Result
2:3
12/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 32
- Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2, Arena Sport 8 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.09 | 3.01 |
Ball Possession |
---|
42% | 58% |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 22 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 9 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
82% (261/318) | 84% (396/470) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.09 | 3.01 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.23 | 4.57 |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 22 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 9 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
8 | 8 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 15 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
10 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
32 | 40 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
82% (261/318) | 84% (396/470) |
Long passes |
---|
62% (26/42) | 55% (33/60) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (84/121) | 80% (108/135) |
Crosses |
---|
11% (3/28) | 37% (7/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.62 | 1.67 |
Throw-ins |
---|
13 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
81% (13/16) | 73% (11/15) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 50 |
Clearances |
---|
30 | 45 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
4.57 | 0.23 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.57 | -0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 5', 0 - 1, Guillaumier M. ⚽, Matras M. (A),
- 21', Stepien K. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 2, Matras M. ⚽,
- 37', 0 - 3, Wlazlo P. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Serafin J. ↓, Tomalski H. ↑,
- 46', Stepien K. ↓, Cholewiak M. ↑,
- 46', Yakuba R. ↓, Stec J. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 3, Barkovsky G. ⚽,
- 53', Stec J. 🟨,
- 56', Abramowicz D. 🟨,
- 59', Knap K. 🟨,
- 67', Siplak M. ↓, Revenco I. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 3, Wlazlo P. (Own goal),
- 71', Gerbowski F. ↓, Krykun S. ↑,
- 88', Wolsztynski L. ↓, Dadok R. ↑,
- 88', Cavaleiro I. ↓, Domanski M. ↑,
- 90', Klimek A. ↓, Radecki M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Puszcza Niepołomice 36.5% | Draw 28.3% | Stal Mielec 35.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Puszcza Niepołomice - Stal Mielec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.58 ↑ (2.44) |
3.33 ↑ (3.3) |
2.66 ↓ (2.95) |
6.2% (5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Puszcza Niepołomice - Stal Mielec?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Stal Mielec will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Puszcza: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Stal Mielec (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puszcza won 1.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Stal Mielec may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Puszcza: Kosidis M.
(Inactive)
Zhukov G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Stal Mielec: Cavaleiro I.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Puszcza won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Puszcza won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Puszcza Niepołomice won against Stal Mielec?
Puszcza Niepołomice has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Puszcza Niepołomice?
Stal Mielec has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puszcza Niepołomice - Stal Mielec were as follows:
10.11.2024
Stal Mielec
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
2:0
09.02.2024
Stal Mielec
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
2:1
07.08.2023
Puszcza Niepołomice
-
Stal Mielec
1:0
Latest results of Puszcza Niepołomice
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
2 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
3 | Termalica B-B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Wisla Plock | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Gornik Zabrze | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Motor Lublin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Widzew Lodz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Rakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
10 | Piast Gliwice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Legia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | GKS Katowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Zaglebie | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Korona Kielce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
15 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
16 | Pogon Szczecin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
17 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1