Result
1:1
05/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 15
- Referee: Jenda M. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Cholewiak M. ⚽, Przybylko K. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Sommerfeld K. ↓, Pisek J. ↑,
- 56', Iwao K. 🟨,
- 64', 1 - 1, Kruszelnicki P. ⚽, Pisek J. (A),
- 65', Nascimento F. ↓, Smiglewski K. ↑,
- 65', Kanach R. ↓, Walski M. ↑,
- 65', Senger M. 🟨,
- 67', Barczak N. 🟨,
- 68', Przybylko K. ↓, Mrozinski P. ↑,
- 73', Losada M. 🟨,
- 76', Kasolik K. 🟨,
- 78', Kavcic M. ↓, Matynia H. ↑,
- 83', Iwao K. ↓, Stepien M. ↑,
- 83', Simon C. ↓, Korczakowski O. ↑,
- 84', Wlazlo P. 🟨,
- 89', Szeliga B. ↓, Sadlocha K. ↑,
- 89', Domanski M. ↓, Niedzwiedz N. ↑,
- 90+2', Stepien K. 🟨,
- 90+4', Diez A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Smiglewski K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Puszcza Niepołomice 43.3% | Draw 27.5% | Stal Mielec 29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Puszcza Niepołomice - Stal Mielec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.13 ↓ (2.18) |
3.39 ↓ (3.5) |
3.16 ↑ (2.98) |
8% (8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Puszcza Niepołomice - Stal Mielec?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Stal Mielec will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Puszcza: 47.7% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Puszcza (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puszcza won 2.
- In recent matches, Puszcza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Stal Mielec is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Stal Mielec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Puszcza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Puszcza won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Puszcza won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Puszcza Niepołomice won against Stal Mielec?
Puszcza Niepołomice has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Puszcza Niepołomice?
Stal Mielec has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puszcza Niepołomice - Stal Mielec were as follows:
23.09.2025
Stal Mielec
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
1:2
12.05.2025
Puszcza Niepołomice
-
Stal Mielec
2:3
10.11.2024
Stal Mielec
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
2:0
09.02.2024
Stal Mielec
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
2:1
07.08.2023
Puszcza Niepołomice
-
Stal Mielec
1:0
Latest results of Puszcza Niepołomice
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Polish Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 44:14 | 30 | 39 |
| 2 | Grodzisk M | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 36:25 | 11 | 32 |
| 3 | Polonia Bytom | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 31:21 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Chrobry Glogow | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 26:16 | 10 | 31 |
| 5 | Polonia Warszawa | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28:26 | 2 | 29 |
| 6 | Slask Wroclaw | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30:27 | 3 | 28 |
| 7 | Ruch Chorzow | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28:26 | 2 | 27 |
| 8 | S. Rzeszow | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 28:28 | 0 | 27 |
| 9 | Legnica | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 33:35 | -2 | 27 |
| 10 | KS Wieczysta Krakow | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 35:26 | 9 | 26 |
| 11 | LKS Lodz | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Pogon Siedlce | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 21:19 | 2 | 22 |
| 13 | Odra Opole | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18:21 | -3 | 22 |
| 14 | Puszcza | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 19:23 | -4 | 18 |
| 15 | Stal Mielec | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 20:35 | -15 | 13 |
| 16 | Pruszkow | 17 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 18:39 | -21 | 13 |
| 17 | Tychy | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 24:42 | -18 | 12 |
| 18 | Leczna | 18 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22:37 | -15 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Division 2