Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Szczecin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin
Result
4:5
25/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 30
  • Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.502.64
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
49
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
64% (138/215)83% (397/478)
Yellow Cards
41
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.502.64
xG on target (xGOT)
2.624.59
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
615
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
1332
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
64% (138/215)83% (397/478)
Long passes
28% (16/57)48% (24/50)
Passes in final third
47% (42/89)73% (116/160)
Crosses
14% (1/7)25% (6/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.641.41
Throw-ins
1414
Fouls
1413
Tackles
60% (6/10)83% (5/6)
Duels won
4537
Clearances
2717
Interceptions
130
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
4.592.62
Goals prevented
-0.41-1.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Koulouris E. , Lukasiak K. (A),
  • 12', Craciun A. 🟨,
  • 25', Kosidis M. , Barkovsky G. ,
  • 33', Loncar D. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Mrozinski P. , Barkovsky G. (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 2, Koulouris E. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 3)
  • 46', Loncar D. , Lisowski W. ,
  • 46', Tomalski H. , Cholewiak M. ,
  • 46', Yakuba R. , Radecki M. ,
  • 46', 2 - 2, Szymonowicz D. ,
  • 48', Stec J. 🟨,
  • 51', 3 - 2, Klimek A. , Stepien K. (A),
  • 54', 4 - 2, Klimek A. , Barkovsky G. (A),
  • 59', 4 - 3, Koulouris E. (Pen),
  • 66', Barkovsky G. 🟨,
  • 68', Grosicki K. , Korczakowski O. ,
  • 68', Ulvestad F. , Smolinski K. ,
  • 70', 4 - 4, Wedrychowski M. , Koulouris E. (A),
  • 72', Wahlqvist L. , Lis J. ,
  • 74', Leo Borges 🟥,
  • 74', Barkovsky G. 🟨,
  • 78', Stec J. , Revenco I. ,
  • 78', Klimek A. , Stepien M. ,
  • 87', Koutris L. , Klukowski A. ,
  • 90+4', 4 - 5, Koulouris E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Puszcza Niepołomice
20.4%
Draw
23.9%
Pogoń Szczecin
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.7% 26.7% 46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5% 25.5% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puszcza Niepołomice's form might have worsened.
  • Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Szczecin's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puszcza Niepołomice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Szczecin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.61
    (3.5)
    3.92
    (3.5)
    1.69
    (2)
    6.4%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 42%87.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pogoń Szczecin will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 4).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0.
    • Puszcza is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Pogoń Szczecin is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Pogoń Szczecin is a favorite.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 2:12 (average 0.3:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:7 (average 0.3:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:
    01.04.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin 0:3
    25.10.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Puszcza Niepołomice 2:1
    06.05.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Puszcza Niepołomice 1:0
    04.11.2023 Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin 0:2
    Latest results of Puszcza Niepołomice
    Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cracovia22006:156
    2Radomiak Radom21106:244
    3Termalica B-B21014:223
    4Wisla Plock11002:023
    5Gornik Zabrze11002:113
    6Motor Lublin11001:013
    7Widzew Lodz11001:013
    8Rakow11001:013
    9Arka Gdynia20111:2-11
    10Piast Gliwice00000:000
    11Legia00000:000
    12GKS Katowice10010:1-10
    13Zaglebie10010:1-10
    14Korona Kielce10010:2-20
    15Lech Poznan10011:4-30
    16Pogon Szczecin10011:5-40
    17Jagiellonia10010:4-40
    18Lechia Gdansk10011:2-1-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1