Qarabağ Agdam vs Ferencvárosi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Qarabağ Agdam - Ferencvárosi
Result
2:3
27/08/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
belarusBelarusOkko Sport
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilHBO Max
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 5
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL, RTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 2
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South, ESPN 5 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.483.15
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
73% (208/283)80% (319/399)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.483.15
xG on target (xGOT)
1.332.89
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
88
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
415
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
1323
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1913
Passes
73% (208/283)80% (319/399)
Long passes
30% (19/63)54% (32/59)
Passes in final third
64% (55/86)67% (78/116)
Crosses
0% (0/2)31% (9/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.651.96
Throw-ins
1918
Fouls
1421
Tackles
50% (4/8)65% (15/23)
Duels won
5255
Clearances
319
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
2.891.33
Goals prevented
-0.11-0.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Joseph L. , Varga B. (A),
  • 25', 1 - 1, Leandro Andrade , Akhundzade N. (A),
  • 37', Pedro Bicalho 🟨,
  • 42', Kanichowsky G. 🟨,
  • 45', 2 - 1, Zoubir A. , Leandro Andrade (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Levi J. , Cadu ,
  • 46', Otvos B. , Pesic A. ,
  • 53', Medina K. 🟨,
  • 55', 2 - 2, Varga B. (Pen),
  • 56', Keita N. 🟨,
  • 69', Leandro Andrade , Addai E. ,
  • 69', O'Dowda C. , Nagy B. ,
  • 73', Keita N. , Toth A. ,
  • 73', Joseph L. , Gruber Z. ,
  • 81', Matheus Silva 🟨,
  • 81', 2 - 3, Toth A. ,
  • 84', Cafarquliyev E. , Bayramov T. ,
  • 85', Zoubir A. , Chriso ,
  • 90', Cisse I. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Akhundzade N. , Qurbanly M. ,
  • 90+5', Kady Borges , Kashchuk O. ,

Chances of winning


Qarabağ Agdam
42.5%
Draw
26.6%
Ferencvárosi
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 26.8% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 25.9% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Ferencvárosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Qarabağ Agdam - Ferencvárosi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.26
    (2.35)
    3.57
    (3.6)
    3.04
    (3)
    5.3%
    (3.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Qarabağ Agdam - Ferencvárosi?
  • Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 29 - 56.9%). Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 9 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 25.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Qarabağ: 43.3%70.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Qarabağ (votes: 3 - 50%). Ferencvárosi (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.
    • Qarabağ is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ferencvárosi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ferencvárosi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Qarabağ will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Qarabağ: Isayev A. (Inactive) Montiel J. (Thigh Injury) Ramazanov A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Ferencvárosi: Abu Fani M. (Inactive) Lisztes K. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ferencvárosi: Otvos B. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 2.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Qarabağ won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Qarabağ Agdam - Ferencvárosi were as follows:
    19.08.2025 Ferencvárosi - Qarabağ Agdam 1:3
    27.06.2023 Ferencvárosi - Qarabağ Agdam 3:3
    Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
    Latest results of Ferencvárosi
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG330013:3109
    2Bayern Munich330012:2109
    3Inter33009:099
    4Arsenal33008:089
    5Real Madrid33008:179
    6Dortmund321012:757
    7Manchester City32106:247
    8Newcastle32018:266
    9Barcelona32019:456
    10Liverpool32018:446
    11Chelsea32017:436
    12Sporting CP32017:436
    13Qarabag32016:516
    14Galatasaray32015:6-16
    15Tottenham31203:215
    16PSV31118:624
    17Atalanta31112:5-34
    18Marseille31026:423
    19Atl. Madrid31027:8-13
    20Club Brugge KV31025:7-23
    21Ath Bilbao31024:7-33
    22Eintracht Frankfurt31027:11-43
    23Napoli31024:9-53
    24Royale Union SG31023:9-63
    25Juventus30216:7-12
    26Bodo/Glimt30215:7-22
    27Monaco30213:6-32
    28Slavia Prague30212:5-32
    29Pafos30211:5-42
    30Bayer Leverkusen30215:10-52
    31Villarreal30122:5-31
    32FC Copenhagen30124:8-41
    33Olympiacos Piraeus30121:8-71
    34Kairat Almaty30121:9-81
    35Benfica30032:7-50
    36Ajax30031:11-100

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