Result
1:2
17/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 8
- Referee: Masiyev E. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Serrano A. 🟨,
- 22', Mmaee S. 🟨,
- 23', Ozobic F. 🟨,
- 33', Miller R. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Serrano A. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Mmaee S. ↓, Cafarquliyev E. ↑,
- 46', Kashchuk O. ↓, Akhundzade N. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 1, Akhundzade N. ⚽,
- 63', 1 - 2, Zoubir A. ⚽,
- 74', Souza Alex ↓, Wadji I. ↑,
- 74', Ozobic F. ↓, Sadykhov R. ↑,
- 74', Hadzhiyev F. ↓, Henrique ↑,
- 77', Leandro Andrade ↓, Jankovic M. ↑,
- 83', Jo Batista ↓, Guseynov A. ↑,
- 89', Zoubir A. ↓, Addai E. ↑,
- 90+2', Kady Borges ↓, Chriso ↑,
Chances of winning
Turan Tovuz
18.9% | Draw
28.3% | Qarabağ Agdam
52.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Turan Tovuz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Qarabağ Agdam might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turan Tovuz than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Qarabağ Agdam could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Turan Tovuz - Qarabağ Agdam Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.91 ↓
(5.79) |
3.28 ↓
(3.72) |
1.76 ↑
(1.54) |
7.7%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Turan Tovuz - Qarabağ Agdam?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Turan won 2.
- Turan is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Qarabağ is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, Qarabağ is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Turan won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:30. (average 1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Turan won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.9:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Turan Tovuz won against Qarabağ Agdam?
Turan Tovuz has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Qarabağ Agdam won against Turan Tovuz?
Qarabağ Agdam has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Turan Tovuz - Qarabağ Agdam were as follows:
28.03.2025
Turan Tovuz
-
Qarabağ Agdam
1:4
26.01.2025
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Turan Tovuz
1:2
01.11.2024
Turan Tovuz
-
Qarabağ Agdam
0:0
24.08.2024
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Turan Tovuz
0:1
17.05.2024
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Turan Tovuz
4:3
Latest results of Turan Tovuz
Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Turan Tovuz | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13:7 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:3 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | Zira | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Araz | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 5 | Sabah Baku | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 15 |
| 6 | Sumqayit | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 | Imisli FK | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Neftci Baku | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Shamakhi | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Gabala | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | Karvan | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:19 | -13 | 5 |
| 12 | Kapaz | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:24 | -18 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
