Toronto Marlies vs Providence Bruins – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey AHL Toronto Marlies - Providence Bruins
Result
4:2
12/03/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USA: AHL

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2625
Shooting PCT
15.38% (4/26)8% (2/25)
Goalkeeper Saves
2322
Saves PCT
92% (23/25)84.62% (22/26)
Penalties
55
PIM
1010
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/5)20% (1/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
80% (4/5)100% (5/5)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 10:54, 0 - 1, Lysell F. (G), Poitras M. (A), Tufte R. (A2)
  • 18:30, 1 - 1, Hirvonen R. (G), Villeneuve W. (A), Mermis D. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 1)
  • 00:30, 2 - 1, Steeves A. (G), Shaw L. (A), Villeneuve W. (A2)
  • 08:41, 2 - 2, Brunet F. (G), Sweezey B. (A), Poitras M. (A2)
  • 14:04, 3 - 2, Mastrosimone R. (G), Solow Z. (A), Villeneuve W. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 19:29, 4 - 2, Blandisi J. (G), Quillan J. (A), Pare C. (A2)

Chances of winning


Toronto Marlies
38.4%
Draw
21.8%
Providence Bruins
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 21.7% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 21.6% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto Marlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Providence Bruins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Providence Bruins than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Toronto Marlies - Providence Bruins Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.17)
    4.24
    (4.2)
    2.33
    (2.52)
    8.1%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 3 and 3).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Toronto won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Toronto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Toronto won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 40:48 (average 3.1:3.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Toronto won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20:23 (average 3.3:3.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Marlies - Providence Bruins were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Providence Bruins - Toronto Marlies 5:2
    20.12.2023 Toronto Marlies - Providence Bruins 7:3
    15.12.2023 Providence Bruins - Toronto Marlies 2:8
    Latest results of Toronto Marlies
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Laval Rocket (1)Bye
    2Toronto Marlies (4)Cleveland Monsters (5)0 : 2
    3Rochester Americans (2)Bye
    4ByeSyracuse Crunch (3)
    5Hershey Bears (1)Bye
    6Wilkes-Barre/Scranton (4)Lehigh Valley Phantoms (5)0 : 2
    7Charlotte Checkers (2)Bye
    8Providence Bruins (3)Springfield Thunderbirds (6)2 : 1
    9Colorado Eagles (1)Bye
    10Ontario Reign (3)San Jose Barracuda (6)0 : 2
    11Abbotsford Canucks (2)Tucson Roadrunners (7)2 : 1
    12Coachella Valley Firebirds (4)Calgary Wranglers (5)2 : 0
    13Milwaukee Admirals (1)Bye
    14Chicago Wolves (4)Rockford IceHogs (5)0 : 2
    15Texas Stars (2)Bye
    16ByeGrand Rapids Griffins (3)

    1/8-finals
    1Laval Rocket (1)Cleveland Monsters (5)3 : 1
    2Rochester Americans (2)Syracuse Crunch (3)3 : 0
    3Hershey Bears (1)Lehigh Valley Phantoms (5)3 : 2
    4Charlotte Checkers (2)Providence Bruins (3)3 : 2
    5Colorado Eagles (1)San Jose Barracuda (6)3 : 1
    6Abbotsford Canucks (2)Coachella Valley Firebirds (4)3 : 1
    7Milwaukee Admirals (1)Rockford IceHogs (5)3 : 2
    8Texas Stars (2)Grand Rapids Griffins (3)3 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Laval Rocket (1)Rochester Americans (2)3 : 2
    2Hershey Bears (1)Charlotte Checkers (2)0 : 3
    3Colorado Eagles (1)Abbotsford Canucks (2)2 : 3
    4Milwaukee Admirals (1)Texas Stars (2)2 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Laval Rocket (1)Charlotte Checkers (2)0 : 4
    2Abbotsford Canucks (2)Texas Stars (2)4 : 2

    Final
    1Charlotte Checkers (2)Abbotsford Canucks (2)2 : 4