Qarabağ Agdam vs Ajax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
10/12/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIctimai TV
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceCanal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 2
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoHBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
moldovaMoldovaWe Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 1
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport PSL
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, Space Latin America, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
surinameSurinameATV Suriname
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 11, Blue Sport 11, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1, Tabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 9
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.62
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1720
Shots on target
68
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
84% (321/382)89% (378/424)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.62
xG on target (xGOT)
0.702.60
Total shots
1720
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
99
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
3925
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
143
Passes
84% (321/382)89% (378/424)
Long passes
54% (22/41)56% (18/32)
Passes in final third
71% (97/136)73% (66/90)
Crosses
15% (2/13)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.170.82
Throw-ins
227
Fouls
314
Tackles
94% (15/16)58% (14/24)
Duels won
4640
Clearances
2217
Interceptions
413
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
2.600.70
Goals prevented
-1.40-1.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Duran C. , Cafarquliyev E. (A),
  • 39', 1 - 1, Dolberg K. , Steur S. (A),
  • 45+1', Baas Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 47', 2 - 1, Matheus Silva ,
  • 59', Leandro Andrade , Akhundzade N. ,
  • 65', Dolberg K. , Konadu D. ,
  • 65', Itakura K. , Regeer Y. ,
  • 70', Duran C. , Kashchuk O. ,
  • 76', Steur S. , Klaassen D. ,
  • 76', Moro R. , Godts M. ,
  • 79', 2 - 2, Gloukh O. , Rosa L. (A),
  • 83', 2 - 3, Gaaei A. , Konadu D. (A),
  • 84', Mokio J. , Fitz-Jim K. ,
  • 86', Cafarquliyev E. , Bayramov T. ,
  • 86', Matheus Silva , Dani Bolt ,
  • 87', Pedro Bicalho , Montiel J. ,
  • 90', 2 - 4, Gloukh O. , Godts M. (A),

Chances of winning


Qarabağ Agdam
46%
Draw
24.9%
Ajax
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 24.4% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3% 23.9% 28.6%

Qarabağ Agdam - Ajax Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.1
(2.07)
3.86
(3.94)
3.32
(3.29)
3.7%
(4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Qarabağ Agdam - Ajax?
  • Users Predictions: 91 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 65 - 71.4%). Ajax will win (votes: 17 - 18.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 9.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Qarabağ: 62.1%80.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Qarabağ Agdam will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Qarabağ is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ajax has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ajax may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Qarabağ could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Qarabağ: Kady Borges (Injury) Mahammadaliyev S. (Injury) Montiel J. (Inactive) Rzayev A. (Inactive) Sheydayev R. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S. (Groin Injury) McConnell J. (Health problems) Sutalo J. (Health problems) Taylor K. (Injury) Weghorst W. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Qarabağ won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    • Including home match between the teams, Qarabağ won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Qarabağ Agdam - Ajax were as follows:
    24.10.2024 Qarabağ Agdam - Ajax 0:3
    Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
    06.12.2025 Zira - Qarabağ Agdam 1:1
    03.12.2025 Qarabağ Agdam - Karvan 3:0
    29.11.2025 Qarabağ Agdam - Karvan 2:0
    25.11.2025 Napoli - Qarabağ Agdam 2:0
    21.11.2025 Sumgayit - Qarabağ Agdam 2:4
    Latest results of Ajax
    06.12.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Ajax 1:3
    02.12.2025 Ajax - Groningen 2:0
    25.11.2025 Ajax - Benfica 0:2
    22.11.2025 Ajax - Excelsior 1:2
    09.11.2025 Utrecht - Ajax 2:1
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal660017:11618
    2Bayern Munich650118:71115
    3PSG641119:81113
    4Manchester City641112:6613
    5Atalanta64118:6213
    6Inter640212:4812
    7Real Madrid640213:7612
    8Atl. Madrid640215:12312
    9Liverpool640211:8312
    10Dortmund632119:13611
    11Tottenham632113:7611
    12Newcastle631213:6710
    13Chelsea631213:8510
    14Sporting CP631212:8410
    15Barcelona631214:11310
    16Marseille630311:839
    17Juventus623112:1029
    18Galatasaray63038:809
    19Monaco62317:8-19
    20Bayer Leverkusen623110:12-29
    21PSV622215:1148
    22Qarabag621310:13-37
    23Napoli62136:11-57
    24FC Copenhagen621310:16-67
    25Benfica62046:8-26
    26Pafos61324:9-56
    27Royale Union SG62047:15-86
    28Ath Bilbao61234:9-55
    29Olympiacos Piraeus61236:13-75
    30Eintracht Frankfurt61148:16-84
    31Club Brugge KV61148:16-84
    32Bodo/Glimt60339:13-43
    33Slavia Prague60332:11-93
    34Ajax61055:18-133
    35Villarreal60154:13-91
    36Kairat Almaty60154:15-111

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