NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven
Result
3:5
13/09/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 5
  • Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
indiaIndiaEurosport, JioTV app
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItalyComo TV
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
russiaRussiaTV Start
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5, SportKlub 5
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
spainSpainGol Play, GolStadium
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.232.23
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
2018
Shots on target
711
Big Chances
16
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
73% (300/410)72% (230/321)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.232.23
xG on target (xGOT)
2.125.21
Total shots
2018
Shots on target
711
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
1013
Shots outside the Box
105
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
16
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
2734
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
187
Passes
73% (300/410)72% (230/321)
Long passes
36% (26/73)37% (24/65)
Passes in final third
61% (87/142)60% (64/107)
Crosses
9% (2/22)60% (6/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.521.37
Throw-ins
2213
Fouls
818
Tackles
53% (9/17)61% (14/23)
Duels won
5761
Clearances
1238
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
64
xGOT faced
5.212.12
Goals prevented
0.21-0.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Pepi R. , Schouten J. (A),
  • 28', Obispo A. , Flamingo R. ,
  • 30', 0 - 2, van Bommel R. , Dest S. (A),
  • 32', 1 - 2, Misidjan V. , Linssen B. (A),
  • 33', 1 - 3, Veerman J. , Schouten J. (A),
  • 40', Linssen B. 🟨,
  • 45', Ouaissa S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 49', 1 - 4, Pepi R. , Perisic I. (A),
  • 53', 2 - 4, El Kachati Y. ,
  • 58', van Bommel R. 🟨,
  • 63', Saibari I. 🟨,
  • 65', Pepi R. , Boadu M. ,
  • 65', Sildillia K. , Salah-Eddine A. ,
  • 65', El Kachati Y. , Lebreton N. ,
  • 65', Linssen B. , Shiogai K. ,
  • 69', 3 - 4, Chery T. , Fonville D. (A),
  • 72', 3 - 5, Boadu M. , Veerman J. (A),
  • 73', van Bommel R. , Driouech C. ,
  • 73', Til G. , Gasiorowski Y. ,
  • 75', Pereira B. , Ogawa K. ,
  • 80', Misidjan V. , van Crooij V. ,
  • 80', Proper D. , Nejasmic D. ,
  • 86', Bosz P. 🟨,
  • 86', Chery T. (Pen),
  • 90+1', Perisic I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


NEC Nijmegen
20%
Draw
21%
PSV Eindhoven
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22% 21% 57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6% 20.6% 58%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.82
    (4.43)
    4.63
    (4.65)
    1.62
    (1.71)
    3.9%
    (2.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven?
  • Users Predictions: PSV Eindhoven will win (27 of 30 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.26%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): PSV Eindhoven will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 1.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Recently, PSV has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, PSV is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Nijmegen: Nuytinck B. (Knee Injury) Willems J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in PSV: Kuhn W. (Knee Injury) Mauro Junior (Ankle Injury) Plea A. (Knee Injury) Salah-Eddine A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 19:51. (average 1.1:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 1.3:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven were as follows:
    01.02.2025 NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven 3:3
    14.09.2024 PSV Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen 2:0
    30.03.2024 NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven 3:1
    16.09.2023 PSV Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen 4:0
    01.04.2023 NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven 2:4
    Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
    Latest results of PSV Eindhoven
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Feyenoord651014:41016
    2PSV641119:10913
    3Ajax633012:6612
    4AZ Alkmaar633014:9512
    5Groningen640212:9312
    6Twente731312:10210
    7Sittard731312:12010
    8Nijmegen630319:1279
    9Utrecht630311:569
    10G.A. Eagles623111:929
    11Sparta Rotterdam63038:16-89
    12Zwolle62136:9-37
    13NAC Breda62136:10-47
    14Excelsior62045:13-86
    15Heerenveen61238:10-25
    16FC Volendam60427:11-44
    17Telstar61145:11-64
    18Heracles60063:18-150

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