Result
2:4
29/08/2025 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 7
- Referee: Valle J. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 2.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (322/377) | 90% (595/660) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 2.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 3.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (322/377) | 90% (595/660) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (22/35) | 67% (43/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (67/89) | 73% (95/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.01 | 2.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.99 | 0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 30', 1 - 0, Marin R. ⚽, Gomez E. (A),
- 39', Fedorco J. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 1, Canales S. (Pen),
- 42', Ramos S. 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 2, Ocampos L. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Corona J. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 46', Reyes L. ↓, Arteaga G. ↑,
- 46', Marin R. ↓, Lozano E. ↑,
- 46', Moyano F. ↓, Gonzalez O. ↑,
- 60', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
- 61', Diaz N. 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 3, Canales S. ⚽, Ocampos L. (A),
- 64', Castillo R. ↓, Baltazar C. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 4, Canales S. ⚽, Ocampos L. (A),
- 75', Gomez E. ↓, Garnica B. ↑,
- 75', Gamarra P. ↓, Orona E. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 4, Baltazar C. ⚽,
- 89', Ocampos L. ↓, Ambriz F. ↑,
- 90+3', Berterame G. ↓, Moxica J. ↑,
- 90+3', Canales S. ↓, de la Rosa R. ↑,
- 90+5', Chavez R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Puebla
24.6% | Draw
26% | Monterrey
49.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Monterrey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Puebla - Monterrey Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.8 ↓
(3.85) |
3.57 ↓
(3.8) |
1.9 ↑
(1.84) |
6.9%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Puebla - Monterrey?
Users Predictions:
Monterrey will win
(21 of 25 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.63% – 98.37%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Monterrey will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 0.
- Puebla is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Monterrey is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Monterrey may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Puebla has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Monterrey has had a series of home games.
- Monterrey is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Monterrey: Salcedo C.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Puebla: Guerra E.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Monterrey: Andrada E.
(Elbow Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Puebla won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Puebla won against Monterrey?
Puebla has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monterrey won against Puebla?
Monterrey has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puebla - Monterrey were as follows:
12.01.2025
Monterrey
-
Puebla
1:1
16.08.2024
Puebla
-
Monterrey
1:2
13.01.2024
Monterrey
-
Puebla
2:0
03.10.2023
Puebla
-
Monterrey
1:1
27.01.2023
Puebla
-
Monterrey
1:2
Latest results of Monterrey
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca ✔ | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 39:16 | 23 | 32 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 31:14 | 17 | 32 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27:17 | 10 | 32 |
| 4 | Club America ✔ | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 31:16 | 15 | 31 |
| 5 | Monterrey ✔ | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 30:24 | 6 | 30 |
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 |
| 8 | Pachuca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Juarez | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20:20 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Atlas | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 24:33 | -9 | 16 |
| 12 | UNAM Pumas | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 14 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 13 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15:27 | -12 | 10 |
| 18 | Puebla | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 19:38 | -19 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
