Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Szczecin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach (Niepołomice).

Ekstraklasa - Round 30
Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.50	2.64
Ball Possession
31%	69%
Total shots
10	18
Shots on target
4	9
Big Chances
3	4
Corner Kicks
1	5
Passes
64% (138/215)	83% (397/478)
Yellow Cards
4	1
Red Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50	2.64
xG on target (xGOT)
2.62	4.59
Total shots
10	18
Shots on target
4	9
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
1	6
Shots inside the Box
6	15
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
3	4
Corner Kicks
1	5
Touches in opposition box
13	32
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
13	14
Passes
64% (138/215)	83% (397/478)
Long passes
28% (16/57)	48% (24/50)
Passes in final third
47% (42/89)	73% (116/160)
Crosses
14% (1/7)	25% (6/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.64	1.41
Throw-ins
14	14
Fouls
14	13
Tackles
60% (6/10)	83% (5/6)
Duels won
45	37
Clearances
27	17
Interceptions
13	0
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	0
xGOT faced
4.59	2.62
Goals prevented
-0.41	-1.38

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Koulouris E. ⚽, Lukasiak K. (A),
12', Craciun A. 🟨,
25', Kosidis M. ↓, Barkovsky G. ↑,
33', Loncar D. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Mrozinski P. ⚽, Barkovsky G. (A),
45+1', 1 - 2, Koulouris E. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
46', Loncar D. ↓, Lisowski W. ↑,
46', Tomalski H. ↓, Cholewiak M. ↑,
46', Yakuba R. ↓, Radecki M. ↑,
46', 2 - 2, Szymonowicz D. ⚽,
48', Stec J. 🟨,
51', 3 - 2, Klimek A. ⚽, Stepien K. (A),
54', 4 - 2, Klimek A. ⚽, Barkovsky G. (A),
59', 4 - 3, Koulouris E. (Pen),
66', Barkovsky G. 🟨,
68', Grosicki K. ↓, Korczakowski O. ↑,
68', Ulvestad F. ↓, Smolinski K. ↑,
70', 4 - 4, Wedrychowski M. ⚽, Koulouris E. (A),
72', Wahlqvist L. ↓, Lis J. ↑,
74', Leo Borges 🟥,
74', Barkovsky G. 🟨,
78', Stec J. ↓, Revenco I. ↑,
78', Klimek A. ↓, Stepien M. ↑,
87', Koutris L. ↓, Klukowski A. ↑,
90+4', 4 - 5, Koulouris E. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Puszcza Niepołomice
20.4%

Draw
23.9%

Pogoń Szczecin
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

48.9%

Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.61 ↑ (3.5)	3.92 ↑ (3.5)	1.69 ↓ (2)	6.4% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 42% – 87.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Pogoń Szczecin (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pogoń Szczecin will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 4).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0.
Puszcza is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Pogoń Szczecin is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Pogoń Szczecin is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 2:12 (average 0.3:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:7 (average 0.3:2.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Puszcza Niepołomice won against Pogoń Szczecin?

Puszcza Niepołomice has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Puszcza Niepołomice?

Pogoń Szczecin has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:

01.04.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin 0:3

25.10.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Puszcza Niepołomice 2:1

06.05.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Puszcza Niepołomice 1:0

04.11.2023 Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin 0:2

Latest results of Puszcza Niepołomice

21.04.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Radomiak Radom 2:2 ✺

12.04.2025 GKS Katowice - Puszcza Niepołomice 3:1 ✺

07.04.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Raków Częstochowa 1:1 ✺

01.04.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin 0:3 ✺

29.03.2025 Cracovia - Puszcza Niepołomice 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin

19.04.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa 1:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Piast Gliwice - Pogoń Szczecin 2:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - GKS Katowice 4:0 ✺

01.04.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin 0:3 ✺

28.03.2025 Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin 0:0 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Wisla Plock	19	8	9	2	23:13	10	33
2	Gornik Zabrze	19	10	3	6	31:25	6	33
3	Jagiellonia	18	9	5	4	32:22	10	32
4	Cracovia	19	8	6	5	26:21	5	30
5	Rakow	19	9	2	8	27:25	2	29
6	Zaglebie	19	7	7	5	31:26	5	28
7	Korona Kielce	19	7	6	6	23:20	3	27
8	Radomiak Radom	18	7	5	6	35:30	5	26
9	Lech Poznan	19	6	8	5	30:30	0	26
10	Motor Lublin	19	5	9	5	25:29	-4	24
11	Lechia Gdansk	19	8	4	7	40:38	2	23
12	Piast Gliwice	19	6	5	8	21:21	0	23
13	GKS Katowice	18	7	2	9	25:28	-3	23
14	Pogon Szczecin	19	6	3	10	29:34	-5	21
15	Arka Gdynia	18	6	3	9	15:32	-17	21
16	Widzew Lodz	19	6	2	11	27:31	-4	20
17	Legia	19	4	7	8	20:23	-3	19
18	Termalica B-B	19	5	4	10	24:36	-12	19

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1