Result
3:5
13/09/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 5
- Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Albania | SuperSport 4 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now |
 Croatia | SportKlub 5 |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
 India | Eurosport, JioTV app |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Extra 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN 3, DAZN / App |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5, SportKlub 5 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
 Spain | Gol Play, GolStadium |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 2.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (300/410) | 72% (230/321) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 2.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 5.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (300/410) | 72% (230/321) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (26/73) | 37% (24/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (87/142) | 60% (64/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (2/22) | 60% (6/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 61% (14/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 5.21 | 2.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | -0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 12', 0 - 1, Pepi R. ⚽, Schouten J. (A),
- 28', Obispo A. ↓, Flamingo R. ↑,
- 30', 0 - 2, van Bommel R. ⚽, Dest S. (A),
- 32', 1 - 2, Misidjan V. ⚽, Linssen B. (A),
- 33', 1 - 3, Veerman J. ⚽, Schouten J. (A),
- 40', Linssen B. 🟨,
- 45', Ouaissa S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 49', 1 - 4, Pepi R. ⚽, Perisic I. (A),
- 53', 2 - 4, El Kachati Y. ⚽,
- 58', van Bommel R. 🟨,
- 63', Saibari I. 🟨,
- 65', Pepi R. ↓, Boadu M. ↑,
- 65', Sildillia K. ↓, Salah-Eddine A. ↑,
- 65', El Kachati Y. ↓, Lebreton N. ↑,
- 65', Linssen B. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
- 69', 3 - 4, Chery T. ⚽, Fonville D. (A),
- 72', 3 - 5, Boadu M. ⚽, Veerman J. (A),
- 73', van Bommel R. ↓, Driouech C. ↑,
- 73', Til G. ↓, Gasiorowski Y. ↑,
- 75', Pereira B. ↓, Ogawa K. ↑,
- 80', Misidjan V. ↓, van Crooij V. ↑,
- 80', Proper D. ↓, Nejasmic D. ↑,
- 86', Bosz P. 🟨,
- 86', Chery T. (Pen),
- 90+1', Perisic I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
NEC Nijmegen
20% | Draw
21% | PSV Eindhoven
59% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-1%)
NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.82 ↑
(4.43) |
4.63 ↓
(4.65) |
1.62 ↓
(1.71) |
3.9%
(2.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - PSV (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - PSV (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - PSV (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
PSV Eindhoven will win
(27 of 30 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.26% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): PSV Eindhoven will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. PSV (votes: 14 - 93.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 1.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Recently, PSV has had a series of home games.
- In this match, PSV is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Nijmegen: Nuytinck B.
(Knee Injury)
Willems J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in PSV: Kuhn W.
(Knee Injury)
Mauro Junior
(Ankle Injury)
Plea A.
(Knee Injury)
Salah-Eddine A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 19:51. (average 1.1:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 1.3:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against PSV Eindhoven?
NEC Nijmegen has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has PSV Eindhoven won against NEC Nijmegen?
PSV Eindhoven has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven were as follows:
01.02.2025
NEC Nijmegen
-
PSV Eindhoven
3:3
14.09.2024
PSV Eindhoven
-
NEC Nijmegen
2:0
30.03.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
PSV Eindhoven
3:1
16.09.2023
PSV Eindhoven
-
NEC Nijmegen
4:0
01.04.2023
NEC Nijmegen
-
PSV Eindhoven
2:4
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Latest results of PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
