Result
2:3
12/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 32
- Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2, Arena Sport 8 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 3.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (261/318) | 84% (396/470) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 3.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 4.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (261/318) | 84% (396/470) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (26/42) | 55% (33/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (84/121) | 80% (108/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (3/28) | 37% (7/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.57 | 0.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.57 | -0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 5', 0 - 1, Guillaumier M. ⚽, Matras M. (A),
- 21', Stepien K. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 2, Matras M. ⚽,
- 37', 0 - 3, Wlazlo P. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Serafin J. ↓, Tomalski H. ↑,
- 46', Stepien K. ↓, Cholewiak M. ↑,
- 46', Yakuba R. ↓, Stec J. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 3, Barkovsky G. ⚽,
- 53', Stec J. 🟨,
- 56', Abramowicz D. 🟨,
- 59', Knap K. 🟨,
- 67', Siplak M. ↓, Revenco I. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 3, Wlazlo P. (Own goal),
- 71', Gerbowski F. ↓, Krykun S. ↑,
- 88', Wolsztynski L. ↓, Dadok R. ↑,
- 88', Cavaleiro I. ↓, Domanski M. ↑,
- 90', Klimek A. ↓, Radecki M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Puszcza Niepołomice
36.5% | Draw
28.3% | Stal Mielec
35.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Puszcza Niepołomice - Stal Mielec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↑
(2.44) |
3.33 ↑
(3.3) |
2.66 ↓
(2.95) |
6.2%
(5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Puszcza Niepołomice - Stal Mielec?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Stal Mielec will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Puszcza: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Stal Mielec (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puszcza won 1.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Stal Mielec may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Puszcza: Kosidis M.
(Inactive)
Zhukov G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Stal Mielec: Cavaleiro I.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Puszcza won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Puszcza won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Puszcza Niepołomice won against Stal Mielec?
Puszcza Niepołomice has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Puszcza Niepołomice?
Stal Mielec has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puszcza Niepołomice - Stal Mielec were as follows:
10.11.2024
Stal Mielec
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
2:0
09.02.2024
Stal Mielec
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
2:1
07.08.2023
Puszcza Niepołomice
-
Stal Mielec
1:0
Latest results of Puszcza Niepołomice
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:9 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Pogon Szczecin | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Termalica B-B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Motor Lublin | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | Arka Gdynia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Legia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Zaglebie | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 6 |
| 16 | Rakow | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
