Pro Patria vs Lumezzane – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group A Pro Patria - Lumezzane
Result
4:1
18/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group A - Round 37
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
75
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
98
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
23
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Pittino T. 🟨,
  • 36', Ferri D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 1)
  • 46', Barlocco L. , Piran L. ,
  • 46', Cavalli T. , Reggiori P. ,
  • 49', Coccolo L. 🟨,
  • 50', Pitou J. 🟨,
  • 54', Pagliari M. 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 0, Beretta G. ,
  • 62', Pittino T. , Piga M. ,
  • 62', Tenkorang J. , Tremolada M. ,
  • 62', Rocco D. , Citterio G. ,
  • 70', Iori M. , Pannitteri O. ,
  • 73', Carnelos M. 🟨,
  • 75', 2 - 0, Beretta G. ,
  • 78', 3 - 0, Beretta G. (Pen),
  • 79', 4 - 0, Beretta G. ,
  • 81', 4 - 1, Corti N. ,
  • 86', Mallamo A. , Palazzi A. ,
  • 90', Moscati M. , Regazzetti S. ,
  • 90', Beretta G. , Toci E. ,

Chances of winning


Pro Patria
41.4%
Draw
30.4%
Lumezzane
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.9% 35.7% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6% 35.4% 33.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pro Patria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pro Patria's performance.
  • Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lumezzane might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pro Patria that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lumezzane could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pro Patria - Lumezzane Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.97)
    3.03
    (2.58)
    3.28
    (2.75)
    8.3%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 14).
    • Pro Patria is Serie C ~ Play Out
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Pro Patria won 3.
    • Recent matches Pro Patria is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Lumezzane is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Pro Patria will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Pro Patria: Lombardoni M. (Inactive) Sassaro A. (Injury) Travaglini C. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Lumezzane: D'Agostino S. (Inactive) Deratti J. (Inactive) Filigheddu S. (Inactive) Monachello G. (Injury) Pogliano C. (Inactive)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Pro Patria won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15:16 (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pro Patria won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 0.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pro Patria - Lumezzane were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Lumezzane - Pro Patria 1:1
    09.03.2024 Lumezzane - Pro Patria 0:2
    03.11.2023 Pro Patria - Lumezzane 0:2
    Latest results of Pro Patria
    Latest results of Lumezzane
    11.04.2025 Lumezzane - Novara 2:2
    05.04.2025 FeralpiSalò - Lumezzane 1:1
    30.03.2025 Lumezzane - Caldiero Terme 2:2
    23.03.2025 AlbinoLeffe - Lumezzane 2:0
    16.03.2025 Lumezzane - Renate 0:0
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trento11002:023
    2Lecco11002:113
    3Arzignano11002:113
    4Alcione Milano11001:013
    5AlbinoLeffe10102:201
    6Dolomiti Bellunesi10102:201
    7Ospitaletto10011:2-10
    8Brescia10011:2-10
    9L.R. Vicenza00000:000
    10Cittadella00000:000
    11Lumezzane00000:000
    12Novara00000:000
    13Pro Patria00000:000
    14Pro Vercelli00000:000
    15Renate00000:000
    16Pergolettese00000:000
    17Virtus Verona00000:000
    18Inter U2300000:000
    19Giana Erminio10010:2-20
    20Triestina10010:1-1-7

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation