Result
2:1
07/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 26
- Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Sportsnet+ |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | Nova Sports Start |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 India | Eurosport |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN 3, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1, Sport TV2 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 1.60 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (513/580) | 76% (255/337) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 1.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 1.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (513/580) | 76% (255/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (19/40) | 37% (24/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (189/225) | 64% (80/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 34% (13/38) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.72 | 1.27 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.30 | 2.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, van Duijl B. ⚽, Jensen I. (A),
- 45', 1 - 1, Parrott T. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Penetra 🟨,
- 58', Dest S. ↓, Salah-Eddine A. ↑,
- 63', Dijkstra E. ↓, Kasius D. ↑,
- 63', Jensen I. ↓, Oufkir A. ↑,
- 75', Wanner P. ↓, Flamingo R. ↑,
- 75', Man D. ↓, Bajraktarevic E. ↑,
- 79', Pepi R. 🟨,
- 86', 2 - 1, Pepi R. ⚽, Perisic I. (A),
- 88', Pepi R. ↓, Boadu M. ↑,
- 88', Parrott T. ↓, Meerdink M. ↑,
- 88', Perisic I. ↓, Driouech C. ↑,
- 88', Daal R. ↓, Hornkamp J. ↑,
- 90', Driouech C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
PSV Eindhoven
67% | Draw
18.7% | AZ Alkmaar
14.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
PSV Eindhoven - AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.43) |
5.09 ↑
(4.53) |
6.62 ↑
(6.47) |
5.2%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven - AZ Alkmaar?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. PSV will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). AZ will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSV: 43.1% – 81.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): PSV Eindhoven will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSV won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, PSV has had a series of away games.
- In this match, PSV is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in PSV: Mauro Junior
(Knee Injury)
Olij N.
(Groin Injury)
Plea A.
(Knee Injury)
Salah-Eddine A.
(Foot Injury)
Til G.
(Muscle Injury)
van Bommel R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in AZ: Clasie J.
(Ankle Injury)
Smit K.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in AZ: Chavez Garcia M.
(Injury)
Maikuma S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PSV won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 46:28. (average 2.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, PSV won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.9:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has PSV Eindhoven won against AZ Alkmaar?
PSV Eindhoven has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against PSV Eindhoven?
AZ Alkmaar has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between PSV Eindhoven - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
09.11.2025
AZ Alkmaar
-
PSV Eindhoven
1:5
11.01.2025
PSV Eindhoven
-
AZ Alkmaar
2:2
19.10.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
PSV Eindhoven
1:2
06.04.2024
PSV Eindhoven
-
AZ Alkmaar
5:1
17.12.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
PSV Eindhoven
0:4
Latest results of PSV Eindhoven
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 28 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 78:37 | 41 | 68 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 61:40 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 69:47 | 22 | 50 |
| 4 | Ajax | 28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 53:35 | 18 | 48 |
| 5 | Twente | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 47:30 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 47:45 | 2 | 42 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 42:31 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 49:46 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 35:47 | -12 | 41 |
| 10 | Groningen | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 40:37 | 3 | 38 |
| 11 | Sittard | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 43:52 | -9 | 35 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 38:53 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 45:45 | 0 | 32 |
| 14 | Telstar | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 30:48 | -18 | 27 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 29:47 | -18 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 29:50 | -21 | 23 |
| 18 | Heracles | 28 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 33:70 | -37 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
