dolomiti Bellunesi10102:201
    7Ospitaletto10011:2-10
    8Brescia10011:2-10
    9L.R. Vicenza00000:000
    10Cittadella00000:000
    11Lumezzane00000:000
    12Novara00000:000
    13Pro Patria00000:000
    14Pro Vercelli00000:000
    15Renate00000:000
    16Pergolettese00000:000
    17Virtus Verona00000:000
    18Inter U2300000:000
    19Giana Erminio10010:2-20
    20Triestina10010:1-1-7

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation