Puszcza Niepołomice vs Stal Mielec – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
05/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 15
  • Referee: Jenda M. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
713
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
34
Yellow Cards
54
Total shots
713
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
410
Corner Kicks
34
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
914
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Cholewiak M. , Przybylko K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Sommerfeld K. , Pisek J. ,
  • 56', Iwao K. 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Kruszelnicki P. , Pisek J. (A),
  • 65', Nascimento F. , Smiglewski K. ,
  • 65', Kanach R. , Walski M. ,
  • 65', Senger M. 🟨,
  • 67', Barczak N. 🟨,
  • 68', Przybylko K. , Mrozinski P. ,
  • 73', Losada M. 🟨,
  • 76', Kasolik K. 🟨,
  • 78', Kavcic M. , Matynia H. ,
  • 83', Iwao K. , Stepien M. ,
  • 83', Simon C. , Korczakowski O. ,
  • 84', Wlazlo P. 🟨,
  • 89', Szeliga B. , Sadlocha K. ,
  • 89', Domanski M. , Niedzwiedz N. ,
  • 90+2', Stepien K. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Diez A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Smiglewski K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Puszcza Niepołomice
43.3%
Draw
27.5%
Stal Mielec
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 26.5% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 26% 30.5%

Puszcza Niepołomice - Stal Mielec Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.13
(2.18)
3.39
(3.5)
3.16
(2.98)
8%
(8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Puszcza Niepołomice - Stal Mielec?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Stal Mielec will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Puszcza: 47.7%95.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Puszcza (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puszcza won 2.
    • In recent matches, Puszcza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Stal Mielec is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Stal Mielec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Puszcza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Puszcza won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Puszcza won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Puszcza Niepołomice - Stal Mielec were as follows:
    23.09.2025 Stal Mielec - Puszcza Niepołomice 1:2
    12.05.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Stal Mielec 2:3
    10.11.2024 Stal Mielec - Puszcza Niepołomice 2:0
    09.02.2024 Stal Mielec - Puszcza Niepołomice 2:1
    07.08.2023 Puszcza Niepołomice - Stal Mielec 1:0
    Latest results of Puszcza Niepołomice
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla17123244:143039
    2Grodzisk M1795336:251132
    3Polonia Bytom1894531:211031
    4Chrobry Glogow1894526:161031
    5Polonia Warszawa1885528:26229
    6Slask Wroclaw1784530:27328
    7Ruch Chorzow1876528:26227
    8S. Rzeszow1783628:28027
    9Legnica1883733:35-227
    10KS Wieczysta Krakow1775535:26926
    11LKS Lodz1773726:27-124
    12Pogon Siedlce1857621:19222
    13Odra Opole1857618:21-322
    14Puszcza1839619:23-418
    15Stal Mielec17341020:35-1513
    16Pruszkow17411218:39-2113
    17Tychy18331224:42-1812
    18Leczna1818922:37-1511

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2