Result
4:5
25/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 30
- Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 2.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (138/215) | 83% (397/478) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 2.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 4.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (138/215) | 83% (397/478) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (16/57) | 48% (24/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (42/89) | 73% (116/160) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 83% (5/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 0 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.59 | 2.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.41 | -1.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Koulouris E. ⚽, Lukasiak K. (A),
- 12', Craciun A. 🟨,
- 25', Kosidis M. ↓, Barkovsky G. ↑,
- 33', Loncar D. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 1, Mrozinski P. ⚽, Barkovsky G. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Koulouris E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 3)
- 46', Loncar D. ↓, Lisowski W. ↑,
- 46', Tomalski H. ↓, Cholewiak M. ↑,
- 46', Yakuba R. ↓, Radecki M. ↑,
- 46', 2 - 2, Szymonowicz D. ⚽,
- 48', Stec J. 🟨,
- 51', 3 - 2, Klimek A. ⚽, Stepien K. (A),
- 54', 4 - 2, Klimek A. ⚽, Barkovsky G. (A),
- 59', 4 - 3, Koulouris E. (Pen),
- 66', Barkovsky G. 🟨,
- 68', Grosicki K. ↓, Korczakowski O. ↑,
- 68', Ulvestad F. ↓, Smolinski K. ↑,
- 70', 4 - 4, Wedrychowski M. ⚽, Koulouris E. (A),
- 72', Wahlqvist L. ↓, Lis J. ↑,
- 74', Leo Borges 🟥,
- 74', Barkovsky G. 🟨,
- 78', Stec J. ↓, Revenco I. ↑,
- 78', Klimek A. ↓, Stepien M. ↑,
- 87', Koutris L. ↓, Klukowski A. ↑,
- 90+4', 4 - 5, Koulouris E. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Puszcza Niepołomice
20.4% | Draw
23.9% | Pogoń Szczecin
55.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puszcza Niepołomice's form might have worsened.Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Szczecin's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puszcza Niepołomice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Szczecin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.61 ↑
(3.5) |
3.92 ↑
(3.5) |
1.69 ↓
(2) |
6.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 42% – 87.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pogoń Szczecin will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 4).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0.
- Puszcza is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Pogoń Szczecin is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Pogoń Szczecin is a favorite.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 2:12 (average 0.3:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:7 (average 0.3:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Puszcza Niepołomice won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Puszcza Niepołomice has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Puszcza Niepołomice?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:
01.04.2025
Puszcza Niepołomice
-
Pogoń Szczecin
0:3
25.10.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
2:1
06.05.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
1:0
04.11.2023
Puszcza Niepołomice
-
Pogoń Szczecin
0:2
Latest results of Puszcza Niepołomice
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Cracovia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 24:17 | 7 | 16 |
| 8 | Widzew Lodz | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Legia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Rakow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 |
| 13 | Arka Gdynia | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7:19 | -12 | 12 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 | Motor Lublin | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:21 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Termalica B-B | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
