Progresso vs Trevigliese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
11/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group D - Round 19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 2 - 0, ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Progresso
45.1%
Draw
30.9%
Trevigliese
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 26.5% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 25.8% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Progresso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Progresso's performance.
  • Trevigliese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trevigliese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trevigliese than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trevigliese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Progresso - Trevigliese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2.28)
    2.93
    (3.43)
    3.77
    (2.71)
    10.4%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Progresso - Trevigliese?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Progresso (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).
    • Progresso is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Trevigliese has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Progresso might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Progresso
    06.01.2026 Pro Sesto - Progresso 0:2
    21.12.2025 Sasso Marconi - Progresso 2:3
    14.12.2025 Progresso - SantAngelo 1:0
    07.12.2025 Progresso - Lentigione 0:1
    30.11.2025 Correggese - Progresso 0:2
    Latest results of Trevigliese
    04.01.2026 Trevigliese - SantAngelo 1:1
    21.12.2025 Trevigliese - Tuttocuoio 1:1
    14.12.2025 Lentigione - Trevigliese 4:0
    07.12.2025 Trevigliese - Correggese 1:1
    Italian Serie D - Group D Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Desenzano28196350:193163
    2Pistoiese27178247:163159
    3Lentigione27185439:152459
    4Piacenza28166650:282254
    5Pro Sesto28148640:221850
    6Pro Palazzolo28137838:271146
    7Rovato Vertovese28137831:25646
    8Cittadella Vis Modena28129731:22945
    9Sangiuliano City28127934:34040
    10Crema28991031:36-536
    11Sant'Angelo28961331:42-1133
    12SCD Progresso28771427:36-928
    13Correggese28691324:33-927
    14Sasso Marconi28761527:37-1027
    15Imolese28591420:41-2124
    16Trevigliese28561725:50-2521
    17Tropical Coriano28481621:40-1920
    18Tuttocuoio28072115:58-437

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )
          Relegation