Result
3:1
04/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, FOX One |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 1.99 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (259/327) | 88% (441/504) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 1.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 1.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (259/327) | 88% (441/504) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (21/54) | 49% (22/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (27/49) | 66% (81/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.09 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 5 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.67 | 2.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.67 | -0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Gomez E. ⚽, Guerra E. (A),
- 45+3', Lorona V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Vigon J. ↓, Lainez D. ↑,
- 53', 2 - 0, Guerra E. ⚽,
- 60', Flores M. ↓, Gignac A. ↑,
- 60', Araujo C. ↓, Joaquim ↑,
- 62', Lorona V. ↓, Herrera O. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 1, Brunetta J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 71', Guerra E. ↓, Baltazar C. ↑,
- 71', Ramirez A. ↓, Organista A. ↑,
- 82', Navarro E. ↓, Pachuca Martinez J. R. ↑,
- 82', Gomez E. ↓, Lozano E. ↑,
- 82', Angulo J. ↓, Sanchez Guevara D. A. ↑,
- 85', 3 - 1, Baltazar C. ⚽, Velasco K. (A),
- 88', Moreno I. ↓, Garnica B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Puebla
24.5% | Draw
26.1% | Tigres UANL
49.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Puebla's performance.Tigres UANL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tigres UANL might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Puebla that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tigres UANL could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Puebla - Tigres UANL Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.78 ↓
(5) |
3.6 ↑
(3.58) |
1.9 ↑
(1.62) |
7.1%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Puebla - Tigres UANL?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Puebla will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Tigres will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tigres: 56.3% – 96.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Tigres (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tigres UANL will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Tigres (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Tigres is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Puebla: Castillo R.
(Injury)
Cavallini L.
(Knee Injury)
Maestro I.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Tigres: Farfan M.
(Injury)
Gignac A.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Puebla: Navarro E.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Tigres: Gorriaran F.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:37. (average 0.8:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Puebla won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Puebla won against Tigres UANL?
Puebla has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tigres UANL won against Puebla?
Tigres UANL has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puebla - Tigres UANL were as follows:
08.08.2025
Tigres UANL
-
Puebla
7:0
04.04.2025
Puebla
-
Tigres UANL
0:0
05.10.2024
Tigres UANL
-
Puebla
1:0
31.07.2024
Tigres UANL
-
Puebla
2:1
29.03.2024
Puebla
-
Tigres UANL
2:3
Latest results of Tigres UANL
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas ✔ | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 28:17 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:15 | 10 | 28 |
| 3 | Pachuca | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 28 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 26:15 | 11 | 27 |
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 27 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 22:16 | 6 | 20 |
| 7 | Club America | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Atlas | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 19 |
| 9 | Club Leon | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 19 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Juarez | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:20 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19:17 | 2 | 15 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Queretaro | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 15 |
| 16 | Puebla | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 | Mazatlan FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 16:28 | -12 | 11 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Guadalajara Chivas is Qualified for Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
