Result
1:2
15/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group D - Round 27
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 32', 0 - 1, Barranca F. ⚽,
- 43', 1 - 1, Bortolato F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Pro Sesto
33.2% | Draw
31.2% | Desenzano Calvina
35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pro Sesto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Sesto than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-1%)
Pro Sesto - Desenzano Calvina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↑
(2.59) |
2.89 ↓
(3.03) |
2.53 ↓
(2.54) |
10.9%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).
- In recent matches, Pro Sesto has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Desenzano is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pro Sesto won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Pro Sesto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Pro Sesto won against Desenzano Calvina?
Pro Sesto has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Desenzano Calvina won against Pro Sesto?
Desenzano Calvina has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pro Sesto - Desenzano Calvina were as follows:
02.11.2025
Desenzano Calvina
-
Pro Sesto
2:2
27.10.2024
Pro Sesto
-
Desenzano Calvina
1:1
Latest results of Pro Sesto
Latest results of Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Desenzano | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 53:20 | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 31 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 46:18 | 28 | 69 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 31 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 55:20 | 35 | 67 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 54:32 | 22 | 58 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 41:28 | 13 | 53 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 42:26 | 16 | 52 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 33:24 | 9 | 49 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 49 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 41:37 | 4 | 47 |
| 10 | Crema | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 37 |
| 11 | Correggese | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:35 | -2 | 34 |
| 12 | Sant'Angelo | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 34 |
| 13 | SCD Progresso | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 31:39 | -8 | 32 |
| 14 | Imolese | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 26:45 | -19 | 30 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 27 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 25:55 | -30 | 21 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 31 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 15:67 | -52 | 7 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )
Relegation
