Result
4:5
25/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 30
- Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.50 | 2.64 |
Ball Possession |
---|
31% | 69% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 9 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
64% (138/215) | 83% (397/478) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 1 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.50 | 2.64 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.62 | 4.59 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 9 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 15 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
13 | 32 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
64% (138/215) | 83% (397/478) |
Long passes |
---|
28% (16/57) | 48% (24/50) |
Passes in final third |
---|
47% (42/89) | 73% (116/160) |
Crosses |
---|
14% (1/7) | 25% (6/24) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.64 | 1.41 |
Throw-ins |
---|
14 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
60% (6/10) | 83% (5/6) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 37 |
Clearances |
---|
27 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
13 | 0 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
4.59 | 2.62 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.41 | -1.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Koulouris E. ⚽, Lukasiak K. (A),
- 12', Craciun A. 🟨,
- 25', Kosidis M. ↓, Barkovsky G. ↑,
- 33', Loncar D. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 1, Mrozinski P. ⚽, Barkovsky G. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Koulouris E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 3)
- 46', Loncar D. ↓, Lisowski W. ↑,
- 46', Tomalski H. ↓, Cholewiak M. ↑,
- 46', Yakuba R. ↓, Radecki M. ↑,
- 46', 2 - 2, Szymonowicz D. ⚽,
- 48', Stec J. 🟨,
- 51', 3 - 2, Klimek A. ⚽, Stepien K. (A),
- 54', 4 - 2, Klimek A. ⚽, Barkovsky G. (A),
- 59', 4 - 3, Koulouris E. (Pen),
- 66', Barkovsky G. 🟨,
- 68', Grosicki K. ↓, Korczakowski O. ↑,
- 68', Ulvestad F. ↓, Smolinski K. ↑,
- 70', 4 - 4, Wedrychowski M. ⚽, Koulouris E. (A),
- 72', Wahlqvist L. ↓, Lis J. ↑,
- 74', Leo Borges 🟥,
- 74', Barkovsky G. 🟨,
- 78', Stec J. ↓, Revenco I. ↑,
- 78', Klimek A. ↓, Stepien M. ↑,
- 87', Koutris L. ↓, Klukowski A. ↑,
- 90+4', 4 - 5, Koulouris E. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Puszcza Niepołomice 20.4% | Draw 23.9% | Pogoń Szczecin 55.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puszcza Niepołomice's form might have worsened.Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Szczecin's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puszcza Niepołomice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Szczecin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.61 ↑ (3.5) |
3.92 ↑ (3.5) |
1.69 ↓ (2) |
6.4% (7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 42% – 87.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pogoń Szczecin will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 4).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0.
- Puszcza is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Pogoń Szczecin is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Pogoń Szczecin is a favorite.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 2:12 (average 0.3:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:7 (average 0.3:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Puszcza Niepołomice won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Puszcza Niepołomice has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Puszcza Niepołomice?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:
01.04.2025
Puszcza Niepołomice
-
Pogoń Szczecin
0:3
25.10.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
2:1
06.05.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
1:0
04.11.2023
Puszcza Niepołomice
-
Pogoń Szczecin
0:2
Latest results of Puszcza Niepołomice
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
2 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
3 | Termalica B-B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Wisla Plock | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Gornik Zabrze | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Motor Lublin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Widzew Lodz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Rakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
10 | Piast Gliwice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Legia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | GKS Katowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Zaglebie | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Korona Kielce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
15 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
16 | Pogon Szczecin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
17 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1