Providence Bruins vs Toronto Marlies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3 OT
25/01/2026 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3634
Shooting PCT
11.11% (4/36)8.82% (3/34)
Goalkeeper Saves
3132
Saves PCT
91.18% (31/34)88.89% (32/36)
Penalties
43
PIM
86
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
33.33% (1/3)0% (0/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (4/4)66.67% (2/3)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 04:47, 1 - 0, Lysell F. (G), Farinacci J. (A),
  • 14:38, 1 - 1, Lettieri V. (G), Groulx B. (A), Shaw L. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 1)
  • 05:11, 1 - 2, Barbolini M. (G), Lettieri V. (A),
  • 13:13, 2 - 2, Merkulov G. (G), Locmelis D. (A), Poitras M. (A2)
  • 19:30, 3 - 2, Poitras M. (G), Brown P. (A),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 16:11, 3 - 3, Groulx B. (G), Barbolini M. (A), Rifai M. (A2)
  • Overtime (1 - 0)
  • 00:41, 4 - 3, Harris J. (G), Merkulov G. (A), DiPietro M. (A2)

Chances of winning


Providence Bruins
51.7%
Draw
22.4%
Toronto Marlies
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 24% 29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 25.2% 31%

Providence Bruins - Toronto Marlies Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.79
(1.96)
4.08
(3.78)
3.57
(3.08)
8.3%
(10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Providence Bruins - Toronto Marlies?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Providence (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Providence won 2.
    • Providence is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Toronto has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Providence may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Providence has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
    • Providence could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Providence won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 55:45. (average 3.7:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Providence won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:20. (average 3.6:2.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Providence Bruins - Toronto Marlies were as follows:
    26.11.2025 Toronto Marlies - Providence Bruins 1:5
    12.03.2025 Toronto Marlies - Providence Bruins 4:2
    07.03.2025 Providence Bruins - Toronto Marlies 5:2
    20.12.2023 Toronto Marlies - Providence Bruins 7:3
    15.12.2023 Providence Bruins - Toronto Marlies 2:8
    Latest results of Toronto Marlies
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins4426918145:8671
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton48275412161:12468
    3Charlotte Checkers44224315147:12355
    4Hershey Bears44155816123:13248
    5Lehigh Valley Phantoms45138420127:14246
    6Bridgeport Islanders45173520140:13745
    7Springfield Thunderbirds46142624114:16238
    8Hartford Wolf Pack45133623115:15538


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins4530537156:8873
    2Chicago Wolves431751011139:13454
    3Texas Stars45166419129:13748
    4Manitoba Moose42193317110:11747
    5Milwaukee Admirals43127420122:12742
    6Rockford IceHogs47125426127:15838
    7Iowa Wild449452698:14131


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign47238214159:13064
    2Colorado Eagles44236510146:10463
    3Bakersfield Condors46196714159:14257
    4San Jose Barracuda43188314143:13155
    5Coachella Valley Firebirds45178515154:14055
    6San Diego Gulls44165914130:12651
    7Tucson Roadrunners451110816147:14750
    8Henderson Silver Knights43153817134:13744
    9Calgary Wranglers471061219127:17144
    10Abbotsford Canucks48106626105:16438


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket47227414151:12462
    2Syracuse Crunch46242416149:12256
    3Toronto Marlies45176715142:14753
    4Cleveland Monsters451310715130:13753
    5Rochester Americans45185616143:13052
    6Belleville Senators49146821159:17848
    7Utica Comets43103822103:14134

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )