Result
0:2
06/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 27
- Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Croatia | Arena Sport 5 |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 2.22 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (362/452) | 74% (234/316) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 2.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 2.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (362/452) | 74% (234/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (18/51) | 33% (16/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (101/142) | 72% (106/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.95 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 10 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.56 | 0.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', 0 - 1, Rajovic M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Angielski K. ↓, Lawa N. ↑,
- 46', Mendy B. ↓, Koutris L. ↑,
- 47', 0 - 2, Rajovic M. ⚽, Adamski R. (A),
- 58', Acosta K. ↓, Cuic F. ↑,
- 60', Bichakhchyan V. ↓, Urbanski K. ↑,
- 73', Urbanski K. 🟨,
- 73', Greenwood S. ↓, Agger M. ↑,
- 84', Grosicki K. ↓, Czaplinski J. ↑,
- 86', Kun P. ↓, Reca A. ↑,
- 86', Pankov R. ↓, Jedrzejczyk A. ↑,
- 90+3', Rajovic M. ↓, Krasniqi E. ↑,
- 90+5', Koutris L. 🟨,
- 90+7', Keramitsis D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pogoń Szczecin 35.3% | Draw 27% | Legia Warsaw 37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Pogoń Szczecin - Legia Warsaw Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.66 ↓ (2.75) |
3.47 ↓ (3.57) |
2.48 ↑ (2.45) |
6.8% (5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Legia Warsaw?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Legia will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 and 15)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 2.
- Pogoń Szczecin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Legia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Molnar R.
(Knee Injury)
Wahlqvist L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Legia: Colak A.
(Inactive)
Kapustka B.
(Injury)
Vinagre R.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:29. (average 1.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 2.1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Legia Warsaw?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Legia Warsaw has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
30.10.2025
Legia Warsaw
-
Pogoń Szczecin
1:2
28.09.2025
Legia Warsaw
-
Pogoń Szczecin
1:0
02.05.2025
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Legia Warsaw
3:4
28.03.2025
Legia Warsaw
-
Pogoń Szczecin
0:0
20.09.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Legia Warsaw
1:0
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 49:40 | 9 | 46 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42:33 | 9 | 44 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 44:35 | 9 | 43 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 43 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 42 |
| 6 | Rakow | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 40 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Motor Lublin | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 37:40 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 | Lechia Gdansk | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 55:51 | 4 | 37 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 33:33 | 0 | 37 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 35 |
| 14 | Legia | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 34 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:47 | -17 | 34 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33:35 | -2 | 33 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1