Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Szczecin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:5
25/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 30
  • Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.502.64
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
49
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
64% (138/215)83% (397/478)
Yellow Cards
41
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.502.64
xG on target (xGOT)
2.624.59
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
615
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
1332
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
64% (138/215)83% (397/478)
Long passes
28% (16/57)48% (24/50)
Passes in final third
47% (42/89)73% (116/160)
Crosses
14% (1/7)25% (6/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.641.41
Throw-ins
1414
Fouls
1413
Tackles
60% (6/10)83% (5/6)
Duels won
4537
Clearances
2717
Interceptions
130
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
4.592.62
Goals prevented
-0.41-1.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Koulouris E. , Lukasiak K. (A),
  • 12', Craciun A. 🟨,
  • 25', Kosidis M. , Barkovsky G. ,
  • 33', Loncar D. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Mrozinski P. , Barkovsky G. (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 2, Koulouris E. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 3)
  • 46', Loncar D. , Lisowski W. ,
  • 46', Tomalski H. , Cholewiak M. ,
  • 46', Yakuba R. , Radecki M. ,
  • 46', 2 - 2, Szymonowicz D. ,
  • 48', Stec J. 🟨,
  • 51', 3 - 2, Klimek A. , Stepien K. (A),
  • 54', 4 - 2, Klimek A. , Barkovsky G. (A),
  • 59', 4 - 3, Koulouris E. (Pen),
  • 66', Barkovsky G. 🟨,
  • 68', Grosicki K. , Korczakowski O. ,
  • 68', Ulvestad F. , Smolinski K. ,
  • 70', 4 - 4, Wedrychowski M. , Koulouris E. (A),
  • 72', Wahlqvist L. , Lis J. ,
  • 74', Leo Borges 🟥,
  • 74', Barkovsky G. 🟨,
  • 78', Stec J. , Revenco I. ,
  • 78', Klimek A. , Stepien M. ,
  • 87', Koutris L. , Klukowski A. ,
  • 90+4', 4 - 5, Koulouris E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Puszcza Niepołomice
20.4%
Draw
23.9%
Pogoń Szczecin
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.7% 26.7% 46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5% 25.5% 48.9%

Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.61
(3.5)
3.92
(3.5)
1.69
(2)
6.4%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 42%87.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pogoń Szczecin will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 4).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0.
    • Puszcza is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Pogoń Szczecin is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Pogoń Szczecin is a favorite.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 2:12 (average 0.3:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:7 (average 0.3:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:
    01.04.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin 0:3
    25.10.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Puszcza Niepołomice 2:1
    06.05.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Puszcza Niepołomice 1:0
    04.11.2023 Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin 0:2
    Latest results of Puszcza Niepołomice
    Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gornik Zabrze1793527:19830
    2Jagiellonia1483327:18927
    3Wisla Plock1576220:11927
    4Radomiak Radom1774633:28525
    5Cracovia1674523:19425
    6Lech Poznan1566327:24324
    7Korona Kielce1765620:18223
    8Rakow1572621:21023
    9Zaglebie1556428:23521
    10Widzew Lodz1762925:26-120
    11Pogon Szczecin1762926:30-420
    12GKS Katowice1662823:27-420
    13Motor Lublin1547421:25-419
    14Legia1546518:17118
    15Arka Gdynia1653813:28-1518
    16Lechia Gdansk1764732:35-317
    17Termalica B-B1744922:34-1216
    18Piast Gliwice1535716:19-314

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1