PSV Eindhoven vs NEC Nijmegen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie
Result
2:3
14/03/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 27
  • Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1, SupeSport ESPN 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
canadaCanadaSportsnet+, Sportsnet World
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1, SupeSport ESPN 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 1
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaTV Start
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1, Sport TV2
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN 2, SupeSport ESPN
spainSpainGolStadium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball, Triller TV+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.511.77
Ball possession
70%30%
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
66
Big chances
14
Corner kicks
77
Passes
78% (434/554)59% (139/234)
Yellow cards
03
Expected goals (xG)
1.511.77
xG on target (xGOT)
2.961.03
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
45
Blocked shots
26
Shots inside the box
912
Shots outside the box
35
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
14
Corner kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
3324
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free kicks
128
Passes
78% (434/554)59% (139/234)
Long passes
41% (28/69)26% (18/68)
Passes in final third
68% (106/157)51% (48/94)
Crosses
19% (5/27)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.180.68
Throw ins
3918
Fouls
812
Tackles
65% (15/23)33% (6/18)
Duels won
6045
Clearances
2453
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
34
xGOT faced
1.032.96
Goals prevented
-1.970.96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Linssen B. ⚽, Ouaissa S. (A),
  • 32', Nejasmic D. 🟨,
  • 38', 0 - 2, Linssen B. ⚽, Sano K. (A),
  • 42', 1 - 2, Sildillia K. ⚽, Saibari I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Gasiorowski Y. ↓, Boadu M. ↑,
  • 56', Willems J. ↓, Nuytinck B. ↑,
  • 63', Ouaissa S. ↓, El Bakkari Y. ↑,
  • 68', 1 - 3, El Bakkari Y. ⚽,
  • 70', Pepi R. ↓, Driouech C. ↑,
  • 76', Man D. ↓, Bajraktarevic E. ↑,
  • 80', Sano K. 🟨,
  • 83', Linssen B. ↓, Proper D. ↑,
  • 86', Wanner P. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
  • 90+3', 2 - 3, Driouech C. ⚽, Saibari I. (A),
  • 90+7', Nuytinck B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


PSV Eindhoven
62.2%		Draw
19.3%		NEC Nijmegen
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.8% 18.2% 14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71% 17.4% 13.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • PSV Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that PSV Eindhoven's form might have worsened.
  • NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for PSV Eindhoven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for NEC Nijmegen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    PSV Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.53 ↑
    (1.35)    		 4.93 ↓
    (5.03)    		 5.17 ↓
    (6.5)    		 4.9%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. PSV will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSV: 41.1% – 82.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - PSV (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Nijmegen (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): PSV Eindhoven will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. PSV (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Nijmegen (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSV won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, PSV is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PSV won 16 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 58:25. (average 2.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, PSV won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 31:9. (average 3.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between PSV Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen were as follows:
    03.03.2026 NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven 3:2
    13.09.2025 NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven 3:5
    01.02.2025 NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven 3:3
    14.09.2024 PSV Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen 2:0
    30.03.2024 NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven 3:1
    Latest results of PSV Eindhoven
    07.03.2026 PSV Eindhoven - AZ Alkmaar 2:1 ✺
    03.03.2026 NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven 3:2 ✺
    28.02.2026 Heracles Almelo - PSV Eindhoven 1:3 ✺
    21.02.2026 PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen 3:1 ✺
    13.02.2026 Volendam - PSV Eindhoven 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
    08.03.2026 NEC Nijmegen - Volendam 3:0 ✺
    03.03.2026 NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven 3:2 ✺
    28.02.2026 NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard 2:3 ✺
    21.02.2026 Ajax - NEC Nijmegen 1:1 ✺
    17.02.2026 Sparta Rotterdam - NEC Nijmegen 1:1 ✺
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV29232482:404271
    2Feyenoord29166761:402154
    3Nijmegen29158671:472453
    4Twente291311549:311850
    5Ajax291212554:371748
    6AZ Alkmaar291361049:45445
    7Heerenveen29128953:47644
    8Sparta Rotterdam291261135:47-1242
    9Utrecht291181045:351041
    10Groningen291251242:37541
    11G.A. Eagles298111050:45535
    12Sittard291051443:54-1135
    13Zwolle29891238:58-2033
    14FC Volendam29771530:48-1828
    15Telstar29691438:48-1027
    16Excelsior29761629:49-2027
    17NAC Breda29591529:50-2124
    18Heracles29542034:74-4019

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

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