Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Szczecin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa
Result
4:5
25/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 30
  • Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.502.64
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
49
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
64% (138/215)83% (397/478)
Yellow Cards
41
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.502.64
xG on target (xGOT)
2.624.59
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
615
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
1332
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
64% (138/215)83% (397/478)
Long passes
28% (16/57)48% (24/50)
Passes in final third
47% (42/89)73% (116/160)
Crosses
14% (1/7)25% (6/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.641.41
Throw-ins
1414
Fouls
1413
Tackles
60% (6/10)83% (5/6)
Duels won
4537
Clearances
2717
Interceptions
130
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
4.592.62
Goals prevented
-0.41-1.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Koulouris E. ⚽, Lukasiak K. (A),
  • 12', Craciun A. 🟨,
  • 25', Kosidis M. ↓, Barkovsky G. ↑,
  • 33', Loncar D. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Mrozinski P. ⚽, Barkovsky G. (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 2, Koulouris E. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 3)
  • 46', Loncar D. ↓, Lisowski W. ↑,
  • 46', Tomalski H. ↓, Cholewiak M. ↑,
  • 46', Yakuba R. ↓, Radecki M. ↑,
  • 46', 2 - 2, Szymonowicz D. ⚽,
  • 48', Stec J. 🟨,
  • 51', 3 - 2, Klimek A. ⚽, Stepien K. (A),
  • 54', 4 - 2, Klimek A. ⚽, Barkovsky G. (A),
  • 59', 4 - 3, Koulouris E. (Pen),
  • 66', Barkovsky G. 🟨,
  • 68', Grosicki K. ↓, Korczakowski O. ↑,
  • 68', Ulvestad F. ↓, Smolinski K. ↑,
  • 70', 4 - 4, Wedrychowski M. ⚽, Koulouris E. (A),
  • 72', Wahlqvist L. ↓, Lis J. ↑,
  • 74', Leo Borges 🟥,
  • 74', Barkovsky G. 🟨,
  • 78', Stec J. ↓, Revenco I. ↑,
  • 78', Klimek A. ↓, Stepien M. ↑,
  • 87', Koutris L. ↓, Klukowski A. ↑,
  • 90+4', 4 - 5, Koulouris E. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Puszcza Niepołomice
20.4%		Draw
23.9%		Pogoń Szczecin
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.7% 26.7% 46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5% 25.5% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puszcza Niepołomice's form might have worsened.
  • Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Szczecin's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puszcza Niepołomice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Szczecin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.61 ↑
    (3.5)    		 3.92 ↑
    (3.5)    		 1.69 ↓
    (2)    		 6.4%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 42% – 87.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Pogoń Szczecin (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pogoń Szczecin will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 4).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0.
    • Puszcza is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Pogoń Szczecin is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Pogoń Szczecin is a favorite.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 2:12 (average 0.3:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:7 (average 0.3:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:
    01.04.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin 0:3
    25.10.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Puszcza Niepołomice 2:1
    06.05.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Puszcza Niepołomice 1:0
    04.11.2023 Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin 0:2
    Latest results of Puszcza Niepołomice
    21.04.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Radomiak Radom 2:2 ✺
    12.04.2025 GKS Katowice - Puszcza Niepołomice 3:1 ✺
    07.04.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Raków Częstochowa 1:1 ✺
    01.04.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin 0:3 ✺
    29.03.2025 Cracovia - Puszcza Niepołomice 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
    19.04.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa 1:0 ✺
    13.04.2025 Piast Gliwice - Pogoń Szczecin 2:1 ✺
    06.04.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - GKS Katowice 4:0 ✺
    01.04.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin 0:3 ✺
    28.03.2025 Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin 0:0 ✺
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan27129646:37945
    2Jagiellonia27119743:34942
    3Gornik Zabrze27126939:32742
    4Zaglebie27118841:33841
    5Wisla Plock27109828:26239
    6Rakow271161036:34239
    7GKS Katowice271231236:35139
    8Motor Lublin27911736:39-338
    9Lechia Gdansk27126955:50537
    10Korona Kielce271061135:33236
    11Cracovia2799931:31036
    12Piast Gliwice271051234:36-235
    13Radomiak Radom27810943:41234
    14Pogon Szczecin271041336:42-634
    15Legia27712832:31133
    16Arka Gdynia27961228:45-1733
    17Widzew Lodz27861332:35-330
    18Termalica B-B27671433:50-1725

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

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