Result
2:4
10/12/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - League phase - Round 6
- Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League |
 Albania | Tring Sport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3 |
 Azerbaijan | Ictimai TV |
 Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | BTV Action, Voyo |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
 France | Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport, Free |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, Now Player |
 Hungary | RTL+, Sport 2 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
 India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1 |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254 |
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka |
 Maldives | Medianet |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 6 |
 Mexico | HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports |
 Moldova | We Sport |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 1 |
 Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2 |
 Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League |
 North-central-america | ESPN Norte |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Poland | Canal+ Extra 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN 2, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-africa | SuperSport PSL |
 South-america | ESPN South, Space Latin America, ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 2 |
 Suriname | ATV Suriname |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 11, Blue Sport 11, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Taiwan | ELTA Sports 2 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Turkey | Tabii Spor 1, Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 9 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (321/382) | 89% (378/424) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 2.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (321/382) | 89% (378/424) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (22/41) | 56% (18/32) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (97/136) | 73% (66/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 94% (15/16) | 58% (14/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.60 | 0.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.40 | -1.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Duran C. ⚽, Cafarquliyev E. (A),
- 39', 1 - 1, Dolberg K. ⚽, Steur S. (A),
- 45+1', Baas Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 47', 2 - 1, Matheus Silva ⚽,
- 59', Leandro Andrade ↓, Akhundzade N. ↑,
- 65', Dolberg K. ↓, Konadu D. ↑,
- 65', Itakura K. ↓, Regeer Y. ↑,
- 70', Duran C. ↓, Kashchuk O. ↑,
- 76', Steur S. ↓, Klaassen D. ↑,
- 76', Moro R. ↓, Godts M. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 2, Gloukh O. ⚽, Rosa L. (A),
- 83', 2 - 3, Gaaei A. ⚽, Konadu D. (A),
- 84', Mokio J. ↓, Fitz-Jim K. ↑,
- 86', Cafarquliyev E. ↓, Bayramov T. ↑,
- 86', Matheus Silva ↓, Dani Bolt ↑,
- 87', Pedro Bicalho ↓, Montiel J. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 4, Gloukh O. ⚽, Godts M. (A),
Chances of winning
Qarabağ Agdam
46% | Draw
24.9% | Ajax
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Qarabağ Agdam - Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(2.07) |
3.86 ↓
(3.94) |
3.32 ↑
(3.29) |
3.7%
(4.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Qarabağ Agdam - Ajax?
Users Predictions:
91 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 65 - 71.4%). Ajax will win (votes: 17 - 18.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 9.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Qarabağ: 62.1% – 80.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Qarabağ (1.37) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Qarabağ (1.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 60%) .
- DNB - Qarabağ (1.49) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH -0.5 - Qarabağ (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Qarabağ (2.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.25 - Ajax (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Qarabağ Agdam will win (36 of 41 users predict this - 87.8%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 51 high ROI users predict this event. Qarabağ (votes: 44 - 86.3%). Ajax (votes: 6 - 11.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Qarabağ is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ajax has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ajax may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Qarabağ could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Qarabağ: Kady Borges
(Injury)
Mahammadaliyev S.
(Injury)
Montiel J.
(Inactive)
Rzayev A.
(Inactive)
Sheydayev R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S.
(Groin Injury)
McConnell J.
(Health problems)
Sutalo J.
(Health problems)
Taylor K.
(Injury)
Weghorst W.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Qarabağ won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
- Including home match between the teams, Qarabağ won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Qarabağ Agdam won against Ajax?
Qarabağ Agdam has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Qarabağ Agdam?
Ajax has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Qarabağ Agdam - Ajax were as follows:
24.10.2024
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Ajax
0:3
Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Monaco (21) | PSG (11) | 2 : 2, 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Chelsea (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Galatasaray (20) | Juventus (13) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 4 | Liverpool (3) | Bye | |
| 5 | Benfica (24) | Real Madrid (9) | 1 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Manchester City (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Dortmund (17) | Atalanta (15) | 1 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayern Munich (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Qarabag (22) | Newcastle (12) | 2 : 3, 1 : 6 |
| 10 | Barcelona (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV (19) | Atl. Madrid (14) | 1 : 4, 3 : 3 |
| 12 | Tottenham (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Inter (10) | 2 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Sporting CP (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Olympiacos Piraeus (18) | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | 0 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Arsenal (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Chelsea (6) | |
| 2 | Galatasaray (20) | Liverpool (3) | |
| 3 | Real Madrid (9) | Manchester City (8) | |
| 4 | Atalanta (15) | Bayern Munich (2) | |
| 5 | Newcastle (12) | Barcelona (5) | |
| 6 | Atl. Madrid (14) | Tottenham (4) | |
| 7 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Sporting CP (7) | |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | Arsenal (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
