Result
2:1
11/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group D - Round 19
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Progresso
45.1% | Draw
30.9% | Trevigliese
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Progresso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Progresso's performance.Trevigliese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trevigliese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trevigliese than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trevigliese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Progresso - Trevigliese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.28) |
2.93 ↓
(3.43) |
3.77 ↑
(2.71) |
10.4%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Progresso - Trevigliese?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Progresso (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).
- Progresso is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Trevigliese has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Progresso might have a minor edge in this game.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Progresso won against Trevigliese?
Progresso has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Trevigliese won against Progresso?
Trevigliese has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Progresso - Trevigliese were as follows:
Latest results of Progresso
Latest results of Trevigliese
Italian Serie D - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Desenzano | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 53:20 | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 31 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 46:18 | 28 | 69 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 31 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 55:20 | 35 | 67 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 54:32 | 22 | 58 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 41:28 | 13 | 53 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 42:26 | 16 | 52 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 33:24 | 9 | 49 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 49 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 41:37 | 4 | 47 |
| 10 | Crema | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 37 |
| 11 | Correggese | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:35 | -2 | 34 |
| 12 | Sant'Angelo | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 34 |
| 13 | SCD Progresso | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 31:39 | -8 | 32 |
| 14 | Imolese | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 26:45 | -19 | 30 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 27 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 25:55 | -30 | 21 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 31 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 15:67 | -52 | 7 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )
Relegation
