Pro Patria vs Lumezzane – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group A Pro Patria - Lumezzane
Result
4:1
18/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group A - Round 37
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
75
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
98
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
23
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Pittino T. 🟨,
  • 36', Ferri D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 1)
  • 46', Barlocco L. , Piran L. ,
  • 46', Cavalli T. , Reggiori P. ,
  • 49', Coccolo L. 🟨,
  • 50', Pitou J. 🟨,
  • 54', Pagliari M. 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 0, Beretta G. ,
  • 62', Pittino T. , Piga M. ,
  • 62', Tenkorang J. , Tremolada M. ,
  • 62', Rocco D. , Citterio G. ,
  • 70', Iori M. , Pannitteri O. ,
  • 73', Carnelos M. 🟨,
  • 75', 2 - 0, Beretta G. ,
  • 78', 3 - 0, Beretta G. (Pen),
  • 79', 4 - 0, Beretta G. ,
  • 81', 4 - 1, Corti N. ,
  • 86', Mallamo A. , Palazzi A. ,
  • 90', Moscati M. , Regazzetti S. ,
  • 90', Beretta G. , Toci E. ,

Chances of winning


Pro Patria
41.4%
Draw
30.4%
Lumezzane
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.9% 35.7% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6% 35.4% 33.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pro Patria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pro Patria's performance.
  • Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lumezzane might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pro Patria that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lumezzane could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pro Patria - Lumezzane Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.97)
    3.03
    (2.58)
    3.28
    (2.75)
    8.3%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 14).
    • Pro Patria is Serie C ~ Play Out
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Pro Patria won 3.
    • Recent matches Pro Patria is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Lumezzane is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Pro Patria will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Pro Patria: Lombardoni M. (Inactive) Sassaro A. (Injury) Travaglini C. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Lumezzane: D'Agostino S. (Inactive) Deratti J. (Inactive) Filigheddu S. (Inactive) Monachello G. (Injury) Pogliano C. (Inactive)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Pro Patria won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15:16 (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pro Patria won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 0.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pro Patria - Lumezzane were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Lumezzane - Pro Patria 1:1
    09.03.2024 Lumezzane - Pro Patria 0:2
    03.11.2023 Pro Patria - Lumezzane 0:2
    Latest results of Pro Patria
    Latest results of Lumezzane
    11.04.2025 Lumezzane - Novara 2:2
    05.04.2025 FeralpiSalò - Lumezzane 1:1
    30.03.2025 Lumezzane - Caldiero Terme 2:2
    23.03.2025 AlbinoLeffe - Lumezzane 2:0
    16.03.2025 Lumezzane - Renate 0:0
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1L.R. Vicenza761015:21319
    2Lecco853013:5818
    3Brescia843115:51015
    4Inter U23742111:6514
    5Alcione Milano74218:4414
    6AlbinoLeffe732215:12311
    7Pergolettese83239:9011
    8Virtus Verona824213:11210
    9Renate82338:12-49
    10Giana Erminio82336:10-49
    11Pro Vercelli73046:13-79
    12Arzignano722310:12-28
    13Trento71428:10-27
    14Dolomiti Bellunesi71428:11-37
    15Lumezzane82068:15-76
    16Cittadella81344:8-46
    17Novara70526:8-25
    18Ospitaletto71245:9-45
    19Pro Patria70345:13-83
    20Triestina73229:72-9

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation