PSV Eindhoven vs Atlético Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
2:3
09/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 1
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 6, Pickx+ Sports 6, Play Sports 6
brazilBrazilHBO Max
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileESPN 3
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 3
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 5
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
italyItalySky Sport 256
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3, ART Sport 5
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, Canal+
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, FOX One
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN 5 Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 5
portugalPortugalDAZN 4, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 5
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.612.29
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
39
Big Chances
64
Corner Kicks
95
Passes
84% (406/485)83% (369/446)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
2.612.29
xG on target (xGOT)
2.123.01
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
39
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
64
Corner Kicks
95
Touches in opposition box
2730
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
84% (406/485)83% (369/446)
Long passes
42% (19/45)56% (35/63)
Passes in final third
79% (118/149)76% (107/141)
Crosses
20% (5/25)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
2.241.57
Throw-ins
818
Fouls
1114
Tackles
42% (8/19)67% (14/21)
Duels won
4760
Clearances
2228
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
3.012.12
Goals prevented
0.010.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Til G. ⚽, Driouech C. (A),
  • 20', Saibari I. 🟨,
  • 33', Schouten J. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Alvarez J. ⚽, Sorloth A. (A),
  • 37', Simeone D. 🟨,
  • 41', Mauro Junior 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 48', Simeone G. 🟨,
  • 50', Barrios P. 🟨,
  • 52', 1 - 2, Hancko D. ⚽, Molina N. (A),
  • 54', Gasiorowski Y. 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 3, Sorloth A. ⚽, Barrios P. (A),
  • 58', Gasiorowski Y. ↓, Obispo A. ↑,
  • 59', Wanner P. ↓, Man D. ↑,
  • 69', Gonzalez N. ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
  • 73', Til G. ↓, Pepi R. ↑,
  • 75', Sorloth A. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
  • 76', Koke ↓, Griezmann A. ↑,
  • 81', Driouech C. ↓, Perisic I. ↑,
  • 85', 2 - 3, Pepi R. ⚽, Perisic I. (A),
  • 89', Simeone G. ↓, Le Normand R. ↑,
  • 90+2', Ruggeri M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


PSV Eindhoven
31.4%		Draw
25.6%		Atlético Madrid
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 24.7% 45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1% 24.5% 45.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
    •

    PSV Eindhoven - Atlético Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.05 ↓
    (3.15)    		 3.74 ↓
    (3.88)    		 2.24 ↑
    (2.13)    		 4.2%
    (4.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven - Atlético Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 101 users predict this event. PSV will win (votes: 19 - 18.8%). Atlético will win (votes: 67 - 66.3%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 14.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 57.1% – 75.5%. The data is statistically significant.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - PSV (1.65) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - PSV (1.84) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - PSV (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Madrid will win (38 of 49 users predict this - 77.55%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 54 high ROI users predict this event. PSV (votes: 9 - 16.7%). Atlético (votes: 40 - 74.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 9.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • PSV has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In recent matches, Atlético has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, PSV has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in PSV: Boadu M. (Inactive) Plea A. (Knee Injury) van Bommel R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlético: Baena A. (Hamstring Injury) Gimenez J. M. (Muscle Injury) Lenglet C. (Muscle Injury) Llorente M. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, PSV won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, PSV won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
    Latest results of PSV Eindhoven
    06.12.2025 Heerenveen - PSV Eindhoven 0:2 ✺
    30.11.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Volendam 3:0 ✺
    26.11.2025 Liverpool - PSV Eindhoven 1:4 ✺
    22.11.2025 NAC Breda - PSV Eindhoven 0:1 ✺
    09.11.2025 AZ Alkmaar - PSV Eindhoven 1:5 ✺
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    06.12.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid 1:0 ✺
    02.12.2025 Barcelona - Atlético Madrid 3:1 ✺
    29.11.2025 Atlético Madrid - Real Oviedo 2:0 ✺
    26.11.2025 Atlético Madrid - Inter Milan 2:1 ✺
    23.11.2025 Getafe - Atlético Madrid 0:1 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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