Result
2:3
21/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group D - Round 17
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Calabrese A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 47', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 56', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 66', 1 - 3, ⚽,
- 70', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sasso Marconi
39.7% | Draw
29.5% | Progresso
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sasso Marconi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sasso Marconi than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Sasso Marconi - Progresso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(2.42) |
3.07 ↓
(3.36) |
2.94 ↑
(2.54) |
10.4%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sasso Marconi won 2.
- Recent form of Sasso Marconi has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Progresso has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sasso Marconi won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sasso Marconi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sasso Marconi won against Progresso?
Sasso Marconi has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Progresso won against Sasso Marconi?
Progresso has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sasso Marconi - Progresso were as follows:
05.01.2025
Sasso Marconi
-
Progresso
1:1
08.09.2024
Progresso
-
Sasso Marconi
1:3
Latest results of Sasso Marconi
Latest results of Progresso
Italian Serie D - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Desenzano | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 50:19 | 31 | 63 |
| 2 | Pistoiese | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 47:16 | 31 | 59 |
| 3 | Lentigione | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 39:15 | 24 | 59 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 50:28 | 22 | 54 |
| 5 | Pro Sesto | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 40:22 | 18 | 50 |
| 6 | Pro Palazzolo | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 38:27 | 11 | 46 |
| 7 | Rovato Vertovese | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 31:22 | 9 | 45 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 34:34 | 0 | 40 |
| 10 | Crema | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 36 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 31:42 | -11 | 33 |
| 12 | SCD Progresso | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 27:36 | -9 | 28 |
| 13 | Correggese | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 24:33 | -9 | 27 |
| 14 | Sasso Marconi | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 27:37 | -10 | 27 |
| 15 | Imolese | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 20:41 | -21 | 24 |
| 16 | Trevigliese | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 25:50 | -25 | 21 |
| 17 | Tropical Coriano | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 21:40 | -19 | 20 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 28 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 15:58 | -43 | 7 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )
Relegation
