Puebla vs Monterrey – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Puebla - Monterrey
Result
2:4
29/08/2025 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Apertura - Round 7
  • Referee: Valle J. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAzteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
usaUsaTUDN App, TUDN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.022.66
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
717
Shots on target
48
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
85% (322/377)90% (595/660)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.022.66
xG on target (xGOT)
2.383.01
Total shots
717
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
39
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
1518
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
85% (322/377)90% (595/660)
Long passes
63% (22/35)67% (43/64)
Passes in final third
75% (67/89)73% (95/131)
Crosses
25% (2/8)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.101.06
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
1011
Tackles
73% (11/15)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4235
Clearances
2211
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
3.012.38
Goals prevented
-0.990.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 30', 1 - 0, Marin R. , Gomez E. (A),
  • 39', Fedorco J. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Canales S. (Pen),
  • 42', Ramos S. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 1 - 2, Ocampos L. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Corona J. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 46', Reyes L. , Arteaga G. ,
  • 46', Marin R. , Lozano E. ,
  • 46', Moyano F. , Gonzalez O. ,
  • 60', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
  • 61', Diaz N. 🟨,
  • 63', 1 - 3, Canales S. , Ocampos L. (A),
  • 64', Castillo R. , Baltazar C. ,
  • 67', 1 - 4, Canales S. , Ocampos L. (A),
  • 75', Gomez E. , Garnica B. ,
  • 75', Gamarra P. , Orona E. ,
  • 84', 2 - 4, Baltazar C. ,
  • 89', Ocampos L. , Ambriz F. ,
  • 90+3', Berterame G. , Moxica J. ,
  • 90+3', Canales S. , de la Rosa R. ,
  • 90+5', Chavez R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Puebla
24.6%
Draw
26%
Monterrey
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.3% 24.6% 51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4% 23.7% 53%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Monterrey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Puebla - Monterrey Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.8
    (3.85)
    3.57
    (3.8)
    1.9
    (1.84)
    6.9%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Puebla - Monterrey?
  • Users Predictions: Monterrey will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.63%98.37%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Monterrey will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 0.
    • Puebla is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Monterrey is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Monterrey may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Puebla has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Monterrey has had a series of home games.
    • Monterrey is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Monterrey: Salcedo C. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Puebla: Guerra E. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Monterrey: Andrada E. (Elbow Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Puebla won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Puebla - Monterrey were as follows:
    12.01.2025 Monterrey - Puebla 1:1
    16.08.2024 Puebla - Monterrey 1:2
    13.01.2024 Monterrey - Puebla 2:0
    03.10.2023 Puebla - Monterrey 1:1
    27.01.2023 Puebla - Monterrey 1:2
    Latest results of Puebla
    24.08.2025 UNAM - Puebla 0:0
    20.08.2025 Seattle Sounders - Puebla 1:0
    08.08.2025 Tigres UANL - Puebla 7:0
    05.08.2025 CF Montréal - Puebla 1:2
    Latest results of Monterrey
    23.08.2025 Monterrey - Necaxa 3:0
    17.08.2025 Monterrey - Mazatlan 3:2
    11.08.2025 Club León - Monterrey 1:3
    07.08.2025 Monterrey - Charlotte 0:2
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca ✔ 14102239:162332
    2Tigres UANL ✔ 1595131:141732
    3Cruz Azul ✔ 1595127:171032
    4Club America ✔ 1594231:161531
    5Monterrey ✔ 1593330:24630
    6Guadalajara Chivas1572624:20423
    7Club Tijuana1556426:19721
    8Pachuca1463519:17221
    9Juarez1555524:25-120
    10Atl. San Luis1451820:20016
    11Atlas1544724:33-916
    12UNAM Pumas1536617:22-515
    13Santos Laguna1442817:23-614
    14Queretaro1442815:25-1014
    15Mazatlan FC1527619:27-813
    16Club Leon1534813:27-1413
    17Necaxa1424815:27-1210
    18Puebla15231019:38-199

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)