Result
1:1
08/11/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Malotti M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Motolese M. 🟨,
- 58', Malotti M. ↓, Paghera F. ↑,
- 62', Schiavone A. ↓, Schiro T. ↑,
- 62', Dimarco C. ↓, Orfei A. ↑,
- 63', Schiro T. 🟨,
- 67', 1 - 0, Mastroianni F. ⚽,
- 68', Mastroianni F. 🟨,
- 72', Iori M. ↓, Caccavo L. ↑,
- 73', Diodato S. ↓, Pagliari M. ↑,
- 73', Udoh K. ↓, Citterio G. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, Caccavo L. ⚽,
- 88', Mastroianni F. ↓, Ganz S. ↑,
- 89', Masi A. ↓, Travaglini C. ↑,
- 89', Ghillani A. ↓, Ferretti E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pro Patria
35.9% | Draw
30.1% | Lumezzane
34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pro Patria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Pro Patria - Lumezzane Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58
(2.58) |
3.08 ↓
(3.15) |
2.73 ↑
(2.58) |
7.9%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pro Patria won 3.
- Pro Patria has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lumezzane has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Pro Patria won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pro Patria won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Pro Patria won against Lumezzane?
Pro Patria has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lumezzane won against Pro Patria?
Lumezzane has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pro Patria - Lumezzane were as follows:
18.04.2025
Pro Patria
-
Lumezzane
4:1
07.12.2024
Lumezzane
-
Pro Patria
1:1
09.03.2024
Lumezzane
-
Pro Patria
0:2
03.11.2023
Pro Patria
-
Lumezzane
0:2
Latest results of Pro Patria
Latest results of Lumezzane
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 49:15 | 34 | 72 |
| 2 | Brescia | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 43:20 | 23 | 56 |
| 3 | Lecco | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 35:23 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | Trento | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 42:29 | 13 | 48 |
| 5 | Renate | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 37:26 | 11 | 48 |
| 6 | Alcione Milano | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 29:17 | 12 | 47 |
| 7 | Cittadella | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 46 |
| 8 | Inter U23 | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 33:30 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Lumezzane | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 33:32 | 1 | 40 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 26:29 | -3 | 38 |
| 11 | Pro Vercelli | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 31:40 | -9 | 38 |
| 12 | Novara | 29 | 6 | 18 | 5 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
| 13 | AlbinoLeffe | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 34 |
| 14 | Ospitaletto | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 33 |
| 15 | Arzignano | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 38:44 | -6 | 31 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 27:39 | -12 | 29 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 24:46 | -22 | 29 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 29 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 21 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 29 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 23:54 | -31 | 17 |
| 20 | Triestina | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 30:41 | -11 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
