Providence Bruins vs Toronto Marlies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey AHL
Result
4:3 OT
25/01/2026 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3634
Shooting PCT
11.11% (4/36)8.82% (3/34)
Goalkeeper Saves
3132
Saves PCT
91.18% (31/34)88.89% (32/36)
Penalties
43
PIM
86
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
33.33% (1/3)0% (0/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (4/4)66.67% (2/3)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 04:47, 1 - 0, Lysell F. (G), Farinacci J. (A),
  • 14:38, 1 - 1, Lettieri V. (G), Groulx B. (A), Shaw L. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 1)
  • 05:11, 1 - 2, Barbolini M. (G), Lettieri V. (A),
  • 13:13, 2 - 2, Merkulov G. (G), Locmelis D. (A), Poitras M. (A2)
  • 19:30, 3 - 2, Poitras M. (G), Brown P. (A),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 16:11, 3 - 3, Groulx B. (G), Barbolini M. (A), Rifai M. (A2)
  • Overtime (1 - 0)
  • 00:41, 4 - 3, Harris J. (G), Merkulov G. (A), DiPietro M. (A2)

Chances of winning


Providence Bruins
51.7%		Draw
22.4%		Toronto Marlies
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 24% 29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 25.2% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Providence Bruins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Providence Bruins's performance.
  • Toronto Marlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Providence Bruins than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Providence Bruins that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto Marlies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Providence Bruins - Toronto Marlies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.79 ↓
    (1.96)    		 4.08 ↑
    (3.78)    		 3.57 ↑
    (3.08)    		 8.3%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    What is the prediction for Providence Bruins - Toronto Marlies?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Providence (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Providence won 2.
    • Providence is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Toronto has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Providence may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Providence has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
    • Providence could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Providence won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 55:45. (average 3.7:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Providence won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:20. (average 3.6:2.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Providence Bruins - Toronto Marlies were as follows:
    26.11.2025 Toronto Marlies - Providence Bruins 1:5
    12.03.2025 Toronto Marlies - Providence Bruins 4:2
    07.03.2025 Providence Bruins - Toronto Marlies 5:2
    20.12.2023 Toronto Marlies - Providence Bruins 7:3
    15.12.2023 Providence Bruins - Toronto Marlies 2:8
    Latest results of Providence Bruins
    24.01.2026 Bridgeport Islanders - Providence Bruins 3:4 ✺
    23.01.2026 Providence Bruins - Belleville Senators 2:1
    18.01.2026 Providence Bruins - Cleveland Monsters 6:2 ✺
    17.01.2026 Providence Bruins - Cleveland Monsters 5:0 ✺
    14.01.2026 Providence Bruins - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins 1:4 ✺
    Latest results of Toronto Marlies
    24.01.2026 Hartford Wolf Pack - Toronto Marlies 1:4
    23.01.2026 Springfield Thunderbirds - Toronto Marlies 4:3 ✺
    17.01.2026 Iowa Wild - Toronto Marlies 4:5
    16.01.2026 Iowa Wild - Toronto Marlies 2:3
    10.01.2026 Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies 6:3
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins ✔ 643712114217:14499
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔ 65356816212:17090
    3Charlotte Checkers ✔ 65309521214:17583
    4Hershey Bears64226927185:20765
    5Bridgeport Islanders64226828190:19964
    6Springfield Thunderbirds64243829179:21962
    7Lehigh Valley Phantoms65199631192:22162
    8Hartford Wolf Pack64204832170:21856


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins ✔ 64388513217:13797
    2Chicago Wolves632281419195:20174
    3Texas Stars63239427193:20468
    4Manitoba Moose62264626152:17866
    5Milwaukee Admirals631712727181:18565
    6Rockford IceHogs64188533178:21257
    7Iowa Wild62166931152:19553


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign ✔ 65329519211:17787
    2Colorado Eagles643081016212:16786
    3San Jose Barracuda63299421218:19180
    4Coachella Valley Firebirds632512521214:19079
    5Bakersfield Condors632681019213:19878
    6Henderson Silver Knights642941120230:20177
    7San Diego Gulls642361223194:20070
    8Tucson Roadrunners631812924202:21169
    9Abbotsford Canucks66168636156:22354
    10Calgary Wranglers661191432179:24754


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket ✔ 662811720211:17585
    2Syracuse Crunch ✔ 65363620216:16784
    3Toronto Marlies642571022206:20074
    4Cleveland Monsters652013725190:20273
    5Rochester Americans62217925191:19565
    6Utica Comets64214930172:20259
    7Belleville Senators65196931203:23459

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Charlotte Checkers is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Ontario Reign is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
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