Result
07/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
PSV Eindhoven
70.6% | Draw
17.2% | AZ Alkmaar
12.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PSV Eindhoven's performance.AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
PSV Eindhoven - AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.43) |
5.58 ↑
(4.53) |
7.69 ↑
(6.47) |
5.9%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSV won 4.
- PSV is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, AZ has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, PSV is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that PSV will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PSV won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 46:28. (average 2.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, PSV won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.9:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has PSV Eindhoven won against AZ Alkmaar?
PSV Eindhoven has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against PSV Eindhoven?
AZ Alkmaar has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between PSV Eindhoven - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
09.11.2025
AZ Alkmaar
-
PSV Eindhoven
1:5
11.01.2025
PSV Eindhoven
-
AZ Alkmaar
2:2
19.10.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
PSV Eindhoven
1:2
06.04.2024
PSV Eindhoven
-
AZ Alkmaar
5:1
17.12.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
PSV Eindhoven
0:4
Latest results of PSV Eindhoven
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 73:30 | 43 | 65 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 48 |
| 3 | Ajax | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Nijmegen | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 61:43 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Twente | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 41:26 | 15 | 41 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 42:40 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 32:42 | -10 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 34 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 42:43 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Sittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 39:45 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | Groningen | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 38:39 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 28 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 27 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26:42 | -16 | 26 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 25:39 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 31:41 | -10 | 21 |
| 18 | Heracles | 25 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 32:65 | -33 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
