Result
2:3
14/03/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 27
- Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1, SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | Nova Sports Start |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1, SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Extra 1 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1, Sport TV2 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN 2, SupeSport ESPN |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.77 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (434/554) | 59% (139/234) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (434/554) | 59% (139/234) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (28/69) | 26% (18/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (106/157) | 51% (48/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/27) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.68 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 39 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 33% (6/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 53 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 2.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.97 | 0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 20', 0 - 1, Linssen B. ⚽, Ouaissa S. (A),
- 32', Nejasmic D. 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 2, Linssen B. ⚽, Sano K. (A),
- 42', 1 - 2, Sildillia K. ⚽, Saibari I. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Gasiorowski Y. ↓, Boadu M. ↑,
- 56', Willems J. ↓, Nuytinck B. ↑,
- 63', Ouaissa S. ↓, El Bakkari Y. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 3, El Bakkari Y. ⚽,
- 70', Pepi R. ↓, Driouech C. ↑,
- 76', Man D. ↓, Bajraktarevic E. ↑,
- 80', Sano K. 🟨,
- 83', Linssen B. ↓, Proper D. ↑,
- 86', Wanner P. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 3, Driouech C. ⚽, Saibari I. (A),
- 90+7', Nuytinck B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
PSV Eindhoven
62.2% | Draw
19.3% | NEC Nijmegen
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
PSV Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that PSV Eindhoven's form might have worsened.NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for PSV Eindhoven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for NEC Nijmegen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
PSV Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↑
(1.35) |
4.93 ↓
(5.03) |
5.17 ↓
(6.5) |
4.9%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. PSV will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSV: 41.1% – 82.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - PSV (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Nijmegen (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): PSV Eindhoven will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. PSV (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Nijmegen (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSV won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, PSV is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PSV won 16 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 58:25. (average 2.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, PSV won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 31:9. (average 3.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has PSV Eindhoven won against NEC Nijmegen?
PSV Eindhoven has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against PSV Eindhoven?
NEC Nijmegen has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between PSV Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen were as follows:
03.03.2026
NEC Nijmegen
-
PSV Eindhoven
3:2
13.09.2025
NEC Nijmegen
-
PSV Eindhoven
3:5
01.02.2025
NEC Nijmegen
-
PSV Eindhoven
3:3
14.09.2024
PSV Eindhoven
-
NEC Nijmegen
2:0
30.03.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
PSV Eindhoven
3:1
Latest results of PSV Eindhoven
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 77:34 | 43 | 68 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 60:39 | 21 | 52 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 67:45 | 22 | 49 |
| 4 | Ajax | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 52:34 | 18 | 47 |
| 5 | Twente | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 45:29 | 16 | 44 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 47:42 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 47:44 | 3 | 40 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33:47 | -14 | 38 |
| 10 | Groningen | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 37:37 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Sittard | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 42:50 | -8 | 35 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 45:43 | 2 | 32 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 36:52 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 30:46 | -16 | 27 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 | Telstar | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 35:45 | -10 | 24 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 23 |
| 18 | Heracles | 27 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 32:69 | -37 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
