Result
1:0
01/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', Hadzhiyev F. 🟨,
- 37', Ozobic F. 🟨,
- 37', Montiel J. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Zoubir A. ⚽,
- 44', Wadji I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Miller R. 🟨,
- 55', 🟨,
- 62', Ozobic F. ↓, Olabe R. ↑,
- 62', Wadji I. ↓, Jo Batista ↑,
- 66', Montiel J. ↓, Addai E. ↑,
- 75', Guseynov A. ↓, Ginnelly J. ↑,
- 81', Medina K. 🟨,
- 84', Jankovic M. ↓, Bayramov T. ↑,
- 84', Cafarquliyev E. ↓, Kashchuk O. ↑,
- 84', Leandro Andrade ↓, Kady Borges ↑,
- 90', Hackman E. ↓, Nacafov K. ↑,
- 90+2', Duran C. ↓, Qurbanly M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Qarabağ Agdam
65.7% | Draw
21.8% | Turan Tovuz
12.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Turan Tovuz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turan Tovuz than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Qarabağ Agdam - Turan Tovuz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.48) |
4.19 ↑
(4.07) |
7.33 ↑
(5.97) |
9.4%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Qarabağ Agdam - Turan Tovuz?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Turan will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Qarabağ (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Qarabağ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Qarabağ is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:15. (average 2.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Qarabağ won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 2.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Qarabağ Agdam won against Turan Tovuz?
Qarabağ Agdam has won 9 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Turan Tovuz won against Qarabağ Agdam?
Turan Tovuz has won 2 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Qarabağ Agdam - Turan Tovuz were as follows:
17.10.2025
Turan Tovuz
-
Qarabağ Agdam
1:2
28.03.2025
Turan Tovuz
-
Qarabağ Agdam
1:4
26.01.2025
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Turan Tovuz
1:2
01.11.2024
Turan Tovuz
-
Qarabağ Agdam
0:0
24.08.2024
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Turan Tovuz
0:1
Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
Latest results of Turan Tovuz
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 45:15 | 30 | 53 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 46 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 27:14 | 13 | 41 |
| 4 | Zira | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 38 |
| 5 | Araz | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Neftci Baku | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 30:20 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31:30 | 1 | 31 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 18:25 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Gabala | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 19:29 | -10 | 16 |
| 11 | Kapaz | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 17:45 | -28 | 16 |
| 12 | Karvan | 22 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14:45 | -31 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
