Result
1:5
09/11/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 12
- Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
Albania | SuperSport 6 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Austria | DAZN |
Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
France | DAZN France |
Georgia | Silk Universal |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Greece | Nova Sports 6 |
Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
Indonesia | Kompas TV, Vidio |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Italy | Como TV |
Japan | U-NEXT |
Kenya | Gotv |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN 4 |
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Polsat Sport 3 |
Portugal | DAZN / App |
Russia | TV Start |
Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
Spain | GolStadium |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | Tivibu Spor 3 |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Triller TV, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 2.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (371/451) | 87% (444/509) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 2.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 3.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (371/451) | 87% (444/509) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (19/51) | 54% (22/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (66/103) | 83% (109/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 2.02 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.22 | 0.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.78 | -0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 1', Boogaard K. 🟨,
- 5', 0 - 1, Mauro Junior ⚽,
- 11', 0 - 2, Til G. ⚽, Saibari I. (A),
- 17', Salah-Eddine A. 🟨,
- 28', 0 - 3, Til G. ⚽, Mauro Junior (A),
- 34', 1 - 3, Mijnans S. ⚽, Boogaard K. (A),
- 44', Goes W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 60', Salah-Eddine A. ↓, Flamingo R. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 4, Veerman J. ⚽, Man D. (A),
- 68', Boogaard K. ↓, Zeefuik L. ↑,
- 70', Perisic I. ↓, Driouech C. ↑,
- 71', Saibari I. ↓, Pepi R. ↑,
- 71', Gasiorowski Y. ↓, Obispo A. ↑,
- 72', Weslley Patati ↓, Sin M. ↑,
- 72', Owusu-Oduro R. ↓, Zoet J. ↑,
- 84', Goes W. ↓, Dekker M. ↑,
- 84', Jensen I. ↓, Bouziane W. ↑,
- 88', Man D. ↓, Bajraktarevic E. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 5, Til G. ⚽, Driouech C. (A),
Chances of winning
AZ Alkmaar 29.3% | Draw 22.8% | PSV Eindhoven 48% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
AZ Alkmaar - PSV Eindhoven Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.24 ↑ (2.71) |
4.17 ↑ (4.12) |
2.02 ↓ (2.24) |
4.4% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - PSV Eindhoven?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. PSV (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
PSV Eindhoven will win
(20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ won 0.
- AZ is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- PSV is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- PSV may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- PSV is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in AZ: Clasie J.
(Ankle Injury)
Daal R.
(Injury)
Kasius D.
(Injury)
Kwakman D.
(Injury)
Maikuma S.
(Knee Injury)
Meerdink M.
(Injury)
Sin M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in PSV: Kuhn W.
(Knee Injury)
Plea A.
(Knee Injury)
van Bommel R.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AZ won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 29:45. (average 1.5:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, AZ won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:26. (average 1.3:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against PSV Eindhoven?
AZ Alkmaar has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has PSV Eindhoven won against AZ Alkmaar?
PSV Eindhoven has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - PSV Eindhoven were as follows:
11.01.2025
PSV Eindhoven
-
AZ Alkmaar
2:2
19.10.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
PSV Eindhoven
1:2
06.04.2024
PSV Eindhoven
-
AZ Alkmaar
5:1
17.12.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
PSV Eindhoven
0:4
28.05.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
PSV Eindhoven
1:2
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Latest results of PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 40:17 | 23 | 31 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 31:12 | 19 | 28 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 25:18 | 7 | 24 |
| 4 | Ajax | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 22:17 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Utrecht | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | Groningen | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 | Nijmegen | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 29:20 | 9 | 18 |
| 8 | Twente | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | G.A. Eagles | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 16 |
| 10 | Sittard | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 16 |
| 12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 19:21 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | FC Volendam | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | NAC Breda | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 12 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 |
| 17 | Telstar | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 9 |
| 18 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie