Qarabağ Agdam vs Ajax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
10/12/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIctimai TV
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceCanal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 2
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoHBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
moldovaMoldovaWe Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 1
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport PSL
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, Space Latin America, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
surinameSurinameATV Suriname
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 11, Blue Sport 11, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1, Tabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 9
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.62
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1720
Shots on target
68
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
84% (321/382)89% (378/424)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.62
xG on target (xGOT)
0.702.60
Total shots
1720
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
99
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
3925
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
143
Passes
84% (321/382)89% (378/424)
Long passes
54% (22/41)56% (18/32)
Passes in final third
71% (97/136)73% (66/90)
Crosses
15% (2/13)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.170.82
Throw-ins
227
Fouls
314
Tackles
94% (15/16)58% (14/24)
Duels won
4640
Clearances
2217
Interceptions
413
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
2.600.70
Goals prevented
-1.40-1.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Duran C. , Cafarquliyev E. (A),
  • 39', 1 - 1, Dolberg K. , Steur S. (A),
  • 45+1', Baas Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 47', 2 - 1, Matheus Silva ,
  • 59', Leandro Andrade , Akhundzade N. ,
  • 65', Dolberg K. , Konadu D. ,
  • 65', Itakura K. , Regeer Y. ,
  • 70', Duran C. , Kashchuk O. ,
  • 76', Steur S. , Klaassen D. ,
  • 76', Moro R. , Godts M. ,
  • 79', 2 - 2, Gloukh O. , Rosa L. (A),
  • 83', 2 - 3, Gaaei A. , Konadu D. (A),
  • 84', Mokio J. , Fitz-Jim K. ,
  • 86', Cafarquliyev E. , Bayramov T. ,
  • 86', Matheus Silva , Dani Bolt ,
  • 87', Pedro Bicalho , Montiel J. ,
  • 90', 2 - 4, Gloukh O. , Godts M. (A),

Chances of winning


Qarabağ Agdam
46%
Draw
24.9%
Ajax
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 24.4% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3% 23.9% 28.6%

Qarabağ Agdam - Ajax Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.1
(2.07)
3.86
(3.94)
3.32
(3.29)
3.7%
(4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Qarabağ Agdam - Ajax?
  • Users Predictions: 91 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 65 - 71.4%). Ajax will win (votes: 17 - 18.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 9.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Qarabağ: 62.1%80.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Qarabağ (1.37) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Qarabağ (1.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 60%) .
    • DNB - Qarabağ (1.49) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Qarabağ (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Qarabağ (2.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.25 - Ajax (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Qarabağ Agdam will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 31 high ROI users predict this event. Qarabağ (votes: 27 - 87.1%). Ajax (votes: 4 - 12.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Qarabağ is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ajax has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ajax may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Qarabağ could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Qarabağ: Kady Borges (Injury) Mahammadaliyev S. (Injury) Montiel J. (Inactive) Rzayev A. (Inactive) Sheydayev R. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S. (Groin Injury) McConnell J. (Health problems) Sutalo J. (Health problems) Taylor K. (Injury) Weghorst W. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Qarabağ won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    • Including home match between the teams, Qarabağ won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Qarabağ Agdam - Ajax were as follows:
    24.10.2024 Qarabağ Agdam - Ajax 0:3
    Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
    06.12.2025 Zira - Qarabağ Agdam 1:1
    03.12.2025 Qarabağ Agdam - Karvan 3:0
    29.11.2025 Qarabağ Agdam - Karvan 2:0
    25.11.2025 Napoli - Qarabağ Agdam 2:0
    21.11.2025 Sumgayit - Qarabağ Agdam 2:4
    Latest results of Ajax
    06.12.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Ajax 1:3
    02.12.2025 Ajax - Groningen 2:0
    25.11.2025 Ajax - Benfica 0:2
    22.11.2025 Ajax - Excelsior 1:2
    09.11.2025 Utrecht - Ajax 2:1
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal ✔ 770020:21821
    2Bayern Munich ✔ 760120:71318
    3Real Madrid750219:81115
    4Liverpool750214:8615
    5Tottenham742115:7814
    6PSG741220:101013
    7Newcastle741216:61013
    8Chelsea741214:8613
    9Barcelona741218:13513
    10Sporting CP741214:9513
    11Manchester City741213:9413
    12Atl. Madrid741216:13313
    13Atalanta741210:9113
    14Inter740313:7612
    15Juventus733114:10412
    16Dortmund732219:15411
    17Galatasaray73139:9010
    18Qarabag731313:15-210
    19Marseille730411:1109
    20Bayer Leverkusen723210:14-49
    21Monaco72328:14-69
    22PSV722315:1418
    23Ath Bilbao72237:11-48
    24Olympiacos Piraeus72238:13-58
    25Napoli72237:12-58
    26FC Copenhagen722311:17-68
    27Club Brugge KV721412:17-57
    28Bodo/Glimt713312:14-26
    29Benfica72056:10-46
    30Pafos71334:10-66
    31Royale Union SG72057:17-106
    32Ajax72057:19-126
    33Eintracht Frankfurt711510:19-94
    34Slavia Prague70344:15-113
    35Villarreal70165:15-101
    36Kairat Almaty70165:19-141

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Arsenal is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)