Progresso vs Trevigliese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
11/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group D - Round 19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 2 - 0, ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Progresso
45.1%
Draw
30.9%
Trevigliese
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 26.5% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 25.8% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Progresso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Progresso's performance.
  • Trevigliese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trevigliese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trevigliese than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trevigliese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Progresso - Trevigliese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2.28)
    2.93
    (3.43)
    3.77
    (2.71)
    10.4%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Progresso - Trevigliese?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Progresso (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).
    • Progresso is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Trevigliese has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Progresso might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Progresso
    06.01.2026 Pro Sesto - Progresso 0:2
    21.12.2025 Sasso Marconi - Progresso 2:3
    14.12.2025 Progresso - SantAngelo 1:0
    07.12.2025 Progresso - Lentigione 0:1
    30.11.2025 Correggese - Progresso 0:2
    Latest results of Trevigliese
    04.01.2026 Trevigliese - SantAngelo 1:1
    21.12.2025 Trevigliese - Tuttocuoio 1:1
    14.12.2025 Lentigione - Trevigliese 4:0
    07.12.2025 Trevigliese - Correggese 1:1
    Italian Serie D - Group D Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Desenzano34238360:213977
    2Lentigione34227551:232873
    3Pistoiese342011361:223971
    4Piacenza34197860:352564
    5Pro Palazzolo34169944:311357
    6Pro Sesto341510945:301555
    7Cittadella Vis Modena341510935:29655
    8Rovato Vertovese3414101035:29652
    9Sangiuliano City341481241:45-447
    10SCD Progresso341091538:42-439
    11Sant'Angelo341091538:51-1339
    12Correggese349121335:36-139
    13Crema349111435:47-1238
    14Imolese348101628:47-1934
    15Sasso Marconi34871932:48-1631
    16Tropical Coriano347101729:45-1631
    17Trevigliese34582130:61-3123
    18Tuttocuoio34082618:73-558

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )
          Relegation