Result
2:3
27/08/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
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 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | HBO Max |
 Bulgaria | BTV Action, Voyo |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
 France | CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1 |
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 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Hungary | RTL, RTL+ |
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 India | Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2 |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254 |
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 North-central-america | ESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Poland | Canal+ Extra 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN 1, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Singapore | beIN Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-america | ESPN 4 South, ESPN 5 South |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 2 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
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 Turkey | Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 3.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (208/283) | 80% (319/399) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 3.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 2.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (208/283) | 80% (319/399) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (19/63) | 54% (32/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (55/86) | 67% (78/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 31% (9/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.96 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 65% (15/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.89 | 1.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | -0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Joseph L. ⚽, Varga B. (A),
- 25', 1 - 1, Leandro Andrade ⚽, Akhundzade N. (A),
- 37', Pedro Bicalho 🟨,
- 42', Kanichowsky G. 🟨,
- 45', 2 - 1, Zoubir A. ⚽, Leandro Andrade (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Levi J. ↓, Cadu ↑,
- 46', Otvos B. ↓, Pesic A. ↑,
- 53', Medina K. 🟨,
- 55', 2 - 2, Varga B. (Pen),
- 56', Keita N. 🟨,
- 69', Leandro Andrade ↓, Addai E. ↑,
- 69', O'Dowda C. ↓, Nagy B. ↑,
- 73', Keita N. ↓, Toth A. ↑,
- 73', Joseph L. ↓, Gruber Z. ↑,
- 81', Matheus Silva 🟨,
- 81', 2 - 3, Toth A. ⚽,
- 84', Cafarquliyev E. ↓, Bayramov T. ↑,
- 85', Zoubir A. ↓, Chriso ↑,
- 90', Cisse I. 🟨,
- 90+4', Akhundzade N. ↓, Qurbanly M. ↑,
- 90+5', Kady Borges ↓, Kashchuk O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Qarabağ Agdam
42.5% | Draw
26.6% | Ferencvárosi
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Ferencvárosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Qarabağ Agdam - Ferencvárosi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↓
(2.35) |
3.57 ↓
(3.6) |
3.04 ↑
(3) |
5.3%
(3.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Qarabağ Agdam - Ferencvárosi?
Users Predictions:
51 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 29 - 56.9%). Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 9 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 25.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Qarabağ: 43.3% – 70.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Qarabağ (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Ferencvárosi (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.
- Qarabağ is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ferencvárosi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ferencvárosi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Qarabağ will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Qarabağ: Isayev A.
(Inactive)
Montiel J.
(Thigh Injury)
Ramazanov A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Ferencvárosi: Abu Fani M.
(Inactive)
Lisztes K.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Ferencvárosi: Otvos B.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 2.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Qarabağ won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Qarabağ Agdam won against Ferencvárosi?
Qarabağ Agdam has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferencvárosi won against Qarabağ Agdam?
Ferencvárosi has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Qarabağ Agdam - Ferencvárosi were as follows:
19.08.2025
Ferencvárosi
-
Qarabağ Agdam
1:3
27.06.2023
Ferencvárosi
-
Qarabağ Agdam
3:3
Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
Latest results of Ferencvárosi
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Monaco (21) | PSG (11) | 2 : 2, 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Chelsea (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Galatasaray (20) | Juventus (13) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 4 | Liverpool (3) | Bye | |
| 5 | Benfica (24) | Real Madrid (9) | 1 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Manchester City (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Dortmund (17) | Atalanta (15) | 1 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayern Munich (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Qarabag (22) | Newcastle (12) | 2 : 3, 1 : 6 |
| 10 | Barcelona (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV (19) | Atl. Madrid (14) | 1 : 4, 3 : 3 |
| 12 | Tottenham (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Inter (10) | 2 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Sporting CP (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Olympiacos Piraeus (18) | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | 0 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Arsenal (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Chelsea (6) | |
| 2 | Galatasaray (20) | Liverpool (3) | |
| 3 | Real Madrid (9) | Manchester City (8) | |
| 4 | Atalanta (15) | Bayern Munich (2) | |
| 5 | Newcastle (12) | Barcelona (5) | |
| 6 | Atl. Madrid (14) | Tottenham (4) | |
| 7 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Sporting CP (7) | |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | Arsenal (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
